A relative strength
Turnover rate
15.0% · rank 67 of 366 · 32 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Milwaukee
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.218
-4.0 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
12–202025–26 recorded finals
106.4Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
110.4Adjusted defense · lower is better
69.2Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Milwaukee.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
12–2032 recorded games · 32 paired efficiency samples · pace 69.5Mean opponent adj. net -1.4 · 31 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
50.5%32 games · higher is betterRank 250 / 366 · 32th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
55.4%32 games · lower is betterRank 348 / 366 · 5th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
15.0%32 games · lower is betterRank 67 / 366 · 82th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
16.1%32 games · higher is betterRank 232 / 366 · 37th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
33.6%32 games · higher is betterRank 98 / 366 · 73th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
28.5%32 games · lower is betterRank 108 / 366 · 71th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
32.2%32 games · higher is betterRank 252 / 366 · 31th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
36.4%32 games · lower is betterRank 238 / 366 · 35th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 109.7 | 32 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 114.6 | 32 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 51.7% | 32 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 55.9% | 32 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 32.3% | 32 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 36.4% | 32 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 37.5% | 32 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 40.6% | 32 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 69.0% | 32 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 73.3% | 32 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 48.4% | 32 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 56.2% | 32 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,227 source possession rows across 32 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Offensive rebound rate
33.6% · rank 98 of 366 · 32 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
A closer look
Free-throw attempt rate
32.2% · rank 252 of 366 · 32 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
A closer look
Opponent effective FG%
55.4% · rank 348 of 366 · 32 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 11 times in the selected window; Milwaukee won 6. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 5, 2026 · road vs Detroit Mercy · L 63–84 · offense 93.7 / defense 124.9
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 32 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit MercyMar 5, 2026 · road | L 63–84 | 294 | 93.7 | 124.9 | 67.2 | 41.1 | 8.9 | 26.2 |
| Youngstown StFeb 26, 2026 · home | W 78–65 | 176 | 113.9 | 94.9 | 68.5 | 58.8 | 16.1 | 17.9 |
| OaklandFeb 22, 2026 · road | L 70–81 | 167 | 107.1 | 123.9 | 65.4 | 49.2 | 22.9 | 46.2 |
| Detroit MercyFeb 21, 2026 · road | L 86–91 | 294 | 122.5 | 129.7 | 70.2 | 59.2 | 15.7 | 37.8 |
| Green BayFeb 15, 2026 · home | W 75–72 | 284 | 121.8 | 117.0 | 61.6 | 50.0 | 9.7 | 23.3 |
| IU IndyFeb 10, 2026 · road | W 92–88 | 339 | 118.7 | 113.6 | 77.5 | 52.6 | 16.8 | 38.9 |
| N KentuckyFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 62–67 | 183 | 99.1 | 107.1 | 62.6 | 51.9 | 17.6 | 22.6 |
| Detroit MercyFeb 5, 2026 · home | L 63–76 | 294 | 98.6 | 119.0 | 63.9 | 47.3 | 15.7 | 26.5 |
| Cleveland StFeb 1, 2026 · home | L 88–90 | 267 | 126.5 | 129.3 | 69.6 | 57.8 | 14.4 | 35.5 |
| Wright StJan 31, 2026 · home | L 69–76 | 154 | 94.8 | 104.4 | 72.8 | 45.7 | 13.7 | 31.8 |
| Youngstown StJan 24, 2026 · road | W 65–64 | 176 | 96.2 | 94.7 | 67.6 | 46.6 | 16.3 | 25.7 |
| Robert MorrisJan 23, 2026 · road | L 76–88 | 166 | 108.3 | 125.4 | 70.2 | 53.4 | 14.3 | 22.2 |
| Purdue FWJan 18, 2026 · road | L 82–100 | 210 | 112.3 | 137.0 | 73.0 | 54.2 | 17.8 | 29.4 |
| OaklandJan 16, 2026 · home | L 60–73 | 167 | 80.6 | 98.0 | 74.5 | 35.7 | 17.5 | 36.0 |
| IU IndyJan 11, 2026 · home | W 95–83 | 339 | 137.2 | 119.8 | 69.3 | 68.1 | 17.3 | 48.3 |
| N KentuckyJan 10, 2026 · home | L 67–85 | 183 | 105.0 | 133.2 | 63.8 | 50.0 | 14.1 | 28.6 |
| Green BayJan 6, 2026 · road | L 76–79 | 284 | 119.8 | 124.6 | 63.4 | 59.3 | 15.8 | 30.0 |
| Wright StJan 1, 2026 · road | L 70–76 | 154 | 107.6 | 116.8 | 65.1 | 48.5 | 9.2 | 28.2 |
| WisconsinDec 31, 2025 · road | L 60–80 | 21 | 80.4 | 107.3 | 74.6 | 35.7 | 20.1 | 28.3 |
| Purdue FWDec 30, 2025 · home | W 77–55 | 210 | 114.2 | 81.6 | 67.4 | 51.6 | 23.7 | 54.3 |
| Cleveland StDec 21, 2025 · road | W 81–71 | 267 | 125.4 | 109.9 | 64.6 | 51.4 | 7.7 | 43.9 |
| S Dakota StDec 19, 2025 · home | W 88–87 | 161 | 128.2 | 126.8 | 68.6 | 54.3 | 14.6 | 50.0 |
| Indiana StDec 14, 2025 · home | L 68–70 | 140 | 103.9 | 107.0 | 65.4 | 39.6 | 9.2 | 35.6 |
| Robert MorrisDec 7, 2025 · home | W 74–72 | 166 | 104.0 | 101.2 | 71.2 | 45.0 | 11.2 | 25.6 |
| AkronNov 30, 2025 · road | L 81–105 | 75 | 104.1 | 134.9 | 77.8 | 46.1 | 16.7 | 38.5 |
| Dominican (IL)Nov 26, 2025 · home | W 125–70 | Unrated | 151.0 | 84.5 | 82.8 | 64.2 | 8.5 | 50.0 |
| Wichita StNov 23, 2025 · road | L 58–75 | 92 | 86.6 | 112.0 | 66.9 | 40.7 | 16.4 | 26.2 |
| Texas TechNov 15, 2025 · road | L 63–80 | 16 | 97.1 | 123.3 | 64.9 | 47.3 | 20.0 | 30.0 |
| IndianaNov 13, 2025 · road | L 70–101 | 44 | 99.0 | 142.9 | 70.7 | 50.8 | 21.2 | 35.1 |
| Little RockNov 11, 2025 · home | W 92–72 | 275 | 132.3 | 103.6 | 69.5 | 66.1 | 15.8 | 33.3 |
| WoffordNov 8, 2025 · road | L 76–86 | 197 | 102.5 | 116.0 | 74.1 | 48.4 | 9.4 | 17.9 |
| HamptonNov 4, 2025 · home | W 90–86 | 288 | 113.1 | 108.1 | 79.6 | 47.9 | 11.3 | 41.2 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron FranklinG | 32 | 25.2 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 57.1 | 12.9% | 32 | 1.8132 games | 2932 games |
| Isaiah DorceusG | 31 | 22.2 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 46.1 | 16.8% | 31 | 2.2131 games | 7731 games |
| Stevie ElamG | 25 | 26.2 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 53.9 | 19.2% | 25 | 1.6725 games | 14425 games |
| Amar AugillardG | 31 | 20.8 | 12.6 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 52.3 | 32.6% | 31 | 0.5831 games | 17631 games |
| Josh DixonG | 32 | 18.5 | 9.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 49.2 | 27.8% | 32 | 1.1932 games | 9332 games |
| Esyah Pippa-WhiteG | 32 | 18.5 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 39.6 | 17.4% | 32 | 2.2532 games | 8832 games |
| Chandler JacksonF | 24 | 23.0 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 61.7 | 19.6% | 24 | 0.8124 games | 7024 games |
| Danilo JovanovichF | 17 | 30.2 | 12.4 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 62.9 | 17.3% | 17 | 2.2417 games | 1317 games |
| Faizon FieldsF | 21 | 21.2 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 62.0 | 14.8% | 21 | 0.4021 games | 321 games |
| Sekou KonnehF | 31 | 13.4 | 6.4 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 56.6 | 22.9% | 31 | 0.3631 games | 931 games |
| Seth HubbardG | 9 | 30.7 | 16.6 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 53.7 | 25.1% | 9 | 1.909 games | 399 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Milwaukee?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
16Source-listed players
14Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
100%Prior minutes represented
Role workload watch
Which source-listed role is represented?
Prior minutes are grouped by the source-reported position on the current listing. “Unrepresented” means prior minutes not attached to a same-program listing in this release; it does not establish a departure, transfer, eligibility or expected role.
| Role | Listed | Prior minutes | Returning minutes | Incoming prior minutes | Returning share | Unrepresented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | 10 | 4,262 | 4,262 | — | 100% | — |
| Forward | 6 | 2,138 | 2,138 | — | 100% | — |
| Center | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
0 listed players have no recognized source position. The workload denominator is the matched prior-production sample (6,400 minutes).
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
16 source-listed players. Prior rates below are attached by exact source ID where available; missing values remain missing.
| Player | Observation | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Prior TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Franklin →G | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 25.2 | 6.8 | 57.1% |
| Isaiah Dorceus →G | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 22.2 | 5.5 | 46.1% |
| Stevie Elam →G | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 26.2 | 10.5 | 53.9% |
| Amar Augillard →G | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 20.8 | 12.6 | 52.3% |
| Josh Dixon →G | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 18.5 | 9.0 | 49.2% |
| Esyah Pippa-White →G | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 18.5 | 4.4 | 39.6% |
| Chandler Jackson →F | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 23.0 | 9.7 | 61.7% |
| Danilo Jovanovich →F | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 30.2 | 12.4 | 62.9% |
| Faizon Fields →F | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 21.2 | 6.7 | 62.0% |
| Sekou Konneh →F | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 13.4 | 6.4 | 56.6% |
| Seth Hubbard →G | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 30.7 | 16.6 | 53.7% |
| Tate Mackenzie →F | Same programMilwaukee Panthers | 7.0 | 0.9 | 47.9% |
Showing the 12 highest prior-minute records. Open the full roster board for every source-listed player.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
Milwaukee vs Florida
64.8Milwaukee
92.0Florida
Florida win estimate95.8%
Model signalStrong lean
Projected home margin27.2
Projected total156.9
80% home-margin range11.3 to 43.1
Estimated possessions71.7
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityAway 2.1 pts
Florida attack 54.9% · Milwaukee defense 52.6%Milwaukee attack 49.9% · Florida defense 45.6%
Ball securityHome 1.5 pts
Florida attack 16.0% · Milwaukee defense 16.9%Milwaukee attack 17.2% · Florida defense 16.7%
Second chancesHome 0.7 pts
Florida attack 38.1% · Milwaukee defense 29.5%Milwaukee attack 33.7% · Florida defense 25.7%
Free-throw pressureHome 1.0 pts
Florida attack 38.0% · Milwaukee defense 35.0%Milwaukee attack 34.6% · Florida defense 32.6%
Stephen C. O'Connell Center
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →