A relative strength
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
26.2% · rank 21 of 366 · 36 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Saint Joseph's
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.108
+6.0 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
24–122025–26 recorded finals
107.9Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
101.9Adjusted defense · lower is better
68.9Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Saint Joseph's.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
24–1236 recorded games · 36 paired efficiency samples · pace 68.4Mean opponent adj. net 2.0 · 34 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
49.7%36 games · higher is betterRank 281 / 366 · 23th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
47.2%36 games · lower is betterRank 30 / 366 · 92th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
17.0%36 games · lower is betterRank 207 / 366 · 44th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
14.9%36 games · higher is betterRank 312 / 366 · 15th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
32.5%36 games · higher is betterRank 128 / 366 · 65th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
30.2%36 games · lower is betterRank 190 / 366 · 48th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
30.1%36 games · higher is betterRank 301 / 366 · 18th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
26.2%36 games · lower is betterRank 21 / 366 · 95th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 106.5 | 36 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 102.3 | 36 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 52.5% | 36 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 47.1% | 36 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 30.8% | 36 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 31.5% | 36 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 44.7% | 36 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 40.5% | 36 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 74.1% | 36 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 68.9% | 36 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 60.0% | 36 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 51.8% | 36 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,481 source possession rows across 36 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent effective FG%
47.2% · rank 30 of 366 · 36 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
A closer look
Free-throw attempt rate
30.1% · rank 301 of 366 · 36 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
A closer look
Turnovers forced
14.9% · rank 312 of 366 · 36 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 9 times in the selected window; Saint Joseph's won 8. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 25, 2026 · road vs New Mexico · L 69–84 · offense 93.5 / defense 113.9
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 36 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New MexicoMar 25, 2026 · road | L 69–84 | 40 | 93.5 | 113.9 | 73.8 | 46.9 | 13.6 | 19.5 |
| CaliforniaMar 23, 2026 · road | W 76–75 | 104 | 111.9 | 110.4 | 67.9 | 50.7 | 13.2 | 37.2 |
| Colorado StMar 19, 2026 · road | W 69–64 | 67 | 103.0 | 95.5 | 67.0 | 45.7 | 20.9 | 36.8 |
| VCUMar 14, 2026 · neutral | L 64–77 | 39 | 98.4 | 118.4 | 65.0 | 46.3 | 13.8 | 33.3 |
| DavidsonMar 13, 2026 · neutral | W 70–58 | 121 | 114.6 | 95.0 | 61.1 | 50.0 | 18.0 | 35.7 |
| La SalleMar 7, 2026 · home | W 88–76 | 242 | 128.0 | 110.5 | 68.8 | 61.5 | 14.5 | 32.3 |
| DavidsonMar 5, 2026 · road | W 70–67 | 121 | 106.7 | 102.1 | 65.6 | 54.7 | 19.8 | 23.3 |
| Rhode IslandFeb 28, 2026 · road | W 61–55 | 158 | 86.8 | 78.3 | 70.3 | 41.7 | 18.5 | 26.2 |
| George MasonFeb 26, 2026 · home | W 81–63 | 90 | 125.7 | 97.7 | 64.5 | 60.5 | 4.7 | 14.3 |
| Loyola ChicagoFeb 21, 2026 · home | W 75–61 | 202 | 113.9 | 92.6 | 65.9 | 51.7 | 12.1 | 28.1 |
| St BonaventureFeb 19, 2026 · road | W 71–65 | 125 | 102.1 | 93.5 | 69.5 | 46.3 | 12.9 | 30.2 |
| FordhamFeb 11, 2026 · home | L 64–68 | 187 | 100.5 | 106.7 | 63.7 | 50.0 | 18.8 | 27.8 |
| George MasonFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 52–60 | 90 | 86.2 | 99.5 | 60.3 | 38.5 | 23.2 | 44.4 |
| G WashingtonFeb 5, 2026 · home | W 76–73 | 110 | 108.7 | 104.4 | 69.9 | 57.0 | 21.5 | 28.6 |
| La SalleJan 31, 2026 · road | W 67–58 | 242 | 102.7 | 88.9 | 65.3 | 55.8 | 23.0 | 25.0 |
| Loyola ChicagoJan 28, 2026 · road | W 85–64 | 202 | 128.7 | 96.9 | 66.0 | 64.1 | 12.1 | 32.1 |
| DaytonJan 24, 2026 · home | W 81–74 | 58 | 108.4 | 99.0 | 74.7 | 50.0 | 16.1 | 27.8 |
| VCUJan 19, 2026 · road | L 72–79 | 39 | 99.0 | 108.6 | 72.8 | 54.5 | 24.7 | 25.0 |
| St BonaventureJan 15, 2026 · home | W 68–64 | 125 | 102.8 | 96.7 | 66.2 | 49.1 | 19.7 | 28.1 |
| RichmondJan 11, 2026 · road | W 67–65 | 162 | 96.1 | 93.2 | 69.7 | 50.0 | 15.8 | 23.7 |
| DuquesneJan 8, 2026 · home | W 97–90 | 129 | 120.6 | 111.9 | 71.5 | 55.1 | 13.7 | 36.1 |
| DavidsonJan 3, 2026 · home | L 56–62 | 121 | 92.1 | 102.0 | 60.8 | 41.0 | 18.1 | 31.0 |
| Saint LouisDec 31, 2025 · road | L 79–102 | 55 | 121.0 | 156.2 | 65.3 | 49.2 | 9.2 | 35.9 |
| ArcadiaDec 28, 2025 · home | W 87–65 | Unrated | 127.0 | 94.9 | 68.5 | 55.6 | 17.5 | 47.4 |
| CoastalDec 23, 2025 · home | L 62–68 | 286 | 86.9 | 95.3 | 71.4 | 39.2 | 15.4 | 23.3 |
| Delaware StDec 19, 2025 · home | W 67–51 | 359 | 99.4 | 75.7 | 67.4 | 45.9 | 20.8 | 43.6 |
| SyracuseDec 12, 2025 · road | L 63–71 | 102 | 90.6 | 102.1 | 69.6 | 40.2 | 20.1 | 33.3 |
| Coppin StDec 10, 2025 · home | W 87–65 | 364 | 128.3 | 95.9 | 67.8 | 62.3 | 14.8 | 25.9 |
| TempleDec 6, 2025 · neutral | W 70–69 | 142 | 110.8 | 109.2 | 63.2 | 44.8 | 19.0 | 48.6 |
| PrincetonNov 30, 2025 · neutral | W 60–58 | 184 | 96.4 | 93.2 | 62.3 | 48.1 | 20.9 | 31.0 |
| Rutgers-CamdenNov 26, 2025 · home | W 100–61 | Unrated | 130.1 | 79.4 | 76.9 | 60.6 | 23.4 | 64.3 |
| UNLVNov 21, 2025 · road | L 85–99 | 111 | 106.6 | 124.2 | 79.7 | 46.9 | 15.1 | 28.3 |
| PennNov 18, 2025 · road | L 74–83 | 203 | 98.6 | 110.6 | 75.0 | 45.1 | 17.3 | 35.6 |
| Virginia TechNov 13, 2025 · road | L 59–94 | 79 | 79.7 | 127.0 | 74.0 | 41.0 | 25.7 | 33.3 |
| DrexelNov 8, 2025 · home | W 76–65 | 185 | 106.4 | 91.0 | 71.5 | 43.1 | 14.0 | 29.7 |
| LafayetteNov 4, 2025 · home | W 85–76 | 319 | 120.2 | 107.5 | 70.7 | 50.0 | 9.9 | 40.0 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek SimpsonG | 36 | 33.9 | 13.8 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 54.5 | 21.9% | 36 | 2.4436 games | 18136 games |
| Jaiden Glover-ToscanoG | 34 | 31.4 | 15.7 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 54.9 | 25.2% | 34 | 0.6734 games | 26034 games |
| Dasear HaskinsG | 36 | 27.7 | 11.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 55.5 | 20.2% | 36 | 1.1936 games | 12736 games |
| Austin WillifordG | 36 | 26.2 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 49.8 | 17.4% | 36 | 1.1136 games | 14336 games |
| Justice AjogborC | 36 | 26.0 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 65.9 | 11.2% | 36 | 1.5336 games | 036 games |
| Anthony FinkleyF | 35 | 19.0 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 46.2 | 19.0% | 35 | 1.2135 games | 11135 games |
| Khaafiq MyersG | 34 | 15.8 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 44.5 | 21.8% | 34 | 2.1134 games | 6034 games |
| Jaden SmithC | 36 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 53.6 | 18.0% | 36 | 0.4436 games | 1136 games |
| Deuce JonesG | 10 | 26.9 | 15.8 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 53.2 | 31.3% | 10 | 1.1810 games | 4910 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Saint Joseph's?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →