A relative strength
Free-throw attempt rate
41.8% · rank 30 of 366 · 30 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Morgan St
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.351
-17.2 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
14–162025–26 recorded finals
99.2Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
116.5Adjusted defense · lower is better
70.9Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Morgan St.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
14–1630 recorded games · 30 paired efficiency samples · pace 71.3Mean opponent adj. net -11.6 · 28 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
48.3%30 games · higher is betterRank 325 / 366 · 11th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
51.0%30 games · lower is betterRank 185 / 366 · 50th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
17.5%30 games · lower is betterRank 248 / 366 · 32th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
16.9%30 games · higher is betterRank 172 / 366 · 53th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
31.3%30 games · higher is betterRank 172 / 366 · 53th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
33.3%30 games · lower is betterRank 318 / 366 · 13th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
41.8%30 games · higher is betterRank 30 / 366 · 92th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
50.0%30 games · lower is betterRank 363 / 366 · 1th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 105.1 | 30 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 109.3 | 30 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 47.6% | 30 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 52.8% | 30 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 33.1% | 30 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 31.5% | 30 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 35.7% | 30 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 32.0% | 30 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 74.2% | 30 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 68.8% | 30 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 52.7% | 30 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 55.9% | 30 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,173 source possession rows across 30 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Turnovers forced
16.9% · rank 172 of 366 · 30 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
A closer look
Effective FG%
48.3% · rank 325 of 366 · 30 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
50.0% · rank 363 of 366 · 30 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 10 times in the selected window; Morgan St won 5. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 11, 2026 · neutral vs Delaware St · L 70–75 · offense 93.1 / defense 99.8
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 30 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware StMar 11, 2026 · neutral | L 70–75 | 359 | 93.1 | 99.8 | 66.8 | 35.2 | 12.0 | 28.6 |
| Coppin StMar 6, 2026 · home | W 70–66 | 364 | 101.7 | 95.9 | 68.8 | 46.9 | 16.0 | 29.3 |
| Norfolk StMar 2, 2026 · home | W 90–84 | 252 | 119.4 | 111.4 | 75.4 | 61.4 | 11.9 | 9.7 |
| HowardFeb 28, 2026 · home | L 59–84 | 223 | 81.9 | 116.6 | 72.0 | 29.1 | 12.5 | 33.3 |
| SC StateFeb 25, 2026 · road | W 90–83 | 343 | 123.4 | 113.8 | 73.0 | 64.6 | 21.9 | 36.8 |
| Delaware StFeb 21, 2026 · home | W 82–68 | 359 | 111.8 | 92.7 | 73.4 | 52.5 | 19.1 | 36.1 |
| NC CentralFeb 17, 2026 · road | L 76–80 | 333 | 104.3 | 109.7 | 72.9 | 41.5 | 19.2 | 46.8 |
| MD EasternFeb 7, 2026 · home | W 79–71 | 361 | 118.0 | 106.1 | 66.9 | 50.0 | 9.0 | 29.4 |
| Coppin StJan 31, 2026 · road | W 89–80 | 364 | 117.4 | 105.5 | 75.8 | 55.4 | 18.5 | 34.3 |
| Norfolk StJan 27, 2026 · road | W 79–78 | 252 | 103.8 | 102.5 | 76.1 | 54.6 | 18.4 | 12.1 |
| HowardJan 24, 2026 · road | W 78–77 | 223 | 96.4 | 95.2 | 80.9 | 39.3 | 21.0 | 40.0 |
| VA LynchburgJan 20, 2026 · home | W 128–53 | 366 | 155.3 | 64.3 | 82.4 | 73.8 | 10.9 | 42.9 |
| Delaware StJan 17, 2026 · road | W 80–79 | 359 | 109.3 | 108.0 | 73.2 | 50.0 | 15.0 | 24.3 |
| NC CentralJan 12, 2026 · home | L 78–89 | 333 | 113.6 | 129.6 | 68.7 | 50.0 | 16.0 | 33.3 |
| SC StateJan 10, 2026 · home | W 72–67 | 343 | 108.0 | 100.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 12.0 | 30.6 |
| MD EasternJan 3, 2026 · road | L 49–66 | 361 | 73.4 | 98.9 | 66.7 | 37.3 | 22.5 | 19.4 |
| PSU BrandywineDec 30, 2025 · home | W 92–55 | Unrated | 139.4 | 83.3 | 66.0 | 67.9 | 13.6 | 30.0 |
| LMUDec 23, 2025 · road | L 56–83 | 160 | 80.4 | 119.1 | 69.7 | 33.8 | 24.4 | 43.5 |
| San FranciscoDec 21, 2025 · road | L 64–94 | 89 | 93.2 | 136.8 | 68.7 | 50.0 | 17.5 | 15.2 |
| CaliforniaDec 20, 2025 · road | L 50–97 | 104 | 72.0 | 139.6 | 69.5 | 36.8 | 20.2 | 16.2 |
| NiagaraDec 13, 2025 · home | W 81–73 | 331 | 120.9 | 109.0 | 67.0 | 71.6 | 34.3 | 55.6 |
| DePaulDec 10, 2025 · road | L 49–92 | 134 | 72.4 | 136.0 | 67.7 | 22.7 | 29.6 | 44.7 |
| LongwoodDec 6, 2025 · home | L 80–84 | 220 | 107.1 | 112.5 | 74.7 | 50.8 | 18.7 | 21.2 |
| DrexelNov 25, 2025 · home | L 66–71 | 185 | 102.1 | 109.8 | 64.7 | 45.5 | 10.8 | 20.6 |
| Old DominionNov 22, 2025 · road | L 56–88 | 254 | 84.0 | 132.0 | 66.7 | 38.1 | 16.5 | 31.8 |
| NC A&TNov 19, 2025 · home | L 73–79 | 318 | 105.1 | 113.8 | 69.5 | 49.2 | 7.2 | 13.5 |
| MercyhurstNov 15, 2025 · road | L 72–86 | 305 | 106.4 | 127.1 | 67.7 | 39.2 | 23.6 | 51.4 |
| UMBCNov 11, 2025 · home | L 79–81 | 225 | 110.0 | 112.8 | 71.8 | 49.3 | 12.5 | 34.1 |
| Central PennNov 6, 2025 · home | W 101–77 | Unrated | 124.2 | 94.7 | 81.3 | 60.3 | 20.9 | 41.9 |
| GeorgetownNov 3, 2025 · road | L 70–87 | 105 | 92.8 | 115.3 | 75.5 | 45.7 | 21.2 | 29.7 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob LawsonG | 30 | 32.8 | 12.8 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 47.8 | 23.3% | 30 | 1.5930 games | 13330 games |
| Elijah DavisG | 26 | 34.9 | 13.8 | 3.3 | 5.9 | 51.8 | 22.0% | 26 | 2.2526 games | 2326 games |
| Christian MeeksG | 30 | 28.6 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 58.4 | 10.3% | 30 | 0.8130 games | 930 games |
| Alfred Worrell Jr.G | 30 | 28.5 | 17.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 56.9 | 29.4% | 30 | 0.5730 games | 22330 games |
| Eugene AlvinF | 29 | 19.3 | 7.3 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 55.1 | 18.5% | 29 | 0.5729 games | 7329 games |
| Walter Peggs Jr.G | 28 | 19.2 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 54.4 | 22.0% | 28 | 1.0528 games | 12828 games |
| Christian OliverC | 26 | 14.3 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 59.3 | 14.3% | 26 | 0.7126 games | 926 games |
| Marland HarrisF | 20 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 58.4 | 14.9% | 20 | 0.3820 games | 020 games |
| David BumpassG | 22 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 44.8 | 20.7% | 22 | 0.4422 games | 2422 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Morgan St?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →