A relative strength
Offensive rebound rate
36.0% · rank 37 of 366 · 31 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Rice
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.224
-4.4 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
13–182025–26 recorded finals
106.2Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
110.6Adjusted defense · lower is better
67.1Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Rice.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
13–1831 recorded games · 31 paired efficiency samples · pace 67.2Mean opponent adj. net 1.1 · 29 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
49.6%31 games · higher is betterRank 287 / 366 · 22th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
49.8%31 games · lower is betterRank 117 / 366 · 68th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
17.8%31 games · lower is betterRank 272 / 366 · 26th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
16.4%31 games · higher is betterRank 212 / 366 · 42th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
36.0%31 games · higher is betterRank 37 / 366 · 90th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
33.2%31 games · lower is betterRank 314 / 366 · 14th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
34.0%31 games · higher is betterRank 210 / 366 · 43th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
38.7%31 games · lower is betterRank 293 / 366 · 20th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 108.3 | 31 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 109.2 | 31 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 47.6% | 31 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 49.9% | 31 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 34.8% | 31 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 33.1% | 31 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 44.0% | 31 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 36.4% | 31 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 68.5% | 31 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 72.8% | 31 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 48.3% | 31 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 47.1% | 31 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,155 source possession rows across 31 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent effective FG%
49.8% · rank 117 of 366 · 31 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
38.7% · rank 293 of 366 · 31 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
A closer look
Opponent offensive rebound rate
33.2% · rank 314 of 366 · 31 games
Which matchups demand an extra box-out assignment?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 9 times in the selected window; Rice won 4. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 8, 2026 · home vs UTSA · W 80–71 · offense 116.3 / defense 103.2
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 31 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSAMar 8, 2026 · home | W 80–71 | 312 | 116.3 | 103.2 | 68.8 | 46.2 | 5.8 | 40.0 |
| North TexasMar 5, 2026 · road | L 58–62 | 101 | 95.0 | 101.6 | 61.1 | 44.8 | 24.6 | 44.2 |
| TempleMar 1, 2026 · road | W 80–74 | 142 | 122.7 | 113.5 | 65.2 | 58.9 | 12.3 | 29.2 |
| South FloridaFeb 26, 2026 · home | L 56–75 | 76 | 80.5 | 107.8 | 69.6 | 46.8 | 33.1 | 26.5 |
| TulaneFeb 22, 2026 · road | L 75–81 | 168 | 109.3 | 118.1 | 68.6 | 52.7 | 16.0 | 18.2 |
| East CarolinaFeb 14, 2026 · home | L 75–85 | 222 | 112.8 | 127.9 | 66.5 | 44.9 | 13.5 | 40.5 |
| FAUFeb 12, 2026 · home | W 81–73 | 94 | 116.2 | 104.8 | 69.7 | 54.8 | 7.2 | 21.6 |
| UABFeb 8, 2026 · road | L 65–71 | 106 | 97.9 | 107.0 | 66.4 | 44.1 | 16.6 | 37.0 |
| North TexasFeb 5, 2026 · home | W 86–83 | 101 | 106.7 | 103.0 | 64.5 | 46.6 | 27.3 | 51.0 |
| CharlotteJan 31, 2026 · road | L 70–80 | 181 | 114.6 | 131.0 | 61.1 | 44.4 | 16.4 | 53.7 |
| East CarolinaJan 29, 2026 · road | W 83–77 | 222 | 118.4 | 109.8 | 70.1 | 59.6 | 18.5 | 34.3 |
| TulsaJan 24, 2026 · home | L 81–87 | 116 | 121.9 | 130.9 | 66.5 | 60.0 | 19.6 | 40.6 |
| TempleJan 22, 2026 · home | L 65–69 | 142 | 106.2 | 112.7 | 61.2 | 52.6 | 18.0 | 31.3 |
| UTSAJan 15, 2026 · road | W 89–73 | 312 | 144.5 | 118.5 | 61.6 | 70.4 | 14.6 | 39.3 |
| CharlotteJan 11, 2026 · home | L 73–74 | 181 | 113.1 | 114.7 | 64.5 | 41.5 | 15.5 | 42.9 |
| Wichita StJan 8, 2026 · road | W 66–64 | 92 | 102.1 | 99.0 | 64.7 | 48.3 | 15.5 | 27.0 |
| MemphisJan 3, 2026 · home | L 70–76 | 85 | 107.3 | 116.5 | 65.3 | 45.2 | 21.5 | 37.5 |
| TulsaDec 31, 2025 · road | L 48–97 | 116 | 74.0 | 149.5 | 64.9 | 33.3 | 18.5 | 27.3 |
| PepperdineDec 21, 2025 · road | L 62–84 | 261 | 87.9 | 119.1 | 70.5 | 37.3 | 18.4 | 40.0 |
| SW Christian UDec 17, 2025 · home | W 94–47 | Unrated | 128.9 | 64.4 | 72.9 | 62.3 | 16.5 | 42.4 |
| Arkansas StDec 13, 2025 · home | W 77–76 | 126 | 111.6 | 110.2 | 69.0 | 48.4 | 10.1 | 28.6 |
| Texas StDec 4, 2025 · home | W 77–72 | 228 | 113.4 | 106.0 | 67.9 | 50.0 | 19.1 | 38.9 |
| Oral RobertsNov 26, 2025 · neutral | W 81–62 | 300 | 131.2 | 100.4 | 61.7 | 61.4 | 16.2 | 42.9 |
| FGCUNov 26, 2025 · road | L 63–78 | 219 | 79.2 | 98.0 | 70.7 | 41.0 | 23.9 | 20.9 |
| Kennesaw StNov 24, 2025 · neutral | L 84–89 | 159 | 104.2 | 110.4 | 71.7 | 48.4 | 18.6 | 34.1 |
| Tarleton StNov 21, 2025 · home | L 74–90 | 236 | 99.1 | 120.6 | 74.6 | 50.0 | 18.8 | 30.4 |
| TennesseeNov 18, 2025 · road | L 66–91 | 11 | 96.1 | 132.5 | 68.7 | 40.0 | 16.0 | 32.6 |
| E Texas A&MNov 15, 2025 · home | W 71–64 | 329 | 107.3 | 96.7 | 66.2 | 57.8 | 27.2 | 37.9 |
| SF AustinNov 12, 2025 · home | L 69–81 | 145 | 102.2 | 119.9 | 67.5 | 40.4 | 11.8 | 34.1 |
| OregonNov 8, 2025 · road | L 63–67 | 61 | 94.5 | 100.5 | 66.6 | 44.4 | 21.0 | 34.1 |
| Biblical StudNov 5, 2025 · home | W 109–38 | Unrated | 146.7 | 51.2 | 74.3 | 65.7 | 16.2 | 51.5 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen SmithG | 31 | 32.6 | 12.5 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 54.3 | 20.6% | 31 | 1.1331 games | 20931 games |
| Trae BroadnaxG | 31 | 30.6 | 15.6 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 54.3 | 26.9% | 31 | 1.4231 games | 12931 games |
| Nick AndersonG | 31 | 29.2 | 15.5 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 60.0 | 23.7% | 31 | 1.1331 games | 21031 games |
| Cam CarrollG | 31 | 23.5 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 45.8 | 19.3% | 31 | 1.3331 games | 11731 games |
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr.F | 31 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 0.6 | 43.6 | 15.7% | 31 | 0.9531 games | 031 games |
| Eternity EguagieF | 31 | 17.4 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 52.0 | 18.9% | 31 | 0.5931 games | 4131 games |
| Stephen GiwaC | 31 | 15.5 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 58.3 | 11.7% | 31 | 0.5231 games | 031 games |
| Andrew AkuchieF | 31 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 60.8 | 13.0% | 31 | 0.5331 games | 531 games |
| Bodey HowellG | 25 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 51.8 | 16.8% | 25 | 1.2725 games | 4725 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Rice?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →