A relative strength
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
29.9% · rank 68 of 366 · 32 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Hou Christian
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.324
-12.9 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
12–202025–26 recorded finals
100.4Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
113.3Adjusted defense · lower is better
66.7Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Hou Christian.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
12–2032 recorded games · 32 paired efficiency samples · pace 65.2Mean opponent adj. net -4.2 · 30 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
49.7%32 games · higher is betterRank 283 / 366 · 23th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
53.8%32 games · lower is betterRank 315 / 366 · 14th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
19.0%32 games · lower is betterRank 328 / 366 · 10th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
18.1%32 games · higher is betterRank 104 / 366 · 72th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
30.5%32 games · higher is betterRank 204 / 366 · 44th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
32.1%32 games · lower is betterRank 282 / 366 · 23th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
36.4%32 games · higher is betterRank 140 / 366 · 62th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
29.9%32 games · lower is betterRank 68 / 366 · 82th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 102.5 | 32 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 110.3 | 32 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 51.6% | 32 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 54.7% | 32 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 30.9% | 32 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 34.9% | 32 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 36.5% | 32 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 37.4% | 32 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 69.7% | 32 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 71.1% | 32 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 58.8% | 32 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 52.9% | 32 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,111 source possession rows across 32 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Turnovers forced
18.1% · rank 104 of 366 · 32 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
A closer look
Opponent effective FG%
53.8% · rank 315 of 366 · 32 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
A closer look
Turnover rate
19.0% · rank 328 of 366 · 32 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 10 times in the selected window; Hou Christian won 5. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 8, 2026 · neutral vs New Orleans · L 60–73 · offense 84.9 / defense 103.3
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 32 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New OrleansMar 8, 2026 · neutral | L 60–73 | 299 | 84.9 | 103.3 | 70.7 | 47.1 | 17.0 | 8.6 |
| LamarMar 3, 2026 · home | W 75–53 | 232 | 112.3 | 79.4 | 66.8 | 58.2 | 21.0 | 30.8 |
| SF AustinFeb 28, 2026 · home | L 56–77 | 145 | 89.4 | 122.9 | 62.7 | 42.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 |
| E Texas A&MFeb 24, 2026 · road | W 69–68 | 329 | 107.6 | 106.1 | 64.1 | 48.4 | 17.2 | 40.5 |
| N'Western StFeb 21, 2026 · road | L 53–71 | 296 | 83.6 | 112.1 | 63.4 | 42.5 | 22.1 | 24.3 |
| NichollsFeb 17, 2026 · home | W 72–68 | 235 | 106.9 | 100.9 | 67.4 | 47.3 | 10.4 | 25.0 |
| New OrleansFeb 14, 2026 · home | W 61–60 | 299 | 98.2 | 96.6 | 62.1 | 48.1 | 19.3 | 27.3 |
| McNeeseFeb 10, 2026 · road | L 69–73 | 70 | 102.1 | 108.1 | 67.6 | 49.1 | 22.2 | 29.0 |
| SE LouisianaFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 47–55 | 281 | 83.2 | 97.4 | 56.5 | 35.7 | 21.3 | 37.1 |
| UT Rio GrandeFeb 3, 2026 · road | L 57–74 | 198 | 92.1 | 119.6 | 61.9 | 39.2 | 11.3 | 29.3 |
| Texas A&M-CCJan 31, 2026 · road | L 71–73 | 174 | 116.9 | 120.2 | 60.7 | 55.1 | 19.8 | 34.5 |
| Incarnate WordJan 28, 2026 · home | W 81–75 | 292 | 112.5 | 104.1 | 72.0 | 48.1 | 19.4 | 45.5 |
| UT Rio GrandeJan 24, 2026 · home | L 51–68 | 198 | 83.8 | 111.8 | 60.9 | 48.9 | 31.2 | 32.1 |
| N'Western StJan 20, 2026 · home | W 82–80 | 296 | 147.9 | 144.3 | 55.4 | 73.3 | 18.0 | 50.0 |
| E Texas A&MJan 17, 2026 · home | W 81–70 | 329 | 118.4 | 102.3 | 68.4 | 58.7 | 20.5 | 35.3 |
| LamarJan 13, 2026 · road | L 56–64 | 232 | 89.7 | 102.5 | 62.4 | 37.7 | 19.2 | 35.9 |
| SF AustinJan 10, 2026 · road | L 67–85 | 145 | 107.4 | 136.2 | 62.4 | 54.1 | 22.4 | 29.6 |
| Texas A&M-CCJan 6, 2026 · home | L 65–81 | 174 | 94.1 | 117.3 | 69.1 | 46.4 | 24.6 | 32.4 |
| Incarnate WordJan 3, 2026 · road | L 56–73 | 292 | 83.6 | 109.0 | 67.0 | 41.7 | 20.9 | 31.7 |
| Iowa StateDec 30, 2025 · road | L 61–89 | 5 | 91.6 | 133.7 | 66.6 | 49.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 |
| NichollsDec 18, 2025 · road | L 64–79 | 235 | 92.7 | 114.4 | 69.1 | 53.3 | 26.1 | 19.2 |
| McNeeseDec 16, 2025 · home | L 68–78 | 70 | 113.0 | 129.6 | 60.2 | 49.1 | 16.6 | 34.3 |
| SE LouisianaDec 13, 2025 · home | L 71–74 | 281 | 101.1 | 105.4 | 62.4 | 50.9 | 22.8 | 34.3 |
| New OrleansDec 6, 2025 · road | W 85–76 | 299 | 129.0 | 115.4 | 65.9 | 53.4 | 7.6 | 36.4 |
| North TexasDec 3, 2025 · road | L 75–77 | 101 | 120.7 | 124.0 | 62.1 | 56.0 | 6.4 | 21.2 |
| GA SouthernNov 29, 2025 · road | L 62–80 | 244 | 92.8 | 119.7 | 66.8 | 46.4 | 22.4 | 29.7 |
| The CitadelNov 27, 2025 · road | W 72–65 | 355 | 122.7 | 110.7 | 58.7 | 61.5 | 17.0 | 34.6 |
| BellarmineNov 26, 2025 · road | L 69–74 | 317 | 113.2 | 121.4 | 61.0 | 58.8 | 13.1 | 29.4 |
| Biblical StudNov 21, 2025 · home | W 85–67 | Unrated | 111.7 | 88.1 | 76.1 | 50.0 | 21.0 | 47.4 |
| UL MonroeNov 14, 2025 · home | W 72–61 | 358 | 102.8 | 87.1 | 70.0 | 50.0 | 14.3 | 27.8 |
| UC San DiegoNov 9, 2025 · road | L 60–78 | 97 | 86.4 | 112.4 | 69.4 | 50.0 | 23.1 | 18.9 |
| S ArkansasNov 4, 2025 · home | W 74–70 | Unrated | 96.8 | 91.5 | 76.5 | 48.3 | 20.9 | 29.7 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylin GreenG | 32 | 31.1 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 47.4 | 22.8% | 32 | 1.8132 games | 8432 games |
| Trent JohnsonF | 32 | 30.8 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 63.2 | 13.2% | 32 | 2.0032 games | 12932 games |
| Ryan BartleyG | 32 | 29.4 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 52.3 | 17.7% | 32 | 1.2532 games | 13332 games |
| Demarco BetheaF | 32 | 25.8 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 57.9 | 21.3% | 32 | 0.7432 games | 832 games |
| D'Aundre SamuelsG | 32 | 22.4 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 50.5 | 24.4% | 32 | 1.1632 games | 12432 games |
| Demari WilliamsG | 29 | 22.0 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 57.7 | 23.2% | 29 | 0.7429 games | 5529 games |
| Mambourou MaraF | 31 | 19.3 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 47.9 | 18.7% | 31 | 0.6231 games | 6131 games |
| Elijah BrooksG | 8 | 30.4 | 12.2 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 47.8 | 27.9% | 8 | 1.198 games | 158 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Hou Christian?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →