A relative strength
Turnovers forced
19.7% · rank 40 of 366 · 31 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Delaware St
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.359
-18.4 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
8–232025–26 recorded finals
92.5Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
110.9Adjusted defense · lower is better
68.1Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Delaware St.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
8–2331 recorded games · 31 paired efficiency samples · pace 66.6Mean opponent adj. net -9.2 · 27 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
44.0%31 games · higher is betterRank 364 / 366 · 1th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
52.6%31 games · lower is betterRank 273 / 366 · 25th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
19.6%31 games · lower is betterRank 347 / 366 · 5th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
19.7%31 games · higher is betterRank 40 / 366 · 89th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
28.0%31 games · higher is betterRank 289 / 366 · 21th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
30.2%31 games · lower is betterRank 189 / 366 · 48th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
32.1%31 games · higher is betterRank 253 / 366 · 31th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
38.6%31 games · lower is betterRank 292 / 366 · 20th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 91.1 | 31 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 105.0 | 31 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 43.8% | 31 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 53.5% | 31 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 29.6% | 31 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 34.0% | 31 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 28.5% | 31 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 35.1% | 31 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 68.9% | 31 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 71.2% | 31 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 47.9% | 31 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 55.3% | 31 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,033 source possession rows across 30 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent offensive rebound rate
30.2% · rank 189 of 366 · 31 games
Which matchups demand an extra box-out assignment?
A closer look
Turnover rate
19.6% · rank 347 of 366 · 31 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
A closer look
Effective FG%
44.0% · rank 364 of 366 · 31 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 10 times in the selected window; Delaware St won 5. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 14, 2026 · neutral vs NC Central · L 53–59 · offense 93.9 / defense 104.5
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 31 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC CentralMar 14, 2026 · neutral | L 53–59 | 333 | 93.9 | 104.5 | 56.4 | 51.0 | 26.6 | 37.9 |
| Morgan StMar 11, 2026 · neutral | W 75–70 | 351 | 99.8 | 93.1 | 66.8 | 43.4 | 16.0 | 34.3 |
| MD EasternMar 6, 2026 · road | W 57–56 | 361 | 95.9 | 94.2 | 59.4 | 46.2 | 21.9 | 39.4 |
| SC StateMar 3, 2026 · home | L 59–61 | 343 | 96.6 | 99.9 | 61.1 | 39.0 | 18.0 | 34.4 |
| NC CentralFeb 28, 2026 · home | L 60–74 | 333 | 97.5 | 120.3 | 61.5 | 49.1 | 26.0 | 44.1 |
| Morgan StFeb 21, 2026 · road | L 68–82 | 351 | 92.7 | 111.8 | 73.4 | 41.4 | 15.0 | 27.9 |
| HowardFeb 17, 2026 · home | L 59–91 | 223 | 82.1 | 126.6 | 71.9 | 44.4 | 22.3 | 17.6 |
| Norfolk StFeb 14, 2026 · road | L 58–75 | 252 | 92.1 | 119.1 | 63.0 | 39.0 | 17.5 | 18.8 |
| NC CentralFeb 10, 2026 · road | L 63–72 | 333 | 107.5 | 122.9 | 58.6 | 52.0 | 23.9 | 41.4 |
| Coppin StFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 47–65 | 364 | 70.7 | 97.8 | 66.4 | 31.3 | 27.1 | 26.3 |
| MD EasternJan 31, 2026 · home | W 65–57 | 361 | 106.1 | 93.0 | 61.3 | 56.7 | 14.7 | 14.3 |
| SC StateJan 26, 2026 · road | L 64–70 | 343 | 93.0 | 101.7 | 68.8 | 37.7 | 16.0 | 29.0 |
| Morgan StJan 17, 2026 · home | L 79–80 | 351 | 108.0 | 109.3 | 73.2 | 49.1 | 15.0 | 32.4 |
| HowardJan 13, 2026 · road | L 58–84 | 223 | 90.8 | 131.5 | 63.9 | 42.9 | 23.5 | 28.6 |
| Norfolk StJan 10, 2026 · home | L 64–66 | 252 | 90.7 | 93.5 | 70.6 | 50.9 | 26.9 | 32.0 |
| Coppin StJan 3, 2026 · home | L 51–53 | 364 | 77.7 | 80.7 | 65.7 | 40.4 | 22.8 | 33.3 |
| RutgersDec 30, 2025 · road | L 50–65 | 107 | 74.4 | 96.8 | 67.2 | 38.2 | 22.3 | 18.4 |
| Holy FamilyDec 21, 2025 · home | W 73–61 | Unrated | 110.2 | 92.1 | 66.2 | 64.6 | 25.7 | 31.6 |
| Saint Joseph'sDec 19, 2025 · road | L 51–67 | 108 | 75.7 | 99.4 | 67.4 | 35.5 | 20.8 | 30.2 |
| LongwoodDec 13, 2025 · road | W 81–76 | 220 | 121.5 | 114.0 | 66.7 | 64.0 | 13.5 | 18.5 |
| DelawareDec 6, 2025 · home | W 75–72 | 251 | 97.7 | 93.8 | 68.3 | 51.7 | 22.1 | 25.0 |
| NavyDec 4, 2025 · home | L 59–66 | 182 | 83.0 | 92.8 | 71.1 | 37.3 | 11.2 | 18.6 |
| UMBCNov 29, 2025 · road | L 57–71 | 225 | 86.0 | 107.1 | 66.3 | 39.7 | 13.6 | 25.0 |
| Virginia StNov 26, 2025 · neutral | L 58–62 | Unrated | 84.0 | 89.8 | 69.0 | 37.5 | 13.0 | 24.4 |
| MiamiNov 23, 2025 · road | L 41–97 | 57 | 58.1 | 137.5 | 70.6 | 29.6 | 26.9 | 25.0 |
| KeanNov 21, 2025 · home | W 66–64 | Unrated | 93.7 | 90.9 | 70.4 | 44.7 | 14.2 | 30.0 |
| Cheyney (PA)Nov 19, 2025 · home | W 88–70 | Unrated | 117.0 | 93.1 | 75.2 | 59.5 | 18.6 | 36.7 |
| New HavenNov 15, 2025 · road | L 52–65 | 332 | 78.6 | 98.3 | 66.1 | 39.5 | 16.6 | 15.4 |
| NiagaraNov 10, 2025 · road | L 57–68 | 331 | 95.5 | 114.0 | 59.7 | 45.4 | 13.4 | 22.9 |
| SyracuseNov 8, 2025 · road | L 43–83 | 102 | 60.1 | 116.0 | 71.5 | 22.3 | 21.0 | 33.3 |
| TempleNov 6, 2025 · road | L 65–83 | 142 | 98.0 | 125.2 | 66.3 | 50.9 | 24.1 | 27.6 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponce JamesG | 27 | 32.3 | 13.6 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 49.3 | 25.9% | 27 | 1.6427 games | 12227 games |
| Corey PerkinsG | 28 | 27.8 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 47.6 | 18.7% | 28 | 1.2328 games | 4028 games |
| Miles WebbF | 26 | 27.2 | 9.5 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 57.5 | 19.1% | 26 | 0.4426 games | 2226 games |
| Bessanty SaragbaF | 25 | 22.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 47.1 | 9.4% | 25 | 0.3525 games | 025 games |
| Rahmir MooreG | 26 | 21.7 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 50.5 | 18.1% | 26 | 1.1626 games | 6726 games |
| Ademar SantosF | 22 | 19.7 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 46.5 | 23.0% | 22 | 0.4222 games | 6622 games |
| Zion BetheaG | 29 | 14.9 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 42.8 | 25.0% | 29 | 0.6229 games | 8229 games |
| Jalen St ClairG | 25 | 14.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 40.6 | 19.7% | 25 | 1.2525 games | 2825 games |
| Cyril ObasogieC | 24 | 14.6 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 43.7 | 13.3% | 24 | 0.4624 games | 024 games |
| Muazibini AdamuC | 25 | 12.9 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 41.9 | 12.2% | 25 | 0.3525 games | 025 games |
| Dean ShepherdG | 26 | 11.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 50.1 | 19.8% | 26 | 1.2026 games | 2326 games |
| Kareem WatsonF | 19 | 11.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 41.1 | 26.9% | 19 | 0.3219 games | 119 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Delaware St?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
16Source-listed players
15Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
100%Prior minutes represented
Role workload watch
Which source-listed role is represented?
Prior minutes are grouped by the source-reported position on the current listing. “Unrepresented” means prior minutes not attached to a same-program listing in this release; it does not establish a departure, transfer, eligibility or expected role.
| Role | Listed | Prior minutes | Returning minutes | Incoming prior minutes | Returning share | Unrepresented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | 9 | 3,644 | 3,644 | — | 100% | — |
| Forward | 5 | 1,933 | 1,933 | — | 100% | — |
| Center | 2 | 673 | 673 | — | 100% | — |
0 listed players have no recognized source position. The workload denominator is the matched prior-production sample (6,250 minutes).
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
16 source-listed players. Prior rates below are attached by exact source ID where available; missing values remain missing.
| Player | Observation | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Prior TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponce James →G | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 32.3 | 13.6 | 49.3% |
| Corey Perkins →G | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 27.8 | 7.2 | 47.6% |
| Miles Webb →F | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 27.2 | 9.5 | 57.5% |
| Bessanty Saragba →F | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 22.7 | 3.2 | 47.1% |
| Rahmir Moore →G | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 21.7 | 6.6 | 50.5% |
| Ademar Santos →F | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 19.7 | 7.1 | 46.5% |
| Zion Bethea →G | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 14.9 | 5.4 | 42.8% |
| Jalen St Clair →G | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 14.3 | 3.6 | 40.6% |
| Cyril Obasogie →C | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 14.6 | 2.8 | 43.7% |
| Muazibini Adamu →C | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 12.9 | 1.9 | 41.9% |
| Dean Shepherd →G | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 11.9 | 4.1 | 50.1% |
| Kareem Watson →F | Same programDelaware State Hornets | 11.1 | 3.8 | 41.1% |
Showing the 12 highest prior-minute records. Open the full roster board for every source-listed player.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
Delaware St vs Georgetown
58.8Delaware St
78.9Georgetown
Georgetown win estimate91.3%
Model signalStrong lean
Projected home margin20.0
Projected total137.7
80% home-margin range4.1 to 36.0
Estimated possessions67.7
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityHome 1.6 pts
Georgetown attack 50.7% · Delaware St defense 53.8%Delaware St attack 45.7% · Georgetown defense 50.3%
Ball securityHome 3.8 pts
Georgetown attack 16.6% · Delaware St defense 18.7%Delaware St attack 18.9% · Georgetown defense 17.3%
Second chancesHome 2.3 pts
Georgetown attack 32.2% · Delaware St defense 30.9%Delaware St attack 28.7% · Georgetown defense 29.7%
Free-throw pressureAway 3.7 pts
Georgetown attack 34.5% · Delaware St defense 37.7%Delaware St attack 33.6% · Georgetown defense 33.2%
Capital One Arena
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Binghamton vs Delaware St
66.6Binghamton
69.1Delaware St
Delaware St win estimate60.8%
Model signalLean
Projected home margin2.5
Projected total135.7
80% home-margin range-13.4 to 18.5
Estimated possessions66.5
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityAway 3.3 pts
Delaware St attack 45.7% · Binghamton defense 52.7%Binghamton attack 50.1% · Delaware St defense 53.8%
Ball securityAway 5.0 pts
Delaware St attack 18.9% · Binghamton defense 13.6%Binghamton attack 19.0% · Delaware St defense 18.7%
Second chancesHome 5.3 pts
Delaware St attack 28.7% · Binghamton defense 29.7%Binghamton attack 24.6% · Delaware St defense 30.9%
Free-throw pressureAway 2.5 pts
Delaware St attack 33.6% · Binghamton defense 36.0%Binghamton attack 37.8% · Delaware St defense 37.7%
Memorial Hall (DE)
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →