A relative strength
Turnover rate
13.9% · rank 19 of 366 · 34 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Bradley
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.98
+7.2 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
21–132025–26 recorded finals
111.0Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
103.8Adjusted defense · lower is better
67.5Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Bradley.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
21–1334 recorded games · 34 paired efficiency samples · pace 67.7Mean opponent adj. net 2.0 · 33 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
51.2%34 games · higher is betterRank 211 / 366 · 42th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
52.6%34 games · lower is betterRank 275 / 366 · 25th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
13.9%34 games · lower is betterRank 19 / 366 · 95th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
19.5%34 games · higher is betterRank 47 / 366 · 87th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
27.7%34 games · higher is betterRank 294 / 366 · 20th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
27.8%34 games · lower is betterRank 74 / 366 · 80th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
36.6%34 games · higher is betterRank 132 / 366 · 64th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
37.9%34 games · lower is betterRank 274 / 366 · 25th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 110.5 | 34 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 105.3 | 34 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 49.4% | 34 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 51.2% | 34 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 35.8% | 34 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 36.4% | 34 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 40.7% | 34 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 40.2% | 34 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 73.3% | 34 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 71.3% | 34 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 50.9% | 34 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 53.8% | 34 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,402 source possession rows across 34 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Turnovers forced
19.5% · rank 47 of 366 · 34 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
A closer look
Opponent effective FG%
52.6% · rank 275 of 366 · 34 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
A closer look
Offensive rebound rate
27.7% · rank 294 of 366 · 34 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 4 times in the selected window; Bradley won 3. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 19, 2026 · home vs Dayton · L 66–80 · offense 110.4 / defense 133.9
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 34 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DaytonMar 19, 2026 · home | L 66–80 | 58 | 110.4 | 133.9 | 59.8 | 54.9 | 16.7 | 29.0 |
| Northern IowaMar 7, 2026 · neutral | L 69–73 | 87 | 108.9 | 115.3 | 63.3 | 50.9 | 14.2 | 25.8 |
| ValparaisoMar 7, 2026 · neutral | W 90–84 | 191 | 102.6 | 95.8 | 70.2 | 45.1 | 12.5 | 25.0 |
| Murray StMar 1, 2026 · home | W 87–78 | 130 | 129.4 | 116.0 | 67.2 | 58.7 | 13.4 | 34.5 |
| UICFeb 25, 2026 · road | L 86–93 | 138 | 109.8 | 118.8 | 62.6 | 50.0 | 15.3 | 32.6 |
| Illinois StFeb 22, 2026 · home | W 74–60 | 112 | 115.3 | 93.5 | 64.2 | 53.4 | 9.3 | 31.3 |
| ValparaisoFeb 19, 2026 · road | L 72–79 | 191 | 108.5 | 119.0 | 66.4 | 57.7 | 22.6 | 27.6 |
| S IllinoisFeb 15, 2026 · road | W 70–60 | 124 | 101.2 | 86.8 | 69.2 | 50.0 | 10.1 | 21.1 |
| BelmontFeb 10, 2026 · home | W 95–84 | 86 | 122.8 | 108.6 | 68.8 | 56.0 | 10.3 | 23.8 |
| Northern IowaFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 49–61 | 87 | 82.1 | 102.3 | 59.7 | 44.0 | 26.8 | 14.3 |
| ValparaisoFeb 4, 2026 · home | W 72–65 | 191 | 110.5 | 99.7 | 65.2 | 54.5 | 16.9 | 26.7 |
| DrakeJan 31, 2026 · road | W 87–73 | 109 | 133.8 | 112.3 | 65.0 | 61.1 | 13.8 | 40.0 |
| UICJan 25, 2026 · home | L 70–85 | 138 | 106.8 | 129.7 | 65.5 | 51.9 | 13.7 | 21.2 |
| Indiana StJan 22, 2026 · home | W 75–68 | 140 | 105.3 | 95.5 | 71.2 | 38.9 | 4.2 | 26.2 |
| Illinois StJan 17, 2026 · road | L 62–88 | 112 | 93.2 | 132.2 | 66.6 | 39.5 | 18.0 | 29.3 |
| EvansvilleJan 14, 2026 · road | W 94–90 | 302 | 123.6 | 118.4 | 67.6 | 54.4 | 7.9 | 28.9 |
| Northern IowaJan 10, 2026 · home | W 75–69 | 87 | 112.1 | 103.1 | 66.9 | 49.1 | 7.5 | 23.1 |
| DrakeJan 8, 2026 · home | W 93–66 | 109 | 125.2 | 88.8 | 74.3 | 60.7 | 10.8 | 22.2 |
| Murray StJan 4, 2026 · road | L 66–86 | 130 | 96.2 | 125.3 | 68.6 | 37.9 | 5.8 | 27.1 |
| BelmontJan 2, 2026 · road | L 78–88 | 86 | 112.0 | 126.3 | 69.7 | 54.9 | 23.0 | 40.5 |
| EvansvilleDec 30, 2025 · home | W 76–68 | 302 | 110.4 | 98.8 | 68.8 | 46.1 | 7.3 | 27.5 |
| S IllinoisDec 21, 2025 · home | W 73–69 | 124 | 102.1 | 96.5 | 71.5 | 47.4 | 21.0 | 31.4 |
| Indiana StDec 19, 2025 · road | W 108–99 | 140 | 114.1 | 104.6 | 68.8 | 51.1 | 8.5 | 27.8 |
| N Central (IL)Dec 14, 2025 · home | W 86–53 | Unrated | 121.7 | 75.0 | 70.6 | 52.5 | 12.7 | 38.1 |
| N IllinoisDec 7, 2025 · home | W 84–55 | 344 | 115.5 | 75.6 | 72.7 | 58.5 | 13.8 | 20.0 |
| Washington StDec 3, 2025 · home | W 64–60 | 117 | 93.3 | 87.5 | 68.6 | 41.1 | 10.2 | 22.7 |
| LibertyNov 26, 2025 · neutral | W 74–64 | 96 | 115.1 | 99.5 | 64.3 | 58.5 | 23.3 | 42.3 |
| UC San DiegoNov 25, 2025 · neutral | L 77–87 | 97 | 110.1 | 124.4 | 69.9 | 53.2 | 20.0 | 36.8 |
| PrincetonNov 25, 2025 · neutral | W 88–64 | 184 | 126.2 | 91.8 | 69.7 | 67.3 | 12.9 | 13.8 |
| UMass LowellNov 20, 2025 · home | W 87–77 | 272 | 129.2 | 114.3 | 67.4 | 60.7 | 14.8 | 38.7 |
| San FranciscoNov 16, 2025 · road | L 64–75 | 89 | 94.2 | 110.4 | 67.9 | 38.3 | 13.2 | 21.4 |
| UT MartinNov 13, 2025 · home | L 67–78 | 234 | 91.4 | 106.4 | 73.3 | 36.3 | 19.1 | 25.6 |
| C MichiganNov 9, 2025 · home | W 85–54 | 266 | 124.1 | 78.8 | 68.5 | 60.7 | 14.6 | 32.3 |
| St BonaventureNov 3, 2025 · neutral | L 63–69 | 125 | 95.3 | 104.3 | 66.1 | 48.2 | 13.6 | 14.7 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex HuibregtseG | 34 | 31.2 | 12.8 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 61.0 | 19.0% | 34 | 1.7934 games | 23834 games |
| Jaquan JohnsonG | 34 | 30.4 | 16.9 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 55.7 | 28.1% | 34 | 2.5734 games | 14134 games |
| AJ SmithF | 34 | 25.7 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 55.3 | 17.3% | 34 | 1.3334 games | 9434 games |
| Ahmet JonovicC | 34 | 24.7 | 8.1 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 58.9 | 17.6% | 34 | 0.9034 games | 534 games |
| Timoty van der KnaapG | 34 | 22.9 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 49.9 | 16.4% | 34 | 0.5834 games | 6534 games |
| Montana WheelerG | 34 | 22.3 | 8.5 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 53.2 | 20.8% | 34 | 2.9134 games | 10434 games |
| Corey ThomasF | 34 | 18.4 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 59.9 | 14.7% | 34 | 1.0834 games | 6134 games |
| Demarion BurchG | 26 | 23.0 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 47.9 | 22.3% | 26 | 1.0426 games | 8026 games |
| Kai YuC | 29 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 54.3 | 17.7% | 29 | 0.8329 games | 1829 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Bradley?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →