A relative strength
Turnovers forced
18.1% · rank 100 of 366 · 31 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Saint Francis
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.356
-18.0 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
7–242025–26 recorded finals
98.6Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
116.5Adjusted defense · lower is better
69.1Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Saint Francis.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
7–2431 recorded games · 31 paired efficiency samples · pace 70.3Mean opponent adj. net -5.5 · 29 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
49.5%31 games · higher is betterRank 294 / 366 · 20th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
56.6%31 games · lower is betterRank 360 / 366 · 2th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
18.3%31 games · lower is betterRank 293 / 366 · 20th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
18.1%31 games · higher is betterRank 100 / 366 · 73th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
28.7%31 games · higher is betterRank 266 / 366 · 27th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
31.8%31 games · lower is betterRank 276 / 366 · 25th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
30.5%31 games · higher is betterRank 291 / 366 · 21th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
36.6%31 games · lower is betterRank 243 / 366 · 34th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 101.2 | 31 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 114.7 | 31 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 48.6% | 31 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 57.6% | 31 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 34.0% | 31 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 36.8% | 31 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 38.1% | 31 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 40.5% | 31 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 69.4% | 31 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 71.3% | 31 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 52.5% | 31 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 55.6% | 31 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,215 source possession rows across 31 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
36.6% · rank 243 of 366 · 31 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
A closer look
Effective FG%
49.5% · rank 294 of 366 · 31 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
A closer look
Opponent effective FG%
56.6% · rank 360 of 366 · 31 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 8 times in the selected window; Saint Francis won 3. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Feb 28, 2026 · road vs C Connecticut · L 64–69 · offense 98.6 / defense 106.3
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 31 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C ConnecticutFeb 28, 2026 · road | L 64–69 | 260 | 98.6 | 106.3 | 64.9 | 46.4 | 20.0 | 30.6 |
| StonehillFeb 27, 2026 · road | L 77–103 | 341 | 105.4 | 141.0 | 73.0 | 50.0 | 15.1 | 30.2 |
| New HavenFeb 24, 2026 · road | W 73–67 | 332 | 116.2 | 106.6 | 62.8 | 60.9 | 20.7 | 20.0 |
| WagnerFeb 21, 2026 · home | L 56–65 | 313 | 86.2 | 100.0 | 65.0 | 41.4 | 18.5 | 33.3 |
| Long IslandFeb 20, 2026 · home | L 89–91 | 269 | 115.6 | 118.2 | 77.0 | 62.9 | 27.3 | 37.9 |
| MercyhurstFeb 14, 2026 · home | L 79–94 | 305 | 115.1 | 137.0 | 68.6 | 59.0 | 14.6 | 18.8 |
| FDUFeb 13, 2026 · road | L 59–66 | 328 | 90.2 | 100.9 | 65.4 | 35.7 | 15.3 | 35.6 |
| Chicago StFeb 9, 2026 · road | L 75–80 | 360 | 105.7 | 112.7 | 71.0 | 50.9 | 25.4 | 35.3 |
| Le MoyneFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 84–86 | 316 | 109.4 | 112.0 | 76.8 | 52.3 | 15.6 | 29.3 |
| MercyhurstFeb 6, 2026 · road | L 89–98 | 305 | 115.1 | 126.7 | 68.8 | 56.9 | 19.4 | 31.6 |
| New HavenFeb 1, 2026 · home | L 69–81 | 332 | 104.2 | 122.4 | 66.2 | 50.9 | 15.1 | 22.9 |
| Chicago StJan 24, 2026 · home | W 81–60 | 360 | 121.1 | 89.7 | 66.9 | 65.7 | 19.4 | 27.3 |
| StonehillJan 19, 2026 · home | W 63–61 | 341 | 93.1 | 90.2 | 67.6 | 40.4 | 10.3 | 23.3 |
| C ConnecticutJan 17, 2026 · home | L 90–98 | 260 | 131.8 | 143.5 | 68.3 | 55.2 | 8.8 | 41.0 |
| Long IslandJan 10, 2026 · road | L 63–67 | 269 | 88.4 | 94.0 | 71.3 | 51.9 | 21.0 | 9.7 |
| WagnerJan 9, 2026 · road | W 71–69 | 313 | 109.2 | 106.1 | 65.0 | 51.9 | 16.9 | 28.1 |
| FDUJan 4, 2026 · home | W 85–82 | 328 | 118.1 | 113.9 | 72.0 | 55.6 | 15.3 | 23.3 |
| Le MoyneJan 3, 2026 · home | L 58–84 | 316 | 86.5 | 125.2 | 67.1 | 39.8 | 14.9 | 27.9 |
| Robert MorrisDec 20, 2025 · home | L 70–79 | 166 | 109.7 | 123.8 | 63.8 | 53.3 | 11.0 | 25.0 |
| FloridaDec 17, 2025 · road | L 61–102 | 4 | 84.4 | 141.1 | 72.3 | 42.1 | 16.6 | 20.5 |
| TempleDec 14, 2025 · road | L 67–95 | 142 | 96.5 | 136.9 | 69.4 | 49.2 | 17.3 | 27.0 |
| RadfordDec 7, 2025 · road | L 56–89 | 213 | 80.6 | 128.1 | 69.5 | 41.8 | 20.1 | 24.4 |
| PSU ShenangoDec 4, 2025 · home | W 100–41 | Unrated | 133.8 | 54.8 | 74.8 | 56.0 | 8.0 | 43.5 |
| XavierDec 2, 2025 · road | L 74–96 | 68 | 95.3 | 123.7 | 77.6 | 50.8 | 19.3 | 17.1 |
| FranciscanNov 29, 2025 · home | W 85–60 | Unrated | 112.2 | 79.2 | 75.7 | 57.0 | 25.1 | 48.3 |
| TroyNov 26, 2025 · neutral | L 64–74 | 123 | 87.2 | 100.8 | 73.4 | 47.3 | 30.0 | 31.4 |
| BelmontNov 24, 2025 · neutral | L 57–94 | 86 | 79.3 | 130.8 | 71.9 | 39.0 | 23.6 | 26.8 |
| LehighNov 19, 2025 · road | L 62–79 | 291 | 84.6 | 107.8 | 73.3 | 44.9 | 24.6 | 27.8 |
| Mount St MarysNov 12, 2025 · home | L 66–74 | 264 | 95.6 | 107.2 | 69.1 | 40.8 | 15.9 | 38.1 |
| TCUNov 7, 2025 · road | L 63–104 | 48 | 81.2 | 134.1 | 77.6 | 46.0 | 20.6 | 13.2 |
| OklahomaNov 4, 2025 · road | L 66–102 | 38 | 89.0 | 137.6 | 74.2 | 44.7 | 18.9 | 30.0 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar WicksG | 28 | 33.3 | 17.8 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 50.9 | 30.3% | 28 | 1.0528 games | 16828 games |
| Zion RussellG | 28 | 29.3 | 12.4 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 53.8 | 22.8% | 28 | 1.4228 games | 11328 games |
| Ahmad HarrisonG | 31 | 25.3 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 45.5 | 21.0% | 31 | 1.4031 games | 10231 games |
| Gestin LiberisF | 31 | 23.9 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 58.9 | 16.0% | 31 | 0.6331 games | 1131 games |
| Victor PayneG | 31 | 23.9 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 58.9 | 14.0% | 31 | 1.1831 games | 10931 games |
| Chris MoncriefG | 21 | 27.6 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 56.1 | 19.2% | 21 | 0.9021 games | 2621 games |
| Ralph Martino Jr.G | 19 | 21.9 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 66.3 | 12.1% | 19 | 4.3319 games | 2819 games |
| Cameron TweedyF | 31 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 57.6 | 13.8% | 31 | 0.7531 games | 131 games |
| Brandon RussellG | 29 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 33.9 | 17.6% | 29 | 1.2329 games | 4929 games |
| Paris PapadatosG | 22 | 11.8 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 48.1 | 24.1% | 22 | 0.4222 games | 4922 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Saint Francis?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →