A relative strength
Turnovers forced
24.8% · rank 1 of 366 · 34 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
McNeese
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.70
+10.2 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
28–62025–26 recorded finals
112.5Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
102.3Adjusted defense · lower is better
66.9Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on McNeese.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
28–634 recorded games · 34 paired efficiency samples · pace 67.2Mean opponent adj. net -2.9 · 32 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
52.0%34 games · higher is betterRank 176 / 366 · 52th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
48.7%34 games · lower is betterRank 65 / 366 · 82th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
14.0%34 games · lower is betterRank 26 / 366 · 93th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
24.8%34 games · higher is betterRank 1 / 366 · 100th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
36.4%34 games · higher is betterRank 26 / 366 · 93th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
34.1%34 games · lower is betterRank 335 / 366 · 8th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
37.2%34 games · higher is betterRank 112 / 366 · 70th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
40.2%34 games · lower is betterRank 314 / 366 · 14th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 117.3 | 34 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 98.3 | 34 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 54.1% | 34 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 48.7% | 34 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 32.0% | 34 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 32.5% | 34 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 34.8% | 34 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 47.7% | 34 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 75.0% | 34 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 72.8% | 34 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 50.2% | 34 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 56.4% | 34 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,327 source possession rows across 34 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Turnover rate
14.0% · rank 26 of 366 · 34 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
40.2% · rank 314 of 366 · 34 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
A closer look
Opponent offensive rebound rate
34.1% · rank 335 of 366 · 34 games
Which matchups demand an extra box-out assignment?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 8 times in the selected window; McNeese won 6. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 19, 2026 · neutral vs Vanderbilt · L 68–78 · offense 106.4 / defense 122.1
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 34 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VanderbiltMar 19, 2026 · neutral | L 68–78 | 29 | 106.4 | 122.1 | 63.9 | 42.8 | 9.4 | 36.4 |
| SF AustinMar 11, 2026 · neutral | W 76–59 | 145 | 119.0 | 92.4 | 63.9 | 60.2 | 20.4 | 37.0 |
| UT Rio GrandeMar 11, 2026 · neutral | W 84–80 | 198 | 98.4 | 93.8 | 62.1 | 42.5 | 11.7 | 33.9 |
| NichollsMar 3, 2026 · road | W 75–65 | 235 | 111.5 | 96.6 | 67.3 | 47.2 | 13.4 | 25.0 |
| New OrleansFeb 28, 2026 · road | W 66–63 | 299 | 102.1 | 97.5 | 64.6 | 45.6 | 10.8 | 28.9 |
| UT Rio GrandeFeb 24, 2026 · home | W 75–68 | 198 | 108.8 | 98.7 | 68.9 | 46.6 | 14.5 | 32.5 |
| Texas A&M-CCFeb 22, 2026 · home | W 70–54 | 174 | 106.7 | 82.3 | 65.6 | 47.4 | 15.2 | 32.4 |
| N'Western StFeb 17, 2026 · road | W 75–64 | 296 | 118.2 | 100.9 | 63.5 | 48.5 | 7.9 | 36.4 |
| E Texas A&MFeb 14, 2026 · road | W 97–54 | 329 | 142.4 | 79.3 | 68.1 | 65.2 | 5.9 | 28.1 |
| Hou ChristianFeb 10, 2026 · home | W 73–69 | 324 | 108.1 | 102.1 | 67.6 | 56.5 | 16.3 | 22.2 |
| Incarnate WordFeb 7, 2026 · home | W 81–64 | 292 | 130.5 | 103.1 | 62.1 | 62.2 | 9.7 | 28.6 |
| SF AustinFeb 3, 2026 · road | L 60–67 | 145 | 85.7 | 95.6 | 70.1 | 39.3 | 22.8 | 36.4 |
| LamarFeb 1, 2026 · road | W 64–63 | 232 | 111.6 | 109.8 | 57.4 | 43.5 | 12.2 | 34.3 |
| SE LouisianaJan 28, 2026 · road | W 76–66 | 281 | 114.4 | 99.3 | 66.4 | 56.1 | 18.1 | 29.0 |
| New OrleansJan 24, 2026 · home | W 82–63 | 299 | 117.9 | 90.6 | 69.6 | 45.2 | 14.4 | 47.5 |
| Texas A&M-CCJan 19, 2026 · road | W 69–53 | 174 | 117.2 | 90.0 | 58.9 | 52.0 | 18.7 | 50.0 |
| UT Rio GrandeJan 17, 2026 · road | L 76–79 | 198 | 117.9 | 122.5 | 64.5 | 43.7 | 10.9 | 41.0 |
| NichollsJan 13, 2026 · home | W 94–68 | 235 | 126.1 | 91.2 | 74.6 | 60.5 | 14.8 | 26.7 |
| SE LouisianaJan 10, 2026 · home | W 73–61 | 281 | 116.4 | 97.3 | 62.7 | 53.4 | 15.9 | 40.6 |
| SF AustinJan 6, 2026 · home | W 66–64 | 145 | 108.6 | 105.3 | 60.8 | 46.0 | 11.5 | 39.5 |
| LamarJan 3, 2026 · home | W 82–70 | 232 | 135.8 | 116.0 | 60.4 | 54.2 | 13.3 | 45.2 |
| MichiganDec 30, 2025 · road | L 71–112 | 6 | 85.1 | 134.3 | 83.4 | 34.6 | 10.8 | 29.3 |
| Hou ChristianDec 16, 2025 · road | W 78–68 | 324 | 129.6 | 113.0 | 60.2 | 65.7 | 13.3 | 30.4 |
| E Texas A&MDec 13, 2025 · home | W 102–66 | 329 | 129.1 | 83.5 | 79.0 | 65.9 | 20.3 | 41.4 |
| Rhode IslandDec 10, 2025 · road | W 66–64 | 158 | 96.5 | 93.5 | 68.4 | 45.0 | 16.1 | 30.8 |
| N'Western StDec 6, 2025 · home | W 92–54 | 296 | 137.5 | 80.7 | 66.9 | 62.5 | 14.9 | 50.0 |
| Incarnate WordDec 2, 2025 · road | L 67–71 | 292 | 102.3 | 108.4 | 65.5 | 52.9 | 19.8 | 28.0 |
| MTSUNov 25, 2025 · neutral | W 72–62 | 164 | 126.8 | 109.2 | 56.8 | 42.2 | 10.6 | 51.4 |
| Murray StNov 25, 2025 · neutral | W 73–60 | 130 | 98.4 | 80.9 | 74.2 | 45.0 | 10.8 | 28.3 |
| G WashingtonNov 23, 2025 · neutral | W 92–86 | 110 | 124.7 | 116.6 | 73.8 | 51.5 | 10.8 | 39.5 |
| LouisianaNov 15, 2025 · home | W 88–62 | 297 | 131.9 | 92.9 | 66.7 | 64.4 | 16.5 | 32.0 |
| Biblical StudNov 11, 2025 · home | W 132–50 | Unrated | 171.3 | 64.9 | 77.1 | 80.0 | 15.6 | 75.0 |
| Santa ClaraNov 8, 2025 · road | L 67–79 | 42 | 99.4 | 117.2 | 67.4 | 49.0 | 20.8 | 29.0 |
| Champ ChrstnNov 4, 2025 · home | W 127–65 | Unrated | 150.7 | 77.1 | 84.3 | 58.0 | 8.3 | 53.3 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garwey DualG | 34 | 26.6 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 54.8 | 17.6% | 34 | 2.6434 games | 7634 games |
| Javohn GarciaG | 30 | 29.7 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 56.9 | 18.9% | 30 | 2.7230 games | 10730 games |
| Tyshawn ArchieG | 34 | 25.6 | 14.3 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 54.5 | 28.8% | 34 | 1.9234 games | 17634 games |
| Larry JohnsonG | 34 | 25.4 | 17.4 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 57.1 | 32.6% | 34 | 1.3134 games | 10534 games |
| DJ Richards Jr.G | 34 | 22.0 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 56.0 | 18.8% | 34 | 0.8234 games | 17034 games |
| Jerrell ColbertF | 34 | 19.8 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 56.3 | 15.5% | 34 | 0.4934 games | 534 games |
| Jacolb Fredson-ColeF | 34 | 18.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 50.6 | 16.9% | 34 | 1.5034 games | 3734 games |
| Carl CherenfantG | 33 | 16.3 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 55.6 | 13.8% | 33 | 1.0733 games | 2833 games |
| Peitok MacharF | 34 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 67.6 | 11.4% | 34 | 0.3334 games | 234 games |
| Yanis NdjongaF | 27 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 68.4 | 9.9% | 27 | 0.3827 games | 627 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around McNeese?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →