A relative strength
Free-throw attempt rate
44.3% · rank 7 of 366 · 35 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Howard
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.223
-4.3 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
24–112025–26 recorded finals
104.6Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
108.9Adjusted defense · lower is better
69.7Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Howard.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
24–1135 recorded games · 35 paired efficiency samples · pace 69.9Mean opponent adj. net -7.9 · 31 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
51.9%35 games · higher is betterRank 178 / 366 · 52th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
48.2%35 games · lower is betterRank 55 / 366 · 85th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
18.8%35 games · lower is betterRank 319 / 366 · 13th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
21.0%35 games · higher is betterRank 13 / 366 · 97th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
36.4%35 games · higher is betterRank 28 / 366 · 93th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
30.2%35 games · lower is betterRank 193 / 366 · 47th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
44.3%35 games · higher is betterRank 7 / 366 · 98th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
40.7%35 games · lower is betterRank 320 / 366 · 13th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 110.8 | 35 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 98.5 | 35 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 51.2% | 35 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 49.2% | 35 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 35.5% | 35 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 30.9% | 35 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 34.4% | 35 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 34.9% | 35 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 73.0% | 35 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 70.7% | 35 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 61.5% | 35 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 46.5% | 35 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,524 source possession rows across 35 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Turnovers forced
21.0% · rank 13 of 366 · 35 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
A closer look
Turnover rate
18.8% · rank 319 of 366 · 35 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
40.7% · rank 320 of 366 · 35 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 9 times in the selected window; Howard won 4. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 19, 2026 · neutral vs Michigan · L 80–101 · offense 112.2 / defense 141.7
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 35 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MichiganMar 19, 2026 · neutral | L 80–101 | 6 | 112.2 | 141.7 | 71.3 | 54.0 | 11.2 | 18.4 |
| UMBCMar 17, 2026 · neutral | W 86–83 | 225 | 123.5 | 119.2 | 69.6 | 55.7 | 11.5 | 31.6 |
| NC CentralMar 14, 2026 · neutral | W 70–63 | 333 | 112.4 | 101.2 | 62.3 | 41.3 | 16.1 | 45.7 |
| SC StateMar 13, 2026 · neutral | W 78–61 | 343 | 105.9 | 82.8 | 73.6 | 48.1 | 21.7 | 37.5 |
| Norfolk StMar 6, 2026 · road | W 84–76 | 252 | 121.4 | 109.8 | 69.2 | 64.0 | 18.8 | 23.1 |
| Coppin StMar 3, 2026 · home | W 90–70 | 364 | 127.2 | 98.9 | 70.8 | 64.0 | 21.2 | 50.0 |
| Morgan StFeb 28, 2026 · road | W 84–59 | 351 | 116.6 | 81.9 | 72.0 | 49.2 | 18.0 | 46.5 |
| NC CentralFeb 21, 2026 · home | W 100–67 | 333 | 140.3 | 94.0 | 71.3 | 69.7 | 18.2 | 42.9 |
| Delaware StFeb 17, 2026 · road | W 91–59 | 359 | 126.6 | 82.1 | 71.9 | 63.2 | 19.5 | 40.0 |
| MD EasternFeb 14, 2026 · home | W 79–53 | 361 | 122.8 | 82.4 | 64.3 | 50.8 | 12.4 | 45.5 |
| YaleFeb 10, 2026 · home | L 81–87 | 62 | 112.4 | 120.7 | 64.1 | 55.7 | 15.3 | 27.8 |
| SC StateFeb 7, 2026 · home | W 85–57 | 343 | 113.2 | 75.9 | 75.1 | 55.9 | 21.3 | 34.5 |
| Coppin StFeb 2, 2026 · road | W 72–53 | 364 | 116.6 | 85.8 | 61.8 | 52.8 | 22.7 | 46.9 |
| Norfolk StJan 31, 2026 · home | W 88–60 | 252 | 125.5 | 85.6 | 70.1 | 63.0 | 27.1 | 59.1 |
| Morgan StJan 24, 2026 · home | L 77–78 | 351 | 95.2 | 96.4 | 80.9 | 33.1 | 21.0 | 53.2 |
| MorehouseJan 19, 2026 · home | W 78–69 | Unrated | 114.3 | 101.2 | 68.2 | 46.2 | 8.8 | 43.6 |
| NC CentralJan 17, 2026 · road | W 83–69 | 333 | 120.9 | 100.5 | 68.6 | 54.5 | 18.9 | 45.9 |
| Delaware StJan 13, 2026 · home | W 84–58 | 359 | 131.5 | 90.8 | 63.9 | 59.4 | 14.1 | 47.8 |
| MD EasternJan 10, 2026 · road | L 57–69 | 361 | 77.2 | 93.4 | 73.8 | 43.1 | 29.8 | 28.2 |
| SC StateJan 3, 2026 · road | L 57–58 | 343 | 81.9 | 83.3 | 69.6 | 34.6 | 18.7 | 25.8 |
| NorthwesternDec 30, 2025 · road | L 60–80 | 53 | 94.2 | 125.7 | 63.7 | 47.3 | 22.0 | 34.3 |
| UNC WilmingtonDec 20, 2025 · road | W 67–66 | 113 | 99.9 | 98.4 | 67.1 | 48.3 | 20.9 | 35.3 |
| DrexelDec 16, 2025 · road | W 74–66 | 185 | 110.5 | 98.6 | 67.0 | 53.1 | 23.9 | 37.5 |
| HamptonDec 13, 2025 · neutral | W 61–57 | 288 | 90.3 | 84.4 | 67.6 | 42.6 | 19.2 | 22.9 |
| NC A&TDec 10, 2025 · neutral | W 73–69 | 318 | 107.0 | 101.2 | 68.2 | 50.0 | 20.5 | 34.3 |
| Bowie StDec 6, 2025 · home | W 85–69 | Unrated | 103.9 | 84.3 | 81.8 | 54.2 | 24.4 | 34.3 |
| Mount St MarysNov 29, 2025 · road | L 75–79 | 264 | 106.0 | 111.6 | 70.8 | 44.1 | 8.5 | 27.7 |
| St Mary's (MD)Nov 26, 2025 · home | W 115–61 | Unrated | 145.2 | 77.0 | 79.2 | 67.4 | 13.9 | 47.1 |
| DukeNov 23, 2025 · road | L 56–93 | 1 | 79.2 | 131.5 | 70.7 | 36.6 | 17.0 | 19.0 |
| NiagaraNov 22, 2025 · neutral | W 80–70 | 331 | 105.8 | 92.6 | 75.6 | 50.0 | 19.8 | 32.4 |
| StetsonNov 20, 2025 · road | L 60–64 | 326 | 87.7 | 93.5 | 68.4 | 37.5 | 14.6 | 30.4 |
| Alcorn StNov 14, 2025 · home | W 72–64 | 353 | 107.7 | 95.7 | 66.9 | 60.2 | 25.4 | 41.7 |
| GramblingNov 9, 2025 · home | L 70–73 | 307 | 108.0 | 112.6 | 64.8 | 59.4 | 29.3 | 43.5 |
| Dist ColumbiaNov 7, 2025 · home | W 103–71 | Unrated | 141.3 | 97.4 | 72.9 | 68.4 | 15.1 | 39.3 |
| MissouriNov 4, 2025 · home | L 67–88 | 49 | 93.3 | 122.6 | 71.8 | 45.2 | 18.1 | 24.4 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam GillusG | 35 | 32.7 | 10.8 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 58.7 | 17.3% | 35 | 2.0035 games | 12435 games |
| Bryce HarrisG | 35 | 32.3 | 17.3 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 59.6 | 25.4% | 35 | 1.0935 games | 11835 games |
| Ose OkojieG | 35 | 25.9 | 10.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 60.0 | 19.1% | 35 | 1.4035 games | 3535 games |
| Alex CottonG | 32 | 26.9 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 52.2 | 16.0% | 32 | 1.5232 games | 19432 games |
| Cedric Taylor IIIG | 24 | 32.4 | 17.2 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 56.1 | 27.2% | 24 | 1.1424 games | 9424 games |
| Travelle BrysonF | 31 | 18.7 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 54.1 | 23.1% | 31 | 1.2231 games | 6931 games |
| Danas KazakeviciusC | 34 | 14.5 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 53.6 | 15.1% | 34 | 1.0034 games | 434 games |
| Isaiah BrownG | 33 | 10.2 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 51.6 | 17.3% | 33 | 1.3833 games | 1633 games |
| Ed Holland IIIG | 25 | 9.2 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 52.4 | 11.4% | 25 | 1.0025 games | 425 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Howard?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →