A relative strength
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
30.3% · rank 79 of 366 · 31 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Delaware
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.251
-6.7 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
10–212025–26 recorded finals
105.7Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
112.4Adjusted defense · lower is better
67.1Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Delaware.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
10–2131 recorded games · 31 paired efficiency samples · pace 64.2Mean opponent adj. net -0.8 · 30 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
52.8%31 games · higher is betterRank 131 / 366 · 64th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
51.2%31 games · lower is betterRank 196 / 366 · 47th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
18.4%31 games · lower is betterRank 296 / 366 · 19th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
13.9%31 games · higher is betterRank 340 / 366 · 7th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
21.0%31 games · higher is betterRank 363 / 366 · 1th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
30.8%31 games · lower is betterRank 229 / 366 · 38th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
30.6%31 games · higher is betterRank 290 / 366 · 21th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
30.3%31 games · lower is betterRank 79 / 366 · 79th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 103.3 | 31 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 112.9 | 31 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 51.8% | 31 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 50.3% | 31 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 36.0% | 31 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 34.8% | 31 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 46.0% | 31 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 43.0% | 31 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 78.8% | 31 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 77.4% | 31 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 52.2% | 31 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 59.8% | 31 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,028 source possession rows across 31 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Effective FG%
52.8% · rank 131 of 366 · 31 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
A closer look
Turnovers forced
13.9% · rank 340 of 366 · 31 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
A closer look
Offensive rebound rate
21.0% · rank 363 of 366 · 31 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 8 times in the selected window; Delaware won 3. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 7, 2026 · home vs Louisiana Tech · L 38–81 · offense 60.3 / defense 128.5
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 31 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana TechMar 7, 2026 · home | L 38–81 | 156 | 60.3 | 128.5 | 63.0 | 29.2 | 28.6 | 21.6 |
| Sam HoustonMar 6, 2026 · home | W 83–80 | 127 | 116.7 | 112.4 | 71.2 | 63.8 | 14.1 | 13.8 |
| Kennesaw StFeb 28, 2026 · road | L 82–90 | 159 | 117.9 | 129.4 | 69.5 | 57.0 | 17.3 | 16.0 |
| Jax StateFeb 27, 2026 · road | L 70–80 | 173 | 104.8 | 119.8 | 59.4 | 50.0 | 16.5 | 18.9 |
| MTSUFeb 21, 2026 · road | L 66–78 | 164 | 106.5 | 125.8 | 62.0 | 54.5 | 17.7 | 8.0 |
| Western KYFeb 19, 2026 · home | L 87–88 | 157 | 125.3 | 126.7 | 61.7 | 60.0 | 11.5 | 22.2 |
| Missouri StFeb 14, 2026 · road | W 76–67 | 186 | 121.0 | 106.7 | 62.8 | 61.2 | 12.7 | 12.5 |
| FIUFeb 13, 2026 · road | W 68–66 | 229 | 101.9 | 98.9 | 66.8 | 55.6 | 24.0 | 31.0 |
| MTSUFeb 7, 2026 · home | W 89–88 | 164 | 129.9 | 128.5 | 60.9 | 68.6 | 17.5 | 21.7 |
| LibertyFeb 5, 2026 · home | L 69–75 | 96 | 110.6 | 120.2 | 62.4 | 59.8 | 16.0 | 8.0 |
| UTEPFeb 1, 2026 · road | L 55–70 | 230 | 88.2 | 112.3 | 62.3 | 28.6 | 22.5 | 38.9 |
| New Mexico StJan 29, 2026 · road | W 73–64 | 169 | 121.7 | 106.7 | 60.0 | 61.7 | 16.7 | 19.0 |
| LibertyJan 24, 2026 · road | L 51–67 | 96 | 84.8 | 111.3 | 60.2 | 53.7 | 26.6 | 4.2 |
| New Mexico StJan 17, 2026 · home | L 68–97 | 169 | 109.9 | 156.7 | 61.9 | 52.9 | 9.7 | 18.8 |
| UTEPJan 16, 2026 · home | L 69–70 | 230 | 112.0 | 113.6 | 61.6 | 50.0 | 13.0 | 29.7 |
| Louisiana TechJan 10, 2026 · road | L 68–70 | 156 | 102.7 | 105.8 | 58.8 | 54.8 | 18.1 | 20.0 |
| Sam HoustonJan 9, 2026 · road | L 60–72 | 127 | 95.8 | 115.0 | 62.6 | 49.1 | 14.4 | 17.1 |
| Kennesaw StJan 4, 2026 · home | W 67–52 | 159 | 104.9 | 81.4 | 63.9 | 54.8 | 15.7 | 20.0 |
| Jax StateJan 3, 2026 · home | L 64–67 | 173 | 106.5 | 111.5 | 60.1 | 53.6 | 13.3 | 19.4 |
| Missouri StDec 29, 2025 · home | L 43–61 | 186 | 71.3 | 101.1 | 60.3 | 37.2 | 24.9 | 18.2 |
| RiderDec 17, 2025 · home | W 65–57 | 342 | 104.2 | 91.4 | 62.4 | 52.1 | 14.4 | 15.4 |
| CSU NorthridgeDec 13, 2025 · home | L 66–88 | 171 | 97.6 | 130.2 | 67.6 | 49.1 | 22.2 | 26.5 |
| G WashingtonDec 11, 2025 · road | W 70–58 | 110 | 102.5 | 84.9 | 68.3 | 60.2 | 26.3 | 18.2 |
| Delaware StDec 6, 2025 · road | L 72–75 | 359 | 93.8 | 97.7 | 68.3 | 52.7 | 23.4 | 16.7 |
| IonaDec 2, 2025 · home | L 66–89 | 215 | 94.4 | 127.3 | 69.9 | 50.8 | 17.2 | 21.6 |
| UNC GreensboroNov 25, 2025 · neutral | W 73–60 | 227 | 113.8 | 93.6 | 64.1 | 63.9 | 17.2 | 18.5 |
| S IllinoisNov 23, 2025 · neutral | L 59–79 | 124 | 86.6 | 116.0 | 68.1 | 49.1 | 27.9 | 30.0 |
| Saint Peter'sNov 19, 2025 · home | W 81–70 | 250 | 120.6 | 104.2 | 67.2 | 64.4 | 20.8 | 29.6 |
| BYUNov 12, 2025 · road | L 68–85 | 19 | 112.0 | 140.0 | 60.7 | 52.6 | 8.2 | 20.6 |
| Wilmington DENov 7, 2025 · home | L 62–71 | Unrated | 84.7 | 96.9 | 73.2 | 39.8 | 21.8 | 26.3 |
| BucknellNov 4, 2025 · road | L 70–78 | 310 | 98.5 | 109.7 | 71.1 | 46.1 | 16.9 | 28.6 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian BlissG | 31 | 39.8 | 16.7 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 58.1 | 25.0% | 31 | 1.9231 games | 17131 games |
| Macon EmoryF | 31 | 37.1 | 11.3 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 52.6 | 19.1% | 31 | 0.7231 games | 15131 games |
| Justyn FernandezG | 28 | 37.4 | 16.6 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 57.0 | 27.2% | 28 | 0.7128 games | 15928 games |
| Alex KazaneckiG | 31 | 28.7 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 58.6 | 10.0% | 31 | 0.9031 games | 9731 games |
| Tyler HouserF | 26 | 33.3 | 14.2 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 60.5 | 22.3% | 26 | 1.2926 games | 10726 games |
| Jayden TaylorF | 31 | 15.3 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 62.4 | 11.3% | 31 | 0.4131 games | 1231 games |
| Houston EmoryF | 24 | 11.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 67.6 | 9.4% | 24 | 0.5324 games | 224 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Delaware?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
15Source-listed players
14Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
100%Prior minutes represented
Role workload watch
Which source-listed role is represented?
Prior minutes are grouped by the source-reported position on the current listing. “Unrepresented” means prior minutes not attached to a same-program listing in this release; it does not establish a departure, transfer, eligibility or expected role.
| Role | Listed | Prior minutes | Returning minutes | Incoming prior minutes | Returning share | Unrepresented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | 9 | 3,458 | 3,458 | — | 100% | — |
| Forward | 6 | 2,867 | 2,867 | — | 100% | — |
| Center | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
0 listed players have no recognized source position. The workload denominator is the matched prior-production sample (6,325 minutes).
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
15 source-listed players. Prior rates below are attached by exact source ID where available; missing values remain missing.
| Player | Observation | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Prior TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Bliss →G | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 39.8 | 16.7 | 58.1% |
| Macon Emory →F | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 37.1 | 11.3 | 52.6% |
| Justyn Fernandez →G | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 37.4 | 16.6 | 57.0% |
| Alex Kazanecki →G | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 28.7 | 5.1 | 58.6% |
| Tyler Houser →F | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 33.3 | 14.2 | 60.5% |
| Jayden Taylor →F | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 15.3 | 3.1 | 62.4% |
| Houston Emory →F | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 11.1 | 1.7 | 67.6% |
| Mason Ellison →G | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 21.3 | 4.7 | 43.8% |
| Jameel Brown →G | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 23.5 | 9.8 | 51.7% |
| Bouna Kebe →F | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 5.7 | 1.2 | 41.5% |
| Nnanna Njoku →F | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 14.0 | 2.0 | 22.5% |
| Cavan Reilly →G | Same programDelaware Blue Hens | 23.0 | 3.0 | 16.8% |
Showing the 12 highest prior-minute records. Open the full roster board for every source-listed player.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
Delaware vs Liberty
66.0Delaware
78.2Liberty
Liberty win estimate81.8%
Model signalStrong lean
Projected home margin12.2
Projected total144.2
80% home-margin range-3.7 to 28.2
Estimated possessions64.5
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityHome 2.9 pts
Liberty attack 57.0% · Delaware defense 52.1%Delaware attack 53.0% · Liberty defense 51.0%
Ball securityHome 0.5 pts
Liberty attack 14.8% · Delaware defense 15.2%Delaware attack 17.2% · Liberty defense 17.1%
Second chancesAway 3.0 pts
Liberty attack 21.7% · Delaware defense 29.8%Delaware attack 23.4% · Liberty defense 28.5%
Free-throw pressureAway 5.3 pts
Liberty attack 29.5% · Delaware defense 31.5%Delaware attack 31.4% · Liberty defense 28.1%
Liberty Arena (VA)
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Delaware vs Missouri St
67.7Delaware
74.1Missouri St
Missouri St win estimate70.2%
Model signalLean
Projected home margin6.3
Projected total141.8
80% home-margin range-9.6 to 22.3
Estimated possessions64.9
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityAway 2.4 pts
Missouri St attack 51.3% · Delaware defense 52.1%Delaware attack 53.0% · Missouri St defense 51.4%
Ball securityAway 2.4 pts
Missouri St attack 17.9% · Delaware defense 15.2%Delaware attack 17.2% · Missouri St defense 16.9%
Second chancesHome 7.8 pts
Missouri St attack 31.3% · Delaware defense 29.8%Delaware attack 23.4% · Missouri St defense 29.7%
Free-throw pressureHome 10.8 pts
Missouri St attack 37.2% · Delaware defense 31.5%Delaware attack 31.4% · Missouri St defense 36.5%
Great Southern Bank Arena
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Delaware vs FIU
72.3Delaware
77.2FIU
FIU win estimate66.7%
Model signalLean
Projected home margin4.9
Projected total149.4
80% home-margin range-11.1 to 20.8
Estimated possessions69.6
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityAway 2.3 pts
FIU attack 49.8% · Delaware defense 52.1%Delaware attack 53.0% · FIU defense 52.9%
Ball securityAway 6.6 pts
FIU attack 18.5% · Delaware defense 15.2%Delaware attack 17.2% · FIU defense 20.5%
Second chancesHome 10.5 pts
FIU attack 30.9% · Delaware defense 29.8%Delaware attack 23.4% · FIU defense 32.8%
Free-throw pressureHome 8.1 pts
FIU attack 34.5% · Delaware defense 31.5%Delaware attack 31.4% · FIU defense 36.5%
Ocean Bank Convocation Center
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →