A relative strength
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
32.0% · rank 115 of 366 · 32 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Oregon
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.61
+11.4 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
12–202025–26 recorded finals
112.3Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
101.0Adjusted defense · lower is better
67.6Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Oregon.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
12–2032 recorded games · 32 paired efficiency samples · pace 66.5Mean opponent adj. net 12.5 · 32 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
49.5%32 games · higher is betterRank 296 / 366 · 19th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
50.9%32 games · lower is betterRank 178 / 366 · 52th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
17.6%32 games · lower is betterRank 257 / 366 · 30th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
15.7%32 games · higher is betterRank 252 / 366 · 31th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
32.3%32 games · higher is betterRank 136 / 366 · 63th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
32.3%32 games · lower is betterRank 291 / 366 · 21th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
35.0%32 games · higher is betterRank 184 / 366 · 50th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
32.0%32 games · lower is betterRank 115 / 366 · 69th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 106.1 | 32 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 110.8 | 32 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 50.5% | 32 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 51.5% | 32 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 32.1% | 32 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 33.4% | 32 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 42.8% | 32 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 42.1% | 32 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 73.0% | 32 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 78.7% | 32 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 59.0% | 32 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 52.9% | 32 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,149 source possession rows across 32 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Offensive rebound rate
32.3% · rank 136 of 366 · 32 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
A closer look
Opponent offensive rebound rate
32.3% · rank 291 of 366 · 32 games
Which matchups demand an extra box-out assignment?
A closer look
Effective FG%
49.5% · rank 296 of 366 · 32 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 7 times in the selected window; Oregon won 3. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 10, 2026 · neutral vs Maryland · L 60–70 · offense 95.6 / defense 111.5
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 32 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarylandMar 10, 2026 · neutral | L 60–70 | 63 | 95.6 | 111.5 | 62.8 | 40.4 | 12.7 | 21.9 |
| WashingtonMar 8, 2026 · home | W 85–79 | 66 | 129.7 | 120.5 | 65.6 | 62.3 | 12.2 | 25.8 |
| IllinoisMar 4, 2026 · road | L 54–80 | 7 | 78.9 | 116.9 | 68.5 | 36.7 | 11.7 | 20.9 |
| NorthwesternFeb 28, 2026 · road | L 62–63 | 53 | 97.3 | 98.9 | 63.7 | 44.9 | 25.1 | 43.2 |
| WisconsinFeb 26, 2026 · home | W 85–71 | 21 | 122.8 | 102.5 | 69.2 | 60.2 | 11.6 | 17.9 |
| USCFeb 21, 2026 · road | W 71–70 | 72 | 101.3 | 99.8 | 70.1 | 49.0 | 21.4 | 26.7 |
| MinnesotaFeb 18, 2026 · home | L 44–61 | 91 | 73.5 | 101.9 | 59.9 | 39.6 | 20.1 | 19.4 |
| Penn StateFeb 14, 2026 · home | W 83–72 | 103 | 126.5 | 109.7 | 65.6 | 64.6 | 22.9 | 34.6 |
| IndianaFeb 10, 2026 · road | L 74–92 | 44 | 111.5 | 138.7 | 66.4 | 50.9 | 9.0 | 25.0 |
| PurdueFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 64–68 | 9 | 96.6 | 102.7 | 66.2 | 49.1 | 19.6 | 22.6 |
| IowaFeb 2, 2026 · home | L 66–84 | 28 | 111.5 | 142.0 | 59.2 | 46.4 | 15.2 | 40.6 |
| UCLAJan 29, 2026 · home | L 57–73 | 27 | 92.5 | 118.5 | 61.6 | 43.2 | 16.2 | 28.2 |
| WashingtonJan 25, 2026 · road | L 57–72 | 66 | 88.7 | 112.1 | 64.2 | 39.3 | 15.6 | 3.6 |
| Michigan StJan 21, 2026 · home | L 52–68 | 13 | 87.8 | 114.8 | 59.3 | 46.1 | 16.9 | 21.9 |
| MichiganJan 17, 2026 · home | L 71–81 | 6 | 105.3 | 120.1 | 67.4 | 46.9 | 16.3 | 38.5 |
| NebraskaJan 14, 2026 · road | L 55–90 | 24 | 85.7 | 140.3 | 64.2 | 47.9 | 24.9 | 21.2 |
| Ohio StateJan 9, 2026 · home | L 62–72 | 25 | 98.9 | 114.8 | 62.7 | 38.5 | 11.2 | 34.9 |
| RutgersJan 6, 2026 · road | L 85–88 | 107 | 115.1 | 119.1 | 65.7 | 55.3 | 23.0 | 42.1 |
| MarylandJan 3, 2026 · road | W 64–54 | 63 | 98.7 | 83.3 | 64.8 | 54.3 | 21.6 | 25.0 |
| OmahaDec 29, 2025 · home | W 80–57 | 238 | 125.7 | 89.6 | 63.7 | 54.4 | 12.6 | 43.9 |
| GonzagaDec 21, 2025 · neutral | L 82–91 | 8 | 121.1 | 134.3 | 67.7 | 57.5 | 16.2 | 29.0 |
| PortlandDec 18, 2025 · home | W 94–69 | 258 | 119.3 | 87.6 | 78.8 | 58.6 | 19.0 | 30.3 |
| UC DavisDec 13, 2025 · home | W 104–62 | 193 | 143.6 | 85.6 | 72.4 | 68.9 | 16.6 | 50.0 |
| UCLADec 6, 2025 · road | L 63–74 | 27 | 103.8 | 121.9 | 60.7 | 40.4 | 18.1 | 44.7 |
| USCDec 3, 2025 · home | L 77–82 | 72 | 112.2 | 119.5 | 68.6 | 56.6 | 20.4 | 32.3 |
| CreightonNov 27, 2025 · neutral | L 66–76 | 47 | 97.6 | 112.4 | 67.6 | 42.8 | 13.3 | 37.2 |
| San Diego StNov 26, 2025 · neutral | L 80–97 | 43 | 113.7 | 137.9 | 70.4 | 50.0 | 18.5 | 35.0 |
| AuburnNov 25, 2025 · neutral | L 73–84 | 15 | 104.4 | 120.1 | 69.9 | 45.1 | 25.7 | 47.6 |
| Oregon StNov 18, 2025 · home | W 87–75 | 139 | 127.6 | 110.0 | 68.2 | 56.6 | 14.7 | 43.8 |
| S Dakota StNov 13, 2025 · home | W 83–69 | 161 | 117.5 | 97.7 | 70.6 | 57.3 | 14.2 | 23.5 |
| RiceNov 8, 2025 · home | W 67–63 | 224 | 100.5 | 94.5 | 66.6 | 39.4 | 18.0 | 42.1 |
| Hawai'iNov 5, 2025 · home | W 60–59 | 136 | 79.3 | 78.0 | 75.7 | 37.9 | 27.7 | 39.5 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takai SimpkinsG | 31 | 32.0 | 12.5 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 56.2 | 21.2% | 31 | 1.1431 games | 14031 games |
| Kwame Evans Jr.F | 30 | 31.0 | 13.3 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 58.1 | 22.4% | 30 | 1.0430 games | 10230 games |
| Nate BittleC | 25 | 31.1 | 16.8 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 56.3 | 28.1% | 25 | 1.1625 games | 11325 games |
| Sean StewartF | 32 | 23.0 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 52.1 | 16.6% | 32 | 1.0332 games | 132 games |
| Dezdrick LindsayF | 32 | 20.5 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 48.4 | 16.0% | 32 | 1.8132 games | 5832 games |
| Wei LinG | 30 | 17.5 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 48.2 | 23.6% | 30 | 1.4330 games | 10530 games |
| Jackson ShelstadG | 12 | 34.9 | 15.6 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 51.6 | 23.3% | 12 | 2.8112 games | 10512 games |
| Drew CarterG | 25 | 14.8 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 55.4 | 11.6% | 25 | 1.0525 games | 4625 games |
| Jamari PhillipsG | 26 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 45.5 | 16.2% | 26 | 1.0026 games | 6126 games |
| Devon PryorF | 16 | 18.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 47.9 | 10.0% | 16 | 2.1116 games | 1816 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Oregon?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
Dated school publications
10 announced additions
| Player | Evidence | Prior program | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Latest publication |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Meadow →College transfer | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Andrew Meadow as a 2026–27 addition. | Boise StateBoise St · 2025–26 | 30.0 | 12.1 | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
| Dwayne Aristode →College transfer | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Dwayne Aristode as a 2026–27 addition. | ArizonaArizona · 2025–26 | 13.3 | 3.8 | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
| Fred Payne →College transfer | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Fred Payne as a 2026–27 addition. | Boston CollegeBoston College · 2025–26 | 34.7 | 15.8 | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
| Jasper Johnson →College transfer | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Jasper Johnson as a 2026–27 addition. | KentuckyKentucky · 2025–26 | 12.0 | 4.9 | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
| Jerry Easter II →College transfer | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Jerry Easter II as a 2026–27 addition. | USCUSC · 2025–26 | 17.9 | 4.6 | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
| Pharaoh Compton →College transfer | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Pharaoh Compton as a 2026–27 addition. | San Diego StateSan Diego St · 2025–26 | 13.8 | 7.5 | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
| Seven SpurlockPrep addition | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Seven Spurlock as a 2026–27 addition. | Overtime Elite | — | — | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
| Tajh ArizaPrep addition | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Tajh Ariza as a 2026–27 addition. | Link Academy | — | — | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
| Taylor Bol Bowen →College transfer | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Taylor Bol Bowen as a 2026–27 addition. | AlabamaAlabama · 2025–26 | 19.1 | 6.3 | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
| Tyrone Riley IV →College transfer | Addition announced ↗Oregon announced Tyrone Riley IV as a 2026–27 addition. | San FranciscoSan Francisco · 2025–26 | 31.8 | 12.2 | Jun 1, 20261 dated record |
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →