A relative strength
Turnovers forced
18.1% · rank 101 of 366 · 32 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
MD Eastern
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.361
-18.9 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
9–232025–26 recorded finals
93.6Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
112.5Adjusted defense · lower is better
66.2Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on MD Eastern.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
9–2332 recorded games · 32 paired efficiency samples · pace 64.9Mean opponent adj. net -6.8 · 30 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
49.4%32 games · higher is betterRank 297 / 366 · 19th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
50.2%32 games · lower is betterRank 143 / 366 · 61th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
23.8%32 games · lower is betterRank 366 / 366 · 0th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
18.1%32 games · higher is betterRank 101 / 366 · 73th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
32.9%32 games · higher is betterRank 115 / 366 · 69th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
32.9%32 games · lower is betterRank 307 / 366 · 16th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
29.0%32 games · higher is betterRank 327 / 366 · 11th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
41.6%32 games · lower is betterRank 330 / 366 · 10th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 97.3 | 32 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 107.0 | 32 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 51.7% | 32 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 50.7% | 32 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 30.0% | 32 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 33.0% | 32 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 33.3% | 32 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 39.6% | 32 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 71.7% | 32 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 74.0% | 32 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 56.3% | 32 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 55.2% | 32 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,128 source possession rows across 32 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Offensive rebound rate
32.9% · rank 115 of 366 · 32 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
41.6% · rank 330 of 366 · 32 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
A closer look
Turnover rate
23.8% · rank 366 of 366 · 32 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 10 times in the selected window; MD Eastern won 3. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 13, 2026 · neutral vs NC Central · L 76–83 · offense 109.5 / defense 119.6
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 32 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC CentralMar 13, 2026 · neutral | L 76–83 | 333 | 109.5 | 119.6 | 61.7 | 46.6 | 23.1 | 42.9 |
| Delaware StMar 6, 2026 · home | L 56–57 | 359 | 94.2 | 95.9 | 59.4 | 45.3 | 25.2 | 40.6 |
| NC CentralMar 3, 2026 · home | L 73–77 | 333 | 106.9 | 112.8 | 68.3 | 55.8 | 33.7 | 59.4 |
| SC StateFeb 28, 2026 · home | W 69–57 | 343 | 104.0 | 85.9 | 66.3 | 49.1 | 22.6 | 42.9 |
| Coppin StFeb 21, 2026 · road | L 65–71 | 364 | 88.3 | 96.4 | 65.4 | 45.7 | 28.5 | 20.7 |
| Norfolk StFeb 17, 2026 · home | L 66–70 | 252 | 111.7 | 118.5 | 59.1 | 55.7 | 20.3 | 34.4 |
| HowardFeb 14, 2026 · road | L 53–79 | 223 | 82.4 | 122.8 | 64.3 | 45.9 | 29.5 | 27.6 |
| Morgan StFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 71–79 | 351 | 106.1 | 118.0 | 66.9 | 42.1 | 13.4 | 37.5 |
| SC StateFeb 5, 2026 · road | L 54–63 | 343 | 83.7 | 97.7 | 64.5 | 47.9 | 32.6 | 36.0 |
| NC CentralFeb 2, 2026 · road | L 63–65 | 333 | 101.7 | 104.9 | 61.9 | 58.2 | 35.5 | 46.2 |
| Delaware StJan 31, 2026 · road | L 57–65 | 359 | 93.0 | 106.1 | 61.3 | 47.8 | 19.6 | 12.5 |
| Coppin StJan 17, 2026 · home | W 70–67 | 364 | 114.8 | 109.8 | 61.0 | 53.1 | 19.7 | 38.5 |
| Norfolk StJan 13, 2026 · road | W 74–70 | 252 | 116.3 | 110.0 | 63.6 | 46.9 | 14.1 | 35.5 |
| HowardJan 10, 2026 · home | W 69–57 | 223 | 93.4 | 77.2 | 73.8 | 51.0 | 24.4 | 15.6 |
| Morgan StJan 3, 2026 · home | W 66–49 | 351 | 98.9 | 73.4 | 66.7 | 44.4 | 18.0 | 32.4 |
| TexasDec 23, 2025 · road | L 71–94 | 34 | 100.8 | 133.4 | 70.5 | 51.9 | 19.9 | 21.9 |
| WagnerDec 18, 2025 · road | L 64–78 | 313 | 98.5 | 120.0 | 65.0 | 52.9 | 23.1 | 26.7 |
| Virginia TechDec 14, 2025 · road | L 53–82 | 79 | 81.6 | 126.3 | 64.9 | 40.4 | 21.6 | 32.5 |
| NC A&TDec 13, 2025 · road | L 79–82 | 318 | 113.6 | 117.9 | 69.6 | 49.3 | 10.1 | 32.5 |
| VirginiaDec 10, 2025 · road | L 60–84 | 35 | 89.6 | 125.4 | 67.0 | 49.1 | 22.4 | 20.7 |
| AmericanDec 6, 2025 · road | L 60–78 | 247 | 96.3 | 125.2 | 62.3 | 66.7 | 30.5 | 11.1 |
| East CarolinaDec 3, 2025 · road | L 56–68 | 222 | 94.7 | 115.0 | 59.1 | 51.0 | 18.6 | 24.0 |
| Gwynedd MercyNov 29, 2025 · home | W 84–60 | Unrated | 119.9 | 85.6 | 70.1 | 60.9 | 24.3 | 48.3 |
| HamptonNov 26, 2025 · home | L 68–74 | 288 | 110.9 | 120.7 | 61.3 | 48.1 | 11.4 | 26.5 |
| BinghamtonNov 22, 2025 · neutral | W 63–52 | 352 | 105.8 | 87.3 | 59.6 | 50.9 | 20.2 | 44.1 |
| CanisiusNov 22, 2025 · road | L 57–60 | 354 | 97.9 | 103.0 | 58.2 | 46.2 | 20.6 | 32.4 |
| LongwoodNov 19, 2025 · road | W 83–82 | 220 | 102.9 | 101.7 | 64.5 | 56.7 | 29.8 | 43.6 |
| CreightonNov 15, 2025 · road | L 45–84 | 47 | 69.7 | 130.2 | 64.5 | 40.0 | 27.9 | 18.8 |
| NebraskaNov 12, 2025 · road | L 50–69 | 24 | 74.7 | 103.1 | 66.9 | 37.1 | 23.9 | 25.6 |
| Cheyney (PA)Nov 8, 2025 · home | W 104–59 | Unrated | 141.0 | 80.0 | 73.8 | 86.5 | 24.4 | 35.7 |
| GeorgiaNov 6, 2025 · road | L 29–94 | 37 | 39.2 | 127.1 | 74.0 | 20.9 | 41.9 | 40.4 |
| Georgia TechNov 4, 2025 · road | L 52–56 | 137 | 74.4 | 80.1 | 62.1 | 41.1 | 27.2 | 26.3 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael TealG | 32 | 26.2 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 50.3 | 16.2% | 32 | 1.6032 games | 4132 games |
| Jaden CooperG | 32 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 52.8 | 17.8% | 32 | 1.4932 games | 11632 games |
| Dorion StaplesF | 32 | 24.3 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 55.2 | 21.1% | 32 | 1.4732 games | 13632 games |
| Zion ObanlaG | 32 | 22.1 | 10.8 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 63.3 | 24.1% | 32 | 0.5932 games | 532 games |
| Justin MondenG | 32 | 20.8 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 48.2 | 19.8% | 32 | 1.0232 games | 7432 games |
| Joseph LocandroF | 32 | 19.3 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 58.3 | 26.6% | 32 | 0.3032 games | 9132 games |
| Levi BeckwithSF | 26 | 17.3 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 30.9 | 12.2% | 26 | 0.7126 games | 3426 games |
| Christopher FlippinPF | 30 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 48.6 | 25.2% | 30 | 0.5930 games | 030 games |
| Trey BrownPG | 27 | 13.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 44.3 | 20.2% | 27 | 0.8527 games | 2927 games |
| Maurio Hanson Jr.F | 23 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 59.8 | 18.3% | 23 | 0.7523 games | 523 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around MD Eastern?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
15Source-listed players
14Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
100%Prior minutes represented
Role workload watch
Which source-listed role is represented?
Prior minutes are grouped by the source-reported position on the current listing. “Unrepresented” means prior minutes not attached to a same-program listing in this release; it does not establish a departure, transfer, eligibility or expected role.
| Role | Listed | Prior minutes | Returning minutes | Incoming prior minutes | Returning share | Unrepresented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | 8 | 3,712 | 3,712 | — | 100% | — |
| Forward | 7 | 2,813 | 2,813 | — | 100% | — |
| Center | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
0 listed players have no recognized source position. The workload denominator is the matched prior-production sample (6,525 minutes).
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
15 source-listed players. Prior rates below are attached by exact source ID where available; missing values remain missing.
| Player | Observation | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Prior TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Teal →G | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 26.2 | 5.8 | 50.3% |
| Jaden Cooper →G | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 26.0 | 8.0 | 52.8% |
| Dorion Staples →F | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 24.3 | 9.3 | 55.2% |
| Zion Obanla →G | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 22.1 | 10.8 | 63.3% |
| Justin Monden →G | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 20.8 | 6.0 | 48.2% |
| Joseph Locandro →F | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 19.3 | 9.3 | 58.3% |
| Levi Beckwith →SF | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 17.3 | 2.0 | 30.9% |
| Christopher Flippin →PF | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 13.2 | 5.0 | 48.6% |
| Trey Brown →PG | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 13.8 | 3.3 | 44.3% |
| Maurio Hanson Jr. →F | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 8.8 | 2.8 | 59.8% |
| Maurice Vassel →F | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 7.6 | 2.0 | 61.7% |
| Trey Hall →F | Same programMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks | 11.4 | 1.8 | 39.2% |
Showing the 12 highest prior-minute records. Open the full roster board for every source-listed player.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
MD Eastern vs Wake Forest
57.4MD Eastern
81.0Wake Forest
Wake Forest win estimate93.9%
Model signalStrong lean
Projected home margin23.6
Projected total138.4
80% home-margin range7.6 to 39.5
Estimated possessions66.9
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityHome 2.9 pts
Wake Forest attack 53.2% · MD Eastern defense 52.7%MD Eastern attack 46.9% · Wake Forest defense 49.3%
Ball securityHome 3.5 pts
Wake Forest attack 16.2% · MD Eastern defense 17.4%MD Eastern attack 20.4% · Wake Forest defense 18.2%
Second chancesAway 2.4 pts
Wake Forest attack 29.1% · MD Eastern defense 32.2%MD Eastern attack 28.5% · Wake Forest defense 29.3%
Free-throw pressureAway 0.5 pts
Wake Forest attack 36.3% · MD Eastern defense 39.2%MD Eastern attack 31.1% · Wake Forest defense 33.4%
LJVM Coliseum
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
MD Eastern vs Boston College
57.0MD Eastern
73.1Boston College
Boston College win estimate87.3%
Model signalStrong lean
Projected home margin16.1
Projected total130.1
80% home-margin range0.2 to 32.1
Estimated possessions65.1
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityAway 0.3 pts
Boston College attack 49.8% · MD Eastern defense 52.7%MD Eastern attack 46.9% · Boston College defense 49.6%
Ball securityHome 5.3 pts
Boston College attack 16.5% · MD Eastern defense 17.4%MD Eastern attack 20.4% · Boston College defense 16.1%
Second chancesAway 3.5 pts
Boston College attack 29.1% · MD Eastern defense 32.2%MD Eastern attack 28.5% · Boston College defense 28.2%
Free-throw pressureAway 3.7 pts
Boston College attack 32.5% · MD Eastern defense 39.2%MD Eastern attack 31.1% · Boston College defense 34.1%
Conte Forum
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
MD Eastern vs DePaul
57.7MD Eastern
75.0DePaul
DePaul win estimate88.6%
Model signalStrong lean
Projected home margin17.3
Projected total132.7
80% home-margin range1.4 to 33.2
Estimated possessions65.8
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityHome 2.7 pts
DePaul attack 51.5% · MD Eastern defense 52.7%MD Eastern attack 46.9% · DePaul defense 50.9%
Ball securityHome 2.6 pts
DePaul attack 17.9% · MD Eastern defense 17.4%MD Eastern attack 20.4% · DePaul defense 17.4%
Second chancesAway 3.0 pts
DePaul attack 28.1% · MD Eastern defense 32.2%MD Eastern attack 28.5% · DePaul defense 29.6%
Free-throw pressureAway 1.5 pts
DePaul attack 34.2% · MD Eastern defense 39.2%MD Eastern attack 31.1% · DePaul defense 34.7%
Wintrust Arena
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →