A relative strength
Opponent offensive rebound rate
28.0% · rank 79 of 366 · 32 games
Which matchups demand an extra box-out assignment?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Loyola MD
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.330
-13.7 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
12–202025–26 recorded finals
100.9Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
114.7Adjusted defense · lower is better
68.2Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Loyola MD.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
12–2032 recorded games · 32 paired efficiency samples · pace 68.5Mean opponent adj. net -7.8 · 30 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
51.2%32 games · higher is betterRank 206 / 366 · 44th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
53.4%32 games · lower is betterRank 305 / 366 · 17th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
15.7%32 games · lower is betterRank 124 / 366 · 66th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
15.4%32 games · higher is betterRank 285 / 366 · 22th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
29.3%32 games · higher is betterRank 247 / 366 · 33th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
28.0%32 games · lower is betterRank 79 / 366 · 79th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
30.3%32 games · higher is betterRank 295 / 366 · 19th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
32.5%32 games · lower is betterRank 127 / 366 · 65th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 108.1 | 32 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 110.7 | 32 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 52.3% | 32 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 56.5% | 32 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 33.4% | 32 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 32.3% | 32 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 47.0% | 32 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 38.9% | 32 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 70.2% | 32 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 72.6% | 32 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 50.1% | 32 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 55.4% | 32 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,244 source possession rows across 32 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Turnover rate
15.7% · rank 124 of 366 · 32 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
A closer look
Free-throw attempt rate
30.3% · rank 295 of 366 · 32 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
A closer look
Opponent effective FG%
53.4% · rank 305 of 366 · 32 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 6 times in the selected window; Loyola MD won 2. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 6, 2026 · road vs Colgate · L 77–90 · offense 119.4 / defense 139.5
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 32 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ColgateMar 6, 2026 · road | L 77–90 | 209 | 119.4 | 139.5 | 64.5 | 55.0 | 9.3 | 25.8 |
| Holy CrossFeb 28, 2026 · road | W 76–62 | 334 | 120.0 | 97.9 | 63.3 | 50.0 | 4.7 | 31.6 |
| NavyFeb 26, 2026 · home | L 51–78 | 182 | 83.8 | 128.1 | 60.9 | 37.7 | 16.4 | 29.5 |
| ColgateFeb 21, 2026 · road | L 98–101 | 209 | 112.3 | 115.7 | 77.6 | 50.0 | 9.2 | 22.0 |
| ArmyFeb 19, 2026 · home | L 77–87 | 340 | 111.6 | 126.1 | 69.0 | 51.8 | 14.5 | 25.0 |
| Holy CrossFeb 15, 2026 · home | W 83–73 | 334 | 127.5 | 112.2 | 65.1 | 58.3 | 6.1 | 24.2 |
| LafayetteFeb 12, 2026 · road | W 68–54 | 319 | 103.9 | 82.5 | 65.5 | 52.5 | 15.3 | 17.6 |
| Boston UFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 69–78 | 270 | 99.1 | 112.0 | 69.6 | 50.8 | 11.5 | 11.8 |
| LehighFeb 5, 2026 · home | W 89–84 | 291 | 110.9 | 104.7 | 64.2 | 50.0 | 13.7 | 32.6 |
| NavyJan 31, 2026 · road | L 71–87 | 182 | 108.8 | 133.3 | 65.3 | 50.0 | 18.4 | 31.6 |
| AmericanJan 29, 2026 · home | W 77–68 | 247 | 103.8 | 91.7 | 74.2 | 46.5 | 16.2 | 25.7 |
| BucknellJan 24, 2026 · home | W 67–62 | 310 | 105.8 | 97.9 | 63.3 | 49.0 | 22.1 | 31.0 |
| LehighJan 20, 2026 · road | L 81–88 | 291 | 119.0 | 129.3 | 68.1 | 57.3 | 11.8 | 28.6 |
| Boston UJan 17, 2026 · home | W 74–57 | 270 | 104.9 | 80.8 | 70.5 | 50.0 | 11.3 | 25.7 |
| ColgateJan 15, 2026 · home | L 80–86 | 209 | 110.8 | 119.1 | 72.2 | 49.2 | 8.3 | 25.0 |
| BucknellJan 10, 2026 · road | L 67–70 | 310 | 97.9 | 102.3 | 68.4 | 50.0 | 21.9 | 31.4 |
| ArmyJan 7, 2026 · road | W 84–76 | 340 | 115.4 | 104.4 | 64.7 | 50.0 | 15.1 | 39.5 |
| LafayetteJan 3, 2026 · home | L 64–79 | 319 | 98.2 | 121.2 | 65.2 | 45.9 | 13.8 | 23.7 |
| AmericanDec 31, 2025 · road | L 69–84 | 247 | 102.8 | 125.1 | 67.1 | 52.0 | 28.3 | 37.9 |
| George MasonDec 21, 2025 · road | L 79–86 | 90 | 117.7 | 128.1 | 67.1 | 53.3 | 14.9 | 32.4 |
| Mount St MarysDec 13, 2025 · home | L 73–81 | 264 | 97.7 | 108.4 | 74.7 | 46.9 | 16.1 | 23.3 |
| VMIDec 9, 2025 · road | L 70–86 | 363 | 111.5 | 137.0 | 62.8 | 50.9 | 17.5 | 39.5 |
| HamptonDec 4, 2025 · road | L 71–93 | 288 | 96.7 | 126.7 | 73.4 | 44.7 | 23.2 | 36.8 |
| Coppin StNov 30, 2025 · home | W 95–84 | 364 | 134.6 | 119.0 | 70.6 | 67.3 | 21.3 | 44.0 |
| Wash Coll (MD)Nov 25, 2025 · home | W 101–51 | Unrated | 131.7 | 66.5 | 76.7 | 68.2 | 26.1 | 63.9 |
| KentuckyNov 22, 2025 · road | L 46–88 | 20 | 63.9 | 122.2 | 72.0 | 34.7 | 22.2 | 19.1 |
| DuquesneNov 20, 2025 · road | L 78–92 | 129 | 104.5 | 123.2 | 74.7 | 56.0 | 16.1 | 18.2 |
| FairfieldNov 16, 2025 · road | L 82–85 | 271 | 115.0 | 119.2 | 71.3 | 62.5 | 18.2 | 19.2 |
| StonehillNov 15, 2025 · neutral | W 74–63 | 341 | 112.4 | 95.7 | 65.9 | 58.2 | 10.6 | 21.2 |
| NJITNov 12, 2025 · home | L 64–66 | 350 | 94.2 | 97.2 | 67.9 | 44.8 | 20.6 | 37.8 |
| PSU AbingtonNov 6, 2025 · home | W 96–60 | Unrated | 132.9 | 83.1 | 72.2 | 55.6 | 11.1 | 44.7 |
| TowsonNov 4, 2025 · neutral | L 56–67 | 150 | 85.9 | 102.7 | 65.2 | 38.0 | 16.9 | 17.6 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden SpeedG | 32 | 32.7 | 15.3 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 58.4 | 23.4% | 32 | 1.9032 games | 14832 games |
| Jordan StiemkeG | 32 | 27.5 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 51.6 | 19.2% | 32 | 1.5732 games | 16332 games |
| Tyson CommanderG | 31 | 23.5 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 56.4 | 10.4% | 31 | 0.9231 games | 4931 games |
| Emmett AdairF | 27 | 25.4 | 14.6 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 55.8 | 28.8% | 27 | 0.7027 games | 14327 games |
| Jacob TheodosiouG | 27 | 23.4 | 13.1 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 55.4 | 30.5% | 27 | 1.0927 games | 9827 games |
| Sam SpringerF | 32 | 16.8 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 52.9 | 15.8% | 32 | 0.9532 games | 7432 games |
| Sebastien EmenaloG | 31 | 14.5 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 46.3 | 14.0% | 31 | 0.7131 games | 5531 games |
| Troy Cicero Jr.G | 32 | 13.9 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 54.2 | 21.3% | 32 | 1.3832 games | 12132 games |
| Carter Berg-McLeanG | 30 | 13.9 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 45.4 | 15.8% | 30 | 2.1430 games | 2630 games |
| Jonas SirtautasF | 19 | 19.3 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 60.4 | 16.2% | 19 | 0.6519 games | 1419 games |
| Everett BarnesF | 25 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 44.7 | 11.7% | 25 | 1.0025 games | 525 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Loyola MD?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →