A relative strength
Turnover rate
12.8% · rank 3 of 366 · 36 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
High Point
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.80
+9.4 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
31–52025–26 recorded finals
115.9Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
106.5Adjusted defense · lower is better
69.3Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on High Point.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
31–536 recorded games · 36 paired efficiency samples · pace 71.9Mean opponent adj. net -4.4 · 33 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
56.3%36 games · higher is betterRank 22 / 366 · 94th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
49.6%36 games · lower is betterRank 107 / 366 · 71th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
12.8%36 games · lower is betterRank 3 / 366 · 99th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
22.0%36 games · higher is betterRank 6 / 366 · 99th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
32.8%36 games · higher is betterRank 116 / 366 · 68th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
29.9%36 games · lower is betterRank 175 / 366 · 52th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
41.3%36 games · higher is betterRank 36 / 366 · 90th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
34.9%36 games · lower is betterRank 194 / 366 · 47th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 123.8 | 36 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 98.3 | 36 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 58.8% | 36 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 50.3% | 36 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 35.3% | 36 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 32.4% | 36 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 42.7% | 36 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 40.2% | 36 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 74.4% | 36 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 70.8% | 36 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 53.6% | 36 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 52.0% | 36 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,624 source possession rows across 36 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Turnovers forced
22.0% · rank 6 of 366 · 36 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
A closer look
Opponent offensive rebound rate
29.9% · rank 175 of 366 · 36 games
Which matchups demand an extra box-out assignment?
A closer look
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
34.9% · rank 194 of 366 · 36 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 6 times in the selected window; High Point won 5. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 22, 2026 · neutral vs Arkansas · L 88–94 · offense 113.8 / defense 121.5
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 36 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArkansasMar 22, 2026 · neutral | L 88–94 | 23 | 113.8 | 121.5 | 77.4 | 52.0 | 11.6 | 27.5 |
| WisconsinMar 19, 2026 · neutral | W 83–82 | 21 | 113.7 | 112.3 | 73.0 | 52.0 | 8.2 | 29.5 |
| WinthropMar 8, 2026 · neutral | W 91–76 | 153 | 116.0 | 96.9 | 78.5 | 54.2 | 11.5 | 19.4 |
| UNC AshevilleMar 7, 2026 · neutral | W 75–71 | 206 | 110.5 | 104.6 | 67.9 | 52.6 | 13.3 | 24.3 |
| Gardner-WebbMar 6, 2026 · neutral | W 81–59 | 349 | 115.3 | 84.0 | 70.3 | 49.3 | 15.7 | 40.5 |
| PresbyterianFeb 27, 2026 · road | W 79–73 | 257 | 115.6 | 106.8 | 68.3 | 51.6 | 11.7 | 28.2 |
| WinthropFeb 21, 2026 · home | W 89–87 | 153 | 120.5 | 117.8 | 73.9 | 59.1 | 17.6 | 28.1 |
| UNC AshevilleFeb 20, 2026 · home | W 74–48 | 206 | 115.0 | 74.6 | 64.4 | 47.6 | 12.4 | 41.7 |
| Gardner-WebbFeb 14, 2026 · road | W 112–87 | 349 | 143.5 | 111.4 | 78.1 | 65.2 | 20.5 | 51.6 |
| SC UpstateFeb 13, 2026 · road | W 95–70 | 309 | 126.6 | 93.3 | 75.1 | 55.1 | 10.7 | 34.1 |
| RadfordFeb 8, 2026 · home | W 86–77 | 213 | 108.3 | 96.9 | 79.4 | 45.1 | 17.6 | 35.1 |
| Charleston SoFeb 5, 2026 · home | W 80–55 | 278 | 113.6 | 78.1 | 70.4 | 50.0 | 11.4 | 33.3 |
| LongwoodJan 31, 2026 · road | W 71–59 | 220 | 112.5 | 93.5 | 63.1 | 54.0 | 12.7 | 17.2 |
| PresbyterianJan 30, 2026 · home | W 84–81 | 257 | 122.0 | 117.6 | 68.9 | 46.3 | 5.8 | 35.7 |
| RadfordJan 24, 2026 · road | W 93–83 | 213 | 126.3 | 112.8 | 73.6 | 61.8 | 9.5 | 20.7 |
| SC UpstateJan 18, 2026 · home | W 89–69 | 309 | 131.3 | 101.8 | 67.8 | 57.8 | 7.4 | 34.3 |
| WinthropJan 14, 2026 · road | L 75–92 | 153 | 106.4 | 130.5 | 70.5 | 45.1 | 14.2 | 31.7 |
| Charleston SoJan 10, 2026 · road | W 84–82 | 278 | 103.6 | 101.2 | 72.1 | 43.5 | 11.1 | 31.4 |
| Gardner-WebbJan 8, 2026 · home | W 104–49 | 349 | 130.7 | 61.6 | 79.6 | 57.5 | 11.3 | 40.0 |
| LongwoodJan 3, 2026 · home | W 80–67 | 220 | 121.1 | 101.4 | 66.1 | 59.4 | 15.1 | 22.2 |
| UNC AshevilleDec 31, 2025 · road | W 87–69 | 206 | 130.1 | 103.2 | 66.9 | 72.3 | 16.4 | 19.0 |
| PfeifferDec 28, 2025 · home | W 123–64 | Unrated | 155.1 | 80.7 | 79.3 | 70.3 | 12.6 | 51.6 |
| BryantDec 23, 2025 · home | W 93–47 | 298 | 144.9 | 73.2 | 64.2 | 69.6 | 20.3 | 57.7 |
| La SalleDec 20, 2025 · home | W 84–72 | 242 | 127.8 | 109.5 | 65.8 | 60.6 | 12.2 | 25.8 |
| Mary BaldwinDec 17, 2025 · home | W 129–47 | Unrated | 163.9 | 59.7 | 78.7 | 75.4 | 8.9 | 46.4 |
| App StateDec 14, 2025 · neutral | L 78–86 | 151 | 103.2 | 113.8 | 67.2 | 42.0 | 10.6 | 33.3 |
| NJITDec 6, 2025 · home | W 89–72 | 350 | 120.7 | 97.6 | 73.8 | 52.9 | 10.8 | 34.1 |
| S IllinoisDec 4, 2025 · home | L 84–86 | 124 | 113.5 | 116.2 | 74.0 | 50.8 | 14.9 | 30.2 |
| W CarolinaNov 29, 2025 · home | W 93–73 | 245 | 125.2 | 98.3 | 74.3 | 67.2 | 18.9 | 28.6 |
| Incarnate WordNov 23, 2025 · neutral | W 91–80 | 292 | 138.7 | 122.0 | 65.6 | 58.0 | 12.2 | 53.6 |
| UICNov 20, 2025 · neutral | W 90–80 | 138 | 123.3 | 109.6 | 73.0 | 54.5 | 16.4 | 34.4 |
| CanisiusNov 18, 2025 · home | W 93–50 | 354 | 140.2 | 75.4 | 66.3 | 68.5 | 9.0 | 25.9 |
| UABNov 15, 2025 · road | L 74–91 | 106 | 94.7 | 116.4 | 78.2 | 43.3 | 19.2 | 27.5 |
| JacksonvilleNov 12, 2025 · home | W 85–64 | 287 | 123.3 | 92.9 | 68.9 | 50.0 | 4.4 | 25.0 |
| AverettNov 8, 2025 · home | W 127–52 | Unrated | 152.2 | 62.3 | 83.5 | 76.6 | 14.4 | 43.5 |
| FurmanNov 3, 2025 · neutral | W 97–71 | 146 | 132.7 | 97.2 | 73.1 | 64.5 | 8.2 | 25.7 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry AndersonF | 36 | 26.9 | 16.0 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 63.5 | 25.3% | 36 | 1.1536 games | 7036 games |
| Rob MartinG | 35 | 27.3 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 55.4 | 28.1% | 35 | 2.3935 games | 15935 games |
| Owen AquinoF | 36 | 26.5 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 60.1 | 17.1% | 36 | 1.3836 games | 3636 games |
| Conrad MartinezG | 36 | 21.8 | 8.8 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 59.6 | 18.7% | 36 | 3.0036 games | 11936 games |
| Braden HausenF | 36 | 20.3 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 55.7 | 15.3% | 36 | 2.8036 games | 15936 games |
| Scotty WashingtonG | 36 | 18.8 | 8.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 61.5 | 18.1% | 36 | 1.9436 games | 10336 games |
| Cam'Ron FletcherF | 27 | 22.2 | 13.2 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 62.7 | 24.8% | 27 | 0.8127 games | 9427 games |
| Chase JohnstonG | 33 | 13.8 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 71.6 | 16.6% | 33 | 2.1433 games | 14633 games |
| Vincent Brady IIG | 25 | 16.4 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 50.0 | 17.0% | 25 | 2.7325 games | 6625 games |
| Youssouf SingareF | 32 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 65.1 | 8.6% | 32 | 0.3332 games | 032 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around High Point?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
18Source-listed players
14Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
87%Prior minutes represented
Role workload watch
Which source-listed role is represented?
Prior minutes are grouped by the source-reported position on the current listing. “Unrepresented” means prior minutes not attached to a same-program listing in this release; it does not establish a departure, transfer, eligibility or expected role.
| Role | Listed | Prior minutes | Returning minutes | Incoming prior minutes | Returning share | Unrepresented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | 11 | 3,446 | 3,446 | — | 100% | — |
| Forward | 7 | 2,836 | 2,836 | — | 100% | — |
| Center | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
0 listed players have no recognized source position. The workload denominator is the matched prior-production sample (6,282 minutes).
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
18 source-listed players. Prior rates below are attached by exact source ID where available; missing values remain missing.
| Player | Observation | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Prior TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Martin →G | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 27.3 | 16.0 | 55.4% |
| Owen Aquino →F | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 26.5 | 9.2 | 60.1% |
| Conrad Martinez →G | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 21.8 | 8.8 | 59.6% |
| Braden Hausen →F | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 20.3 | 6.7 | 55.7% |
| Scotty Washington →G | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 18.8 | 8.2 | 61.5% |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher →F | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 22.2 | 13.2 | 62.7% |
| Chase Johnston →G | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 13.8 | 6.6 | 71.6% |
| Vincent Brady II →G | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 16.4 | 5.2 | 50.0% |
| Youssouf Singare →F | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 7.7 | 1.3 | 65.1% |
| Caden Miller →F | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 7.4 | 2.9 | 63.9% |
| Babacar Diallo →G | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 7.9 | 2.4 | 65.9% |
| Josh Ibukunoluwa →F | Same programHigh Point Panthers | 6.5 | 2.8 | 65.0% |
Showing the 12 highest prior-minute records. Open the full roster board for every source-listed player.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
High Point vs Saint Louis
78.3High Point
83.9Saint Louis
Saint Louis win estimate68.4%
Model signalLean
Projected home margin5.6
Projected total162.3
80% home-margin range-10.3 to 21.5
Estimated possessions71.5
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityHome 0.7 pts
Saint Louis attack 56.6% · High Point defense 51.0%High Point attack 53.4% · Saint Louis defense 48.5%
Ball securityHome 0.5 pts
Saint Louis attack 17.3% · High Point defense 17.6%High Point attack 15.4% · Saint Louis defense 15.2%
Second chancesAway 6.0 pts
Saint Louis attack 28.5% · High Point defense 30.0%High Point attack 31.8% · Saint Louis defense 27.4%
Free-throw pressureAway 7.9 pts
Saint Louis attack 33.7% · High Point defense 35.4%High Point attack 39.1% · Saint Louis defense 32.9%
Chaifetz Arena
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Miami OH vs High Point
76.6Miami OH
83.5High Point
High Point win estimate71.5%
Model signalLean
Projected home margin6.9
Projected total160.1
80% home-margin range-9.0 to 22.9
Estimated possessions70.8
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityAway 1.6 pts
High Point attack 53.4% · Miami OH defense 51.6%Miami OH attack 54.4% · High Point defense 51.0%
Ball securityHome 1.2 pts
High Point attack 15.4% · Miami OH defense 17.9%Miami OH attack 16.3% · High Point defense 17.6%
Second chancesHome 6.4 pts
High Point attack 31.8% · Miami OH defense 29.7%Miami OH attack 25.7% · High Point defense 30.0%
Free-throw pressureHome 7.0 pts
High Point attack 39.1% · Miami OH defense 32.8%Miami OH attack 34.7% · High Point defense 35.4%
Qubein Center
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →