A relative strength
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
28.3% · rank 44 of 366 · 32 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Pepperdine
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.261
-7.3 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
9–232025–26 recorded finals
103.8Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
111.0Adjusted defense · lower is better
69.3Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Pepperdine.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
9–2332 recorded games · 32 paired efficiency samples · pace 69.5Mean opponent adj. net 2.4 · 30 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
48.8%32 games · higher is betterRank 314 / 366 · 14th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
54.2%32 games · lower is betterRank 330 / 366 · 10th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
18.3%32 games · lower is betterRank 292 / 366 · 20th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
16.5%32 games · higher is betterRank 207 / 366 · 44th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
31.3%32 games · higher is betterRank 174 / 366 · 53th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
33.5%32 games · lower is betterRank 323 / 366 · 12th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
33.1%32 games · higher is betterRank 234 / 366 · 36th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
28.3%32 games · lower is betterRank 44 / 366 · 88th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 103.2 | 32 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 113.6 | 32 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 49.5% | 32 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 54.5% | 32 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 31.7% | 32 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 35.9% | 32 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 38.5% | 32 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 40.7% | 32 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 75.0% | 32 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 72.3% | 32 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 56.0% | 32 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 55.6% | 32 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,230 source possession rows across 32 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Offensive rebound rate
31.3% · rank 174 of 366 · 32 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
A closer look
Opponent offensive rebound rate
33.5% · rank 323 of 366 · 32 games
Which matchups demand an extra box-out assignment?
A closer look
Opponent effective FG%
54.2% · rank 330 of 366 · 32 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 7 times in the selected window; Pepperdine won 2. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 6, 2026 · neutral vs Portland · L 68–77 · offense 98.2 / defense 111.2
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 32 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PortlandMar 6, 2026 · neutral | L 68–77 | 258 | 98.2 | 111.2 | 69.3 | 41.4 | 14.4 | 39.6 |
| Washington StMar 1, 2026 · home | W 88–79 | 117 | 116.6 | 104.6 | 75.5 | 49.3 | 17.2 | 44.7 |
| Seattle UFeb 26, 2026 · home | L 80–87 | 120 | 114.1 | 124.1 | 70.1 | 55.3 | 22.8 | 44.4 |
| Oregon StFeb 22, 2026 · road | L 73–83 | 139 | 101.4 | 115.3 | 72.0 | 50.0 | 13.9 | 11.8 |
| PortlandFeb 19, 2026 · road | W 95–87 | 258 | 136.2 | 124.8 | 69.7 | 62.9 | 12.9 | 43.8 |
| LMUFeb 14, 2026 · home | W 90–89 | 160 | 126.4 | 125.0 | 71.2 | 62.1 | 15.5 | 30.0 |
| Saint Mary'sFeb 12, 2026 · road | L 60–88 | 18 | 83.8 | 122.9 | 71.6 | 39.6 | 16.8 | 26.1 |
| PacificFeb 8, 2026 · home | L 59–92 | 207 | 81.3 | 126.8 | 72.6 | 42.0 | 16.5 | 10.0 |
| Seattle UFeb 5, 2026 · road | L 81–83 | 120 | 105.8 | 108.4 | 76.5 | 50.0 | 18.3 | 29.4 |
| San DiegoJan 29, 2026 · home | L 88–92 | 263 | 109.6 | 114.5 | 71.4 | 48.6 | 13.7 | 32.6 |
| Washington StJan 24, 2026 · road | L 79–95 | 117 | 111.1 | 133.6 | 71.1 | 58.9 | 21.1 | 23.1 |
| GonzagaJan 22, 2026 · road | L 60–84 | 8 | 86.3 | 120.8 | 69.5 | 40.5 | 21.6 | 27.0 |
| PortlandJan 15, 2026 · home | W 67–63 | 258 | 99.4 | 93.5 | 67.4 | 51.9 | 19.3 | 27.3 |
| San FranciscoJan 11, 2026 · home | L 60–80 | 89 | 90.5 | 120.7 | 66.3 | 33.1 | 9.1 | 28.3 |
| San DiegoJan 9, 2026 · road | L 63–83 | 263 | 93.7 | 123.4 | 67.2 | 47.8 | 22.3 | 22.6 |
| PacificJan 5, 2026 · road | L 69–74 | 207 | 103.5 | 111.0 | 66.7 | 48.2 | 16.5 | 23.5 |
| Santa ClaraJan 3, 2026 · road | L 63–82 | 42 | 84.5 | 110.0 | 74.6 | 43.5 | 25.5 | 27.0 |
| Saint Mary'sDec 31, 2025 · home | L 45–72 | 18 | 73.4 | 117.4 | 61.3 | 38.2 | 21.2 | 22.2 |
| GonzagaDec 29, 2025 · home | L 56–96 | 8 | 79.1 | 135.7 | 70.8 | 38.4 | 19.8 | 24.4 |
| RiceDec 21, 2025 · home | W 84–62 | 224 | 119.1 | 87.9 | 70.5 | 60.2 | 22.7 | 34.5 |
| Long Beach StDec 19, 2025 · road | L 78–81 | 265 | 111.6 | 115.9 | 69.9 | 66.0 | 25.8 | 23.8 |
| BakersfieldDec 14, 2025 · road | W 70–62 | 311 | 103.8 | 91.9 | 67.5 | 51.8 | 22.2 | 35.3 |
| VermontDec 6, 2025 · home | L 56–65 | 194 | 89.8 | 104.2 | 62.4 | 40.6 | 19.2 | 24.2 |
| Abilene ChrstnDec 3, 2025 · home | L 63–71 | 248 | 101.8 | 114.7 | 61.9 | 48.9 | 17.8 | 23.1 |
| FullertonNov 29, 2025 · road | L 69–83 | 255 | 98.1 | 118.0 | 70.3 | 46.0 | 18.5 | 18.2 |
| Fresno StNov 27, 2025 · neutral | L 53–76 | 188 | 77.1 | 110.5 | 68.8 | 35.9 | 24.7 | 40.5 |
| SF AustinNov 22, 2025 · home | L 60–63 | 145 | 89.5 | 93.9 | 67.1 | 47.0 | 22.4 | 21.4 |
| New OrleansNov 19, 2025 · home | W 90–79 | 299 | 121.9 | 107.0 | 73.9 | 50.8 | 8.1 | 30.6 |
| N ColoradoNov 16, 2025 · home | L 81–88 | 149 | 98.1 | 106.6 | 73.4 | 41.8 | 13.3 | 30.0 |
| Lincoln (CA)Nov 12, 2025 · home | W 113–76 | Unrated | 158.1 | 106.3 | 71.5 | 64.2 | 15.4 | 78.8 |
| UCLANov 8, 2025 · road | L 63–74 | 27 | 100.4 | 117.9 | 62.8 | 41.0 | 19.1 | 41.7 |
| Life PacificNov 4, 2025 · home | W 88–80 | Unrated | 128.1 | 116.4 | 68.7 | 61.3 | 20.4 | 54.3 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Styles PhippsG | 32 | 34.0 | 13.4 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 51.9 | 23.0% | 32 | 1.8432 games | 7432 games |
| Aaron ClarkG | 32 | 32.3 | 15.2 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 54.3 | 26.0% | 32 | 0.9932 games | 16632 games |
| Javon CooleyG | 32 | 30.1 | 11.4 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 53.2 | 20.1% | 32 | 0.7832 games | 13932 games |
| Danilo DožicC | 27 | 31.3 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 55.3 | 18.6% | 27 | 1.1427 games | 12427 games |
| Yonatan LevyF | 32 | 20.5 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 55.0 | 14.9% | 32 | 1.2232 games | 4732 games |
| Pavle StošicF | 31 | 16.2 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 50.2 | 13.1% | 31 | 1.1031 games | 2531 games |
| Stefan CicicC | 31 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 55.2 | 19.2% | 31 | 0.4131 games | 1331 games |
| Luka VudragovicG | 31 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 47.5 | 18.4% | 31 | 0.6731 games | 6931 games |
| David MagerG | 31 | 10.6 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 51.3 | 20.5% | 31 | 1.2031 games | 5131 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Pepperdine?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →