A relative strength
Opponent offensive rebound rate
25.7% · rank 22 of 366 · 31 games
Which matchups demand an extra box-out assignment?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Portland St
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.170
-0.7 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
20–112025–26 recorded finals
102.6Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
103.3Adjusted defense · lower is better
69.1Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Portland St.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
20–1131 recorded games · 31 paired efficiency samples · pace 69.6Mean opponent adj. net -3.1 · 28 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
51.7%31 games · higher is betterRank 190 / 366 · 48th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
48.2%31 games · lower is betterRank 53 / 366 · 86th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
16.6%31 games · lower is betterRank 179 / 366 · 51th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
18.3%31 games · higher is betterRank 96 / 366 · 74th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
31.9%31 games · higher is betterRank 151 / 366 · 59th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
25.7%31 games · lower is betterRank 22 / 366 · 94th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
35.7%31 games · higher is betterRank 162 / 366 · 56th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
42.1%31 games · lower is betterRank 336 / 366 · 8th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 109.3 | 31 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 100.2 | 31 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 53.2% | 31 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 48.1% | 31 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 32.5% | 31 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 32.2% | 31 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 34.5% | 31 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 40.0% | 31 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 70.8% | 31 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 74.0% | 31 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 52.8% | 31 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 52.7% | 31 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,107 source possession rows across 30 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent effective FG%
48.2% · rank 53 of 366 · 31 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
A closer look
Effective FG%
51.7% · rank 190 of 366 · 31 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
42.1% · rank 336 of 366 · 31 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 10 times in the selected window; Portland St won 6. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 11, 2026 · neutral vs Montana · L 72–75 · offense 97.8 / defense 101.9
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 31 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MontanaMar 11, 2026 · neutral | L 72–75 | 178 | 97.8 | 101.9 | 73.6 | 34.3 | 9.5 | 32.6 |
| Idaho StMar 8, 2026 · neutral | W 85–78 | 239 | 115.6 | 106.1 | 73.6 | 49.1 | 5.4 | 20.0 |
| Weber StMar 3, 2026 · home | W 84–60 | 212 | 121.8 | 87.0 | 68.9 | 61.5 | 10.2 | 24.1 |
| MontanaFeb 28, 2026 · road | L 68–74 | 178 | 95.0 | 103.4 | 71.6 | 46.1 | 19.6 | 32.5 |
| Montana StFeb 27, 2026 · road | L 69–84 | 163 | 98.0 | 119.3 | 70.4 | 52.6 | 21.3 | 32.3 |
| E WashingtonFeb 21, 2026 · home | L 55–67 | 199 | 83.0 | 101.1 | 66.3 | 34.4 | 12.1 | 23.3 |
| IdahoFeb 20, 2026 · home | W 77–67 | 214 | 112.3 | 97.7 | 68.6 | 53.4 | 14.6 | 28.6 |
| N ColoradoFeb 14, 2026 · road | L 65–77 | 149 | 94.1 | 111.5 | 69.1 | 44.5 | 11.6 | 15.0 |
| N ArizonaFeb 13, 2026 · road | W 77–68 | 308 | 121.8 | 107.6 | 63.2 | 65.5 | 20.6 | 20.0 |
| Sacramento StFeb 8, 2026 · road | W 74–73 | 314 | 108.3 | 106.9 | 68.3 | 41.5 | 14.6 | 44.2 |
| Idaho StFeb 3, 2026 · home | W 88–65 | 239 | 142.1 | 105.0 | 61.9 | 61.9 | 6.5 | 31.0 |
| Montana StJan 31, 2026 · home | W 63–54 | 163 | 102.5 | 87.9 | 61.4 | 51.9 | 22.8 | 36.7 |
| MontanaJan 30, 2026 · home | L 60–64 | 178 | 87.5 | 93.3 | 68.6 | 41.5 | 24.8 | 30.3 |
| IdahoJan 24, 2026 · road | W 69–66 | 214 | 102.6 | 98.2 | 67.2 | 53.7 | 14.9 | 12.5 |
| E WashingtonJan 23, 2026 · road | W 65–61 | 199 | 96.2 | 90.3 | 67.6 | 48.2 | 19.2 | 28.6 |
| N ArizonaJan 17, 2026 · home | W 63–52 | 308 | 102.3 | 84.4 | 61.6 | 47.2 | 19.5 | 36.8 |
| N ColoradoJan 16, 2026 · home | W 76–73 | 149 | 105.3 | 101.2 | 72.2 | 52.8 | 23.6 | 36.7 |
| Sacramento StJan 10, 2026 · home | W 96–69 | 314 | 132.6 | 95.3 | 72.4 | 62.5 | 15.2 | 41.9 |
| Idaho StJan 3, 2026 · road | W 93–87 | 239 | 126.0 | 117.9 | 65.6 | 59.2 | 10.8 | 22.2 |
| Weber StJan 1, 2026 · road | W 95–90 | 212 | 112.6 | 106.7 | 75.0 | 50.7 | 14.2 | 32.7 |
| TulaneDec 21, 2025 · road | L 61–63 | 168 | 93.2 | 96.3 | 65.4 | 45.5 | 19.9 | 32.4 |
| ColoradoDec 18, 2025 · road | L 73–84 | 69 | 102.2 | 117.6 | 71.4 | 51.8 | 19.6 | 27.3 |
| George FoxDec 13, 2025 · home | W 94–50 | Unrated | 134.6 | 71.6 | 69.8 | 59.0 | 8.6 | 38.9 |
| OmahaDec 6, 2025 · home | L 55–60 | 238 | 95.1 | 103.7 | 57.8 | 46.0 | 17.3 | 28.6 |
| South DakotaDec 4, 2025 · road | W 77–71 | 289 | 100.3 | 92.5 | 76.8 | 50.0 | 16.9 | 25.0 |
| Utah TechNov 26, 2025 · road | W 68–63 | 240 | 95.7 | 88.6 | 71.1 | 44.0 | 23.9 | 41.0 |
| EvergreenNov 20, 2025 · home | W 90–61 | Unrated | 127.0 | 86.1 | 70.9 | 52.1 | 15.5 | 51.2 |
| BakersfieldNov 18, 2025 · home | W 93–80 | 311 | 125.6 | 108.0 | 74.1 | 69.1 | 20.3 | 37.0 |
| San FranciscoNov 13, 2025 · road | L 70–80 | 89 | 102.2 | 116.7 | 68.5 | 46.2 | 19.0 | 34.9 |
| NW IndianNov 8, 2025 · home | W 122–74 | Unrated | 146.0 | 88.6 | 83.6 | 66.7 | 16.8 | 54.1 |
| StanfordNov 5, 2025 · road | L 79–89 | 77 | 98.3 | 110.8 | 80.4 | 56.8 | 26.1 | 23.5 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin HendersonG | 31 | 37.3 | 18.2 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 52.0 | 27.2% | 31 | 1.9931 games | 12431 games |
| Terri Miller Jr.F | 30 | 31.5 | 19.1 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 58.7 | 30.3% | 30 | 1.1930 games | 13930 games |
| Tre-Vaughn MinottC | 31 | 28.6 | 9.9 | 8.8 | 0.3 | 65.4 | 15.1% | 31 | 0.3031 games | 031 games |
| Keyon Kensie Jr.G | 29 | 30.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 51.2 | 19.8% | 29 | 0.8529 games | 8029 games |
| Kelcy PhippsG | 31 | 17.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 58.0 | 13.9% | 31 | 1.1531 games | 5831 games |
| Alex DupreG | 30 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 44.5 | 12.7% | 30 | 1.4630 games | 5130 games |
| Sebastian TidorG | 27 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 51.1 | 17.8% | 27 | 1.5027 games | 7927 games |
| Isaiah WilliamsG | 24 | 14.4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 52.2 | 13.8% | 24 | 0.5524 games | 4124 games |
| Brycen LongG | 27 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 58.4 | 15.3% | 27 | 0.9427 games | 5127 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Portland St?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →