A relative strength
Turnovers forced
20.5% · rank 19 of 366 · 32 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Longwood
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.220
-4.2 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
16–162025–26 recorded finals
104.4Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
108.5Adjusted defense · lower is better
68.9Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Longwood.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
16–1632 recorded games · 32 paired efficiency samples · pace 70.0Mean opponent adj. net -6.0 · 29 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
51.2%32 games · higher is betterRank 209 / 366 · 43th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
52.1%32 games · lower is betterRank 251 / 366 · 32th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
19.3%32 games · lower is betterRank 340 / 366 · 7th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
20.5%32 games · higher is betterRank 19 / 366 · 95th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
35.3%32 games · higher is betterRank 47 / 366 · 87th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
27.5%32 games · lower is betterRank 66 / 366 · 82th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
40.8%32 games · higher is betterRank 45 / 366 · 88th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
39.4%32 games · lower is betterRank 302 / 366 · 18th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 108.1 | 32 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 103.0 | 32 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 53.2% | 32 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 54.6% | 32 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 31.5% | 32 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 32.5% | 32 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 33.5% | 32 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 43.0% | 32 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 74.0% | 32 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 69.3% | 32 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 47.0% | 32 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 49.8% | 32 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,330 source possession rows across 32 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Free-throw attempt rate
40.8% · rank 45 of 366 · 32 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
39.4% · rank 302 of 366 · 32 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
A closer look
Turnover rate
19.3% · rank 340 of 366 · 32 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 12 times in the selected window; Longwood won 4. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 6, 2026 · neutral vs UNC Asheville · L 82–85 · offense 107.1 / defense 111.0
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 32 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC AshevilleMar 6, 2026 · neutral | L 82–85 | 206 | 107.1 | 111.0 | 68.0 | 43.3 | 13.1 | 44.2 |
| RadfordFeb 28, 2026 · home | W 90–74 | 213 | 122.0 | 100.3 | 73.8 | 54.5 | 21.7 | 39.4 |
| Charleston SoFeb 21, 2026 · road | W 107–96 | 278 | 125.8 | 112.9 | 68.0 | 44.1 | 9.4 | 43.4 |
| PresbyterianFeb 20, 2026 · road | L 65–72 | 257 | 97.8 | 108.3 | 66.5 | 58.2 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| SC UpstateFeb 14, 2026 · home | W 82–75 | 309 | 98.0 | 89.6 | 74.4 | 48.5 | 16.7 | 30.0 |
| UNC AshevilleFeb 13, 2026 · home | L 74–79 | 206 | 109.7 | 117.1 | 67.5 | 51.7 | 14.8 | 41.4 |
| WinthropFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 74–79 | 153 | 95.7 | 102.2 | 77.3 | 44.1 | 15.5 | 26.8 |
| Gardner-WebbFeb 5, 2026 · road | W 86–66 | 349 | 121.1 | 93.0 | 71.0 | 63.8 | 15.5 | 25.0 |
| High PointJan 31, 2026 · home | L 59–71 | 80 | 93.5 | 112.5 | 63.1 | 49.1 | 28.5 | 36.4 |
| SC UpstateJan 30, 2026 · road | L 60–65 | 309 | 85.2 | 92.3 | 70.4 | 45.9 | 24.1 | 34.2 |
| Charleston SoJan 24, 2026 · home | W 81–79 | 278 | 99.0 | 96.5 | 72.7 | 47.3 | 20.8 | 20.6 |
| Gardner-WebbJan 22, 2026 · home | W 91–56 | 349 | 130.2 | 80.1 | 69.9 | 60.8 | 17.2 | 48.4 |
| RadfordJan 17, 2026 · road | L 83–85 | 213 | 119.2 | 122.1 | 69.6 | 61.2 | 21.5 | 40.6 |
| PresbyterianJan 10, 2026 · home | W 77–70 | 257 | 122.0 | 110.9 | 63.1 | 56.0 | 15.8 | 38.7 |
| UNC AshevilleJan 7, 2026 · road | L 61–72 | 206 | 95.7 | 113.0 | 63.7 | 43.6 | 15.7 | 25.7 |
| High PointJan 3, 2026 · road | L 67–80 | 80 | 101.4 | 121.1 | 66.1 | 53.6 | 22.7 | 33.3 |
| WinthropDec 31, 2025 · home | W 82–70 | 153 | 121.3 | 103.6 | 67.6 | 57.8 | 19.2 | 43.8 |
| AverettDec 28, 2025 · home | W 92–49 | Unrated | 127.0 | 67.7 | 72.4 | 71.2 | 22.1 | 40.9 |
| NC CentralDec 20, 2025 · road | W 74–72 | 333 | 104.5 | 101.7 | 70.8 | 49.1 | 25.4 | 44.4 |
| Wake ForestDec 18, 2025 · road | L 68–71 | 60 | 93.0 | 97.1 | 73.1 | 41.9 | 17.8 | 27.5 |
| Delaware StDec 13, 2025 · home | L 76–81 | 359 | 114.0 | 121.5 | 66.7 | 54.7 | 24.0 | 37.9 |
| Morgan StDec 6, 2025 · road | W 84–80 | 351 | 112.5 | 107.1 | 74.7 | 58.5 | 20.1 | 33.3 |
| PfeifferDec 4, 2025 · home | W 101–55 | Unrated | 129.9 | 70.7 | 77.8 | 69.5 | 16.7 | 30.4 |
| AmericanNov 30, 2025 · road | L 66–92 | 247 | 91.5 | 127.6 | 72.1 | 32.1 | 13.9 | 30.0 |
| MaineNov 29, 2025 · neutral | W 65–61 | 306 | 101.5 | 95.2 | 64.1 | 57.8 | 29.7 | 37.0 |
| SienaNov 28, 2025 · neutral | L 63–70 | 221 | 93.3 | 103.7 | 67.5 | 47.2 | 28.1 | 35.3 |
| ColumbiaNov 23, 2025 · road | L 70–95 | 217 | 96.7 | 131.2 | 72.4 | 53.6 | 20.7 | 18.8 |
| MD EasternNov 19, 2025 · home | L 82–83 | 361 | 101.7 | 102.9 | 64.5 | 43.3 | 23.6 | 40.5 |
| BinghamtonNov 15, 2025 · home | W 90–82 | 352 | 121.5 | 110.7 | 74.1 | 53.2 | 14.8 | 38.5 |
| James MadisonNov 13, 2025 · home | W 82–72 | 155 | 117.2 | 102.9 | 70.0 | 41.1 | 10.0 | 35.0 |
| PittNov 8, 2025 · road | L 60–78 | 71 | 85.5 | 111.2 | 70.1 | 34.8 | 10.0 | 24.5 |
| Mary BaldwinNov 4, 2025 · home | W 92–55 | Unrated | 119.3 | 71.3 | 77.1 | 55.2 | 25.9 | 59.4 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoi HutchinsonG | 31 | 28.4 | 12.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 53.3 | 22.9% | 31 | 1.8031 games | 6731 games |
| Elijah TuckerF | 32 | 26.3 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 62.3 | 23.8% | 32 | 0.4132 games | 232 games |
| Emanuel RichardsG | 32 | 26.0 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 53.0 | 20.2% | 32 | 0.7332 games | 7832 games |
| Johan NziemiF | 29 | 25.9 | 10.6 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 59.0 | 20.8% | 29 | 0.8829 games | 2329 games |
| Alphonzo Billups IIIG | 32 | 23.1 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 55.3 | 18.2% | 32 | 1.1032 games | 12232 games |
| Redd Thompson Jr.G | 32 | 22.1 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 54.9 | 24.7% | 32 | 1.1732 games | 14632 games |
| Jaylen BenardG | 32 | 19.8 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 53.6 | 19.4% | 32 | 0.9132 games | 12332 games |
| Elijah JonesF | 27 | 17.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 54.6 | 11.9% | 27 | 1.1127 games | 1627 games |
| Elijah KellyG | 30 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 54.1 | 11.7% | 30 | 0.8730 games | 3830 games |
| Jaylin PayneF | 29 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 55.6 | 13.4% | 29 | 0.4429 games | 229 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Longwood?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →