A relative strength
Turnovers forced
20.7% · rank 16 of 366 · 29 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Saint Peter's
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.250
-6.5 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
17–122025–26 recorded finals
100.4Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
106.9Adjusted defense · lower is better
65.9Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Saint Peter's.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
17–1229 recorded games · 29 paired efficiency samples · pace 65.9Mean opponent adj. net -5.9 · 28 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
47.4%29 games · higher is betterRank 342 / 366 · 7th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
47.8%29 games · lower is betterRank 47 / 366 · 87th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
17.5%29 games · lower is betterRank 247 / 366 · 33th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
20.7%29 games · higher is betterRank 16 / 366 · 96th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
37.2%29 games · higher is betterRank 18 / 366 · 95th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
34.2%29 games · lower is betterRank 336 / 366 · 8th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
35.0%29 games · higher is betterRank 185 / 366 · 50th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
46.0%29 games · lower is betterRank 359 / 366 · 2th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 106.6 | 29 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 103.0 | 29 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 47.2% | 29 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 47.5% | 29 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 31.9% | 29 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 32.3% | 29 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 39.2% | 29 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 35.4% | 29 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 73.3% | 29 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 74.4% | 29 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 53.7% | 29 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 53.7% | 29 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
1,919 source possession rows across 29 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Offensive rebound rate
37.2% · rank 18 of 366 · 29 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
A closer look
Effective FG%
47.4% · rank 342 of 366 · 29 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
46.0% · rank 359 of 366 · 29 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 7 times in the selected window; Saint Peter's won 5. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 7, 2026 · neutral vs Fairfield · L 55–74 · offense 85.3 / defense 114.7
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 29 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FairfieldMar 7, 2026 · neutral | L 55–74 | 271 | 85.3 | 114.7 | 64.5 | 41.8 | 21.7 | 35.0 |
| MaristMar 1, 2026 · road | W 63–56 | 200 | 98.6 | 87.6 | 63.9 | 55.1 | 26.6 | 35.7 |
| ManhattanFeb 28, 2026 · home | W 75–65 | 323 | 119.5 | 103.6 | 62.8 | 55.8 | 19.1 | 48.5 |
| SienaFeb 22, 2026 · road | L 63–72 | 221 | 102.6 | 117.3 | 61.4 | 46.4 | 14.7 | 28.6 |
| IonaFeb 21, 2026 · road | L 64–72 | 215 | 84.4 | 94.9 | 67.4 | 42.4 | 23.7 | 31.7 |
| FairfieldFeb 15, 2026 · home | W 83–74 | 271 | 120.7 | 107.6 | 68.8 | 58.5 | 21.8 | 32.1 |
| Sacred HeartFeb 14, 2026 · road | L 71–78 | 279 | 110.6 | 121.5 | 64.2 | 45.5 | 10.9 | 40.5 |
| SienaFeb 7, 2026 · home | W 70–65 | 221 | 102.9 | 95.5 | 68.0 | 50.0 | 20.6 | 37.9 |
| ManhattanFeb 6, 2026 · road | W 80–75 | 323 | 128.1 | 120.1 | 62.5 | 48.5 | 6.4 | 43.9 |
| RiderFeb 1, 2026 · road | L 78–81 | 342 | 119.5 | 124.1 | 65.3 | 53.1 | 12.3 | 38.9 |
| Mount St MarysJan 31, 2026 · home | W 66–58 | 264 | 107.3 | 94.3 | 61.5 | 44.1 | 14.6 | 37.5 |
| MerrimackJan 24, 2026 · road | L 59–67 | 180 | 93.4 | 106.1 | 63.1 | 32.8 | 25.3 | 59.6 |
| IonaJan 19, 2026 · home | W 77–63 | 215 | 112.8 | 92.3 | 68.3 | 52.1 | 19.0 | 29.4 |
| RiderJan 17, 2026 · home | W 69–58 | 342 | 111.0 | 93.3 | 62.2 | 50.8 | 14.5 | 45.7 |
| QuinnipiacJan 15, 2026 · road | W 74–70 | 192 | 105.9 | 100.2 | 69.9 | 53.0 | 18.6 | 28.0 |
| MerrimackJan 11, 2026 · home | W 76–63 | 180 | 123.4 | 102.3 | 61.6 | 57.3 | 22.7 | 51.7 |
| Mount St MarysJan 10, 2026 · road | L 65–70 | 264 | 94.9 | 102.2 | 68.5 | 34.9 | 17.5 | 40.0 |
| MaristJan 3, 2026 · home | W 69–59 | 200 | 99.8 | 85.4 | 69.1 | 41.2 | 17.4 | 35.0 |
| FairfieldDec 30, 2025 · road | W 70–66 | 271 | 104.3 | 98.3 | 67.1 | 43.6 | 14.9 | 41.9 |
| Centenary (NJ)Dec 22, 2025 · home | W 116–50 | Unrated | 153.0 | 65.9 | 75.8 | 70.9 | 13.2 | 45.5 |
| GeorgetownDec 13, 2025 · road | L 68–76 | 105 | 95.9 | 107.1 | 63.1 | 43.0 | 16.9 | 26.2 |
| NiagaraDec 7, 2025 · home | W 71–43 | 331 | 117.1 | 70.9 | 60.7 | 54.5 | 14.8 | 33.3 |
| CanisiusDec 6, 2025 · home | W 69–57 | 354 | 107.3 | 88.6 | 64.3 | 43.6 | 15.5 | 33.3 |
| DartmouthNov 29, 2025 · home | L 61–87 | 253 | 92.9 | 132.4 | 65.7 | 35.9 | 15.2 | 35.7 |
| UMass LowellNov 22, 2025 · home | W 68–66 | 272 | 95.5 | 92.6 | 71.2 | 44.7 | 16.8 | 28.6 |
| DelawareNov 19, 2025 · road | L 70–81 | 251 | 104.2 | 120.6 | 67.2 | 50.8 | 11.9 | 18.9 |
| VCUNov 13, 2025 · road | L 61–78 | 39 | 89.3 | 114.2 | 68.3 | 36.1 | 20.5 | 39.5 |
| FDUNov 8, 2025 · home | W 93–83 | 328 | 125.4 | 111.9 | 74.2 | 58.1 | 14.8 | 32.4 |
| Seton HallNov 4, 2025 · road | L 50–77 | 78 | 83.0 | 127.7 | 60.3 | 33.3 | 24.9 | 38.5 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent BlandG | 29 | 33.1 | 13.9 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 55.9 | 20.4% | 29 | 1.4729 games | 21429 games |
| Bryce EatonG | 29 | 27.2 | 11.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 48.5 | 25.6% | 29 | 1.7129 games | 14229 games |
| Jahki GuptonF | 29 | 24.5 | 7.8 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 49.7 | 19.6% | 29 | 0.4629 games | 5929 games |
| Zaakir WilliamsonF | 27 | 23.3 | 8.6 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 53.4 | 20.6% | 27 | 0.6627 games | 1427 games |
| Elijah PerkinsG | 22 | 25.4 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 39.8 | 11.5% | 22 | 2.2222 games | 1022 games |
| TJ RobinsonG | 27 | 19.5 | 9.6 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 50.3 | 29.6% | 27 | 1.4327 games | 4827 games |
| Lucas ScrogginsF | 27 | 17.4 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 64.7 | 13.8% | 27 | 1.3827 games | 027 games |
| Adetokunbo BakareG | 25 | 12.0 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 48.7 | 20.8% | 25 | 0.9225 games | 7325 games |
| Eric Morgan Jr.G | 26 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 49.2 | 18.8% | 26 | 2.0026 games | 5026 games |
| J'Quan EwingF | 14 | 14.6 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 62.3 | 10.0% | 14 | 0.8314 games | 014 games |
| Bol AguF | 21 | 9.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 47.7 | 15.2% | 21 | 1.2521 games | 2521 games |
| Shaedon SimpsonG | 18 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 52.7 | 16.1% | 18 | 0.5618 games | 3318 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Saint Peter's?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
14Source-listed players
13Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
100%Prior minutes represented
Role workload watch
Which source-listed role is represented?
Prior minutes are grouped by the source-reported position on the current listing. “Unrepresented” means prior minutes not attached to a same-program listing in this release; it does not establish a departure, transfer, eligibility or expected role.
| Role | Listed | Prior minutes | Returning minutes | Incoming prior minutes | Returning share | Unrepresented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | 8 | 3,629 | 3,629 | — | 100% | — |
| Forward | 6 | 2,221 | 2,221 | — | 100% | — |
| Center | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
0 listed players have no recognized source position. The workload denominator is the matched prior-production sample (5,850 minutes).
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
14 source-listed players. Prior rates below are attached by exact source ID where available; missing values remain missing.
| Player | Observation | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Prior TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Bland →G | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 33.1 | 13.9 | 55.9% |
| Bryce Eaton →G | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 27.2 | 11.1 | 48.5% |
| Jahki Gupton →F | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 24.5 | 7.8 | 49.7% |
| Zaakir Williamson →F | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 23.3 | 8.6 | 53.4% |
| Elijah Perkins →G | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 25.4 | 3.9 | 39.8% |
| TJ Robinson →G | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 19.5 | 9.6 | 50.3% |
| Lucas Scroggins →F | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 17.4 | 5.8 | 64.7% |
| Adetokunbo Bakare →G | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 12.0 | 4.4 | 48.7% |
| Eric Morgan Jr. →G | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 11.2 | 3.8 | 49.2% |
| Bol Agu →F | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 9.8 | 2.7 | 47.7% |
| J'Quan Ewing →F | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 14.6 | 3.1 | 62.3% |
| Shaedon Simpson →G | Same programSaint Peter's Peacocks | 11.2 | 3.3 | 52.7% |
Showing the 12 highest prior-minute records. Open the full roster board for every source-listed player.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
Binghamton vs Saint Peter's
61.8Binghamton
71.9Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's win estimate78.0%
Model signalStrong lean
Projected home margin10.1
Projected total133.7
80% home-margin range-5.8 to 26.0
Estimated possessions64.3
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityAway 6.8 pts
Saint Peter's attack 46.2% · Binghamton defense 52.7%Binghamton attack 50.1% · Saint Peter's defense 49.8%
Ball securityAway 4.7 pts
Saint Peter's attack 18.6% · Binghamton defense 13.6%Binghamton attack 19.0% · Saint Peter's defense 18.7%
Second chancesHome 12.4 pts
Saint Peter's attack 34.4% · Binghamton defense 29.7%Binghamton attack 24.6% · Saint Peter's defense 32.3%
Free-throw pressureHome 8.0 pts
Saint Peter's attack 36.9% · Binghamton defense 36.0%Binghamton attack 37.8% · Saint Peter's defense 45.0%
Yanitelli Center
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →