A relative strength
Turnovers forced
22.2% · rank 5 of 366 · 33 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
North Texas
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.101
+6.9 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
19–142025–26 recorded finals
106.3Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
99.4Adjusted defense · lower is better
64.2Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on North Texas.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
19–1433 recorded games · 33 paired efficiency samples · pace 66.5Mean opponent adj. net 1.4 · 31 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
47.4%33 games · higher is betterRank 343 / 366 · 6th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
48.1%33 games · lower is betterRank 51 / 366 · 86th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
16.7%33 games · lower is betterRank 188 / 366 · 49th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
22.2%33 games · higher is betterRank 5 / 366 · 99th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
33.4%33 games · higher is betterRank 99 / 366 · 73th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
32.3%33 games · lower is betterRank 294 / 366 · 20th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
39.9%33 games · higher is betterRank 56 / 366 · 85th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
44.3%33 games · lower is betterRank 352 / 366 · 4th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 104.2 | 33 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 99.1 | 33 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 48.6% | 33 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 49.4% | 33 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 30.0% | 33 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 30.6% | 33 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 32.5% | 33 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 38.6% | 33 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 69.3% | 33 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 71.0% | 33 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 51.1% | 33 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 49.3% | 33 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,274 source possession rows across 33 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent effective FG%
48.1% · rank 51 of 366 · 33 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
A closer look
Effective FG%
47.4% · rank 343 of 366 · 33 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
44.3% · rank 352 of 366 · 33 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 17 times in the selected window; North Texas won 10. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 13, 2026 · neutral vs Tulsa · L 84–90 · offense 92.1 / defense 98.7
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 33 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TulsaMar 13, 2026 · neutral | L 84–90 | 116 | 92.1 | 98.7 | 66.3 | 40.0 | 14.3 | 28.8 |
| FAUMar 13, 2026 · neutral | W 74–70 | 94 | 103.4 | 97.8 | 71.6 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 23.3 |
| RiceMar 5, 2026 · home | W 62–58 | 224 | 101.6 | 95.0 | 61.1 | 46.3 | 14.7 | 32.4 |
| UABMar 1, 2026 · road | W 62–58 | 106 | 96.7 | 90.4 | 64.1 | 46.7 | 12.5 | 25.0 |
| CharlotteFeb 26, 2026 · road | L 79–80 | 181 | 124.8 | 126.4 | 63.3 | 57.9 | 9.5 | 34.4 |
| FAUFeb 22, 2026 · home | W 73–72 | 94 | 113.7 | 112.1 | 64.2 | 46.4 | 14.0 | 36.1 |
| TulaneFeb 20, 2026 · home | L 71–77 | 168 | 108.3 | 117.4 | 65.6 | 46.3 | 18.3 | 40.5 |
| TempleFeb 15, 2026 · road | W 65–62 | 142 | 101.9 | 97.2 | 63.8 | 40.3 | 7.8 | 32.5 |
| MemphisFeb 13, 2026 · home | W 76–69 | 85 | 110.5 | 100.3 | 68.8 | 47.9 | 21.8 | 41.9 |
| UTSAFeb 7, 2026 · road | W 81–58 | 312 | 116.1 | 83.2 | 69.7 | 47.0 | 18.6 | 52.5 |
| RiceFeb 5, 2026 · road | L 83–86 | 224 | 103.0 | 106.7 | 64.5 | 43.9 | 13.6 | 36.7 |
| UABFeb 1, 2026 · home | L 68–72 | 106 | 101.9 | 107.9 | 66.7 | 44.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 |
| TulsaJan 29, 2026 · road | L 66–82 | 116 | 93.3 | 116.0 | 70.7 | 41.3 | 17.0 | 30.2 |
| East CarolinaJan 23, 2026 · home | L 59–63 | 222 | 91.8 | 98.0 | 64.3 | 38.1 | 10.9 | 28.6 |
| UTSAJan 22, 2026 · home | W 81–62 | 312 | 119.3 | 91.3 | 67.9 | 52.4 | 19.2 | 54.1 |
| TulaneJan 18, 2026 · road | W 71–63 | 168 | 105.6 | 93.7 | 67.3 | 43.0 | 22.3 | 43.6 |
| Wichita StJan 11, 2026 · road | L 67–78 | 92 | 94.2 | 109.7 | 71.1 | 39.8 | 16.9 | 35.7 |
| South FloridaJan 8, 2026 · home | L 70–74 | 76 | 102.5 | 108.3 | 68.3 | 51.7 | 19.0 | 33.3 |
| TulsaJan 4, 2026 · home | W 72–67 | 116 | 115.7 | 107.7 | 62.2 | 53.7 | 12.9 | 29.0 |
| MemphisDec 31, 2025 · road | L 48–57 | 85 | 72.2 | 85.8 | 66.5 | 37.3 | 27.1 | 26.5 |
| Sci & Arts OKDec 22, 2025 · home | W 109–56 | Unrated | 147.6 | 75.8 | 73.9 | 73.1 | 14.9 | 37.9 |
| Santa ClaraDec 18, 2025 · neutral | L 60–63 | 42 | 88.9 | 93.3 | 67.5 | 41.0 | 17.8 | 34.5 |
| South AlabamaDec 14, 2025 · road | W 58–57 | 165 | 90.6 | 89.0 | 64.0 | 42.0 | 21.9 | 31.4 |
| TCUDec 7, 2025 · home | L 55–65 | 48 | 82.4 | 97.4 | 66.8 | 45.7 | 21.0 | 13.8 |
| Hou ChristianDec 3, 2025 · home | W 77–75 | 324 | 124.0 | 120.7 | 62.1 | 72.3 | 24.1 | 34.6 |
| Prairie ViewNov 30, 2025 · home | W 72–69 | 336 | 102.3 | 98.0 | 70.4 | 54.0 | 27.0 | 34.5 |
| E WashingtonNov 26, 2025 · home | W 79–71 | 199 | 108.0 | 97.1 | 65.0 | 49.2 | 16.4 | 31.7 |
| C ArkansasNov 21, 2025 · home | W 74–56 | 259 | 107.7 | 81.5 | 68.7 | 43.5 | 14.6 | 31.4 |
| Saint Mary'sNov 15, 2025 · road | L 49–80 | 18 | 73.3 | 119.7 | 66.8 | 29.4 | 12.0 | 20.8 |
| Oregon StNov 13, 2025 · road | L 64–66 | 139 | 101.7 | 104.8 | 63.0 | 49.1 | 22.2 | 40.0 |
| Loyola ChicagoNov 9, 2025 · neutral | W 64–62 | 202 | 97.3 | 94.3 | 65.8 | 39.6 | 18.2 | 35.1 |
| N'Western StNov 7, 2025 · home | W 80–53 | 296 | 135.3 | 89.6 | 59.1 | 66.0 | 18.6 | 46.2 |
| NM HighlandsNov 4, 2025 · home | W 88–54 | Unrated | 116.1 | 71.2 | 75.8 | 62.3 | 18.5 | 27.6 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Terrell Jr.G | 33 | 32.8 | 13.5 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 51.1 | 23.9% | 33 | 2.3233 games | 7033 games |
| Je'Shawn StevensonG | 33 | 32.2 | 17.3 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 52.2 | 28.8% | 33 | 1.2733 games | 24433 games |
| Dylan ArnettF | 33 | 26.5 | 7.6 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 46.7 | 18.3% | 33 | 0.9433 games | 033 games |
| Cole FranklinG | 33 | 25.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 48.9 | 14.7% | 33 | 1.2333 games | 6133 games |
| Reece RobinsonF | 33 | 22.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 57.5 | 17.0% | 33 | 0.6733 games | 5033 games |
| Demarion WatsonG | 32 | 14.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 46.2 | 11.4% | 32 | 0.9532 games | 4232 games |
| Buddy Hammer Jr.F | 29 | 14.2 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 61.1 | 14.4% | 29 | 0.6729 games | 1929 games |
| Cahmai CrosbyG | 33 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 49.5 | 15.6% | 33 | 1.4333 games | 7233 games |
| Josiah ShacklefordF | 25 | 12.1 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 54.5 | 27.1% | 25 | 0.2725 games | 025 games |
| EJ HortonG | 30 | 10.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 51.2 | 17.7% | 30 | 0.5030 games | 3530 games |
| Curtis Stinson Jr.G | 32 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 36.4 | 14.3% | 32 | 1.2832 games | 832 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around North Texas?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →