A relative strength
Free-throw attempt rate
37.8% · rank 97 of 366 · 31 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Coppin St
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.364
-25.0 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
7–242025–26 recorded finals
90.8Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
115.8Adjusted defense · lower is better
69.1Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Coppin St.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
7–2431 recorded games · 31 paired efficiency samples · pace 69.4Mean opponent adj. net -5.7 · 30 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
46.3%31 games · higher is betterRank 354 / 366 · 3th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
54.9%31 games · lower is betterRank 341 / 366 · 7th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
22.1%31 games · lower is betterRank 364 / 366 · 1th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
17.9%31 games · higher is betterRank 111 / 366 · 70th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
31.4%31 games · higher is betterRank 170 / 366 · 54th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
34.4%31 games · lower is betterRank 339 / 366 · 7th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
37.8%31 games · higher is betterRank 97 / 366 · 74th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
42.0%31 games · lower is betterRank 334 / 366 · 9th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 94.0 | 31 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 115.4 | 31 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 46.5% | 31 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 53.5% | 31 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 30.5% | 31 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 37.8% | 31 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 35.2% | 31 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 43.5% | 31 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 67.4% | 31 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 74.4% | 31 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 51.4% | 31 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 62.3% | 31 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,173 source possession rows across 31 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Turnovers forced
17.9% · rank 111 of 366 · 31 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
A closer look
Effective FG%
46.3% · rank 354 of 366 · 31 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
A closer look
Turnover rate
22.1% · rank 364 of 366 · 31 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 7 times in the selected window; Coppin St won 4. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 6, 2026 · road vs Morgan St · L 66–70 · offense 95.9 / defense 101.7
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 31 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan StMar 6, 2026 · road | L 66–70 | 351 | 95.9 | 101.7 | 68.8 | 42.4 | 17.4 | 31.7 |
| HowardMar 3, 2026 · road | L 70–90 | 223 | 98.9 | 127.2 | 70.8 | 54.5 | 24.0 | 29.0 |
| Norfolk StFeb 28, 2026 · home | L 69–75 | 252 | 104.5 | 113.6 | 66.0 | 42.4 | 13.6 | 43.6 |
| MD EasternFeb 21, 2026 · home | W 71–65 | 361 | 96.4 | 88.3 | 65.4 | 46.7 | 25.8 | 36.4 |
| SC StateFeb 16, 2026 · road | W 59–57 | 343 | 87.6 | 84.6 | 67.4 | 57.0 | 28.2 | 13.0 |
| NC CentralFeb 14, 2026 · road | W 58–56 | 333 | 92.8 | 89.6 | 62.5 | 44.8 | 14.4 | 27.8 |
| Delaware StFeb 7, 2026 · home | W 65–47 | 359 | 97.8 | 70.7 | 66.4 | 51.0 | 25.6 | 40.0 |
| HowardFeb 2, 2026 · home | L 53–72 | 223 | 85.8 | 116.6 | 61.8 | 37.5 | 21.0 | 44.4 |
| Morgan StJan 31, 2026 · home | L 80–89 | 351 | 105.5 | 117.4 | 75.8 | 50.0 | 18.5 | 36.6 |
| Norfolk StJan 24, 2026 · road | L 76–103 | 252 | 94.7 | 128.4 | 80.2 | 51.8 | 23.7 | 30.0 |
| MD EasternJan 17, 2026 · road | L 67–70 | 361 | 109.8 | 114.8 | 61.0 | 49.0 | 32.8 | 57.1 |
| SC StateJan 13, 2026 · home | L 72–74 | 343 | 110.1 | 113.2 | 65.4 | 46.0 | 21.4 | 40.5 |
| NC CentralJan 10, 2026 · home | L 77–88 | 333 | 117.7 | 134.6 | 65.4 | 63.0 | 19.9 | 28.6 |
| Delaware StJan 3, 2026 · road | W 53–51 | 359 | 80.7 | 77.7 | 65.7 | 48.0 | 28.9 | 28.1 |
| UMBCDec 29, 2025 · home | L 59–93 | 225 | 81.9 | 129.1 | 72.0 | 43.0 | 19.4 | 15.4 |
| GeorgetownDec 22, 2025 · road | L 67–97 | 105 | 92.5 | 133.9 | 72.4 | 47.5 | 19.3 | 27.5 |
| NavyDec 19, 2025 · road | L 55–88 | 182 | 82.2 | 131.4 | 67.0 | 39.3 | 20.9 | 26.3 |
| RadfordDec 14, 2025 · road | L 77–107 | 213 | 98.7 | 137.2 | 78.0 | 55.4 | 29.5 | 27.3 |
| Saint Joseph'sDec 10, 2025 · road | L 65–87 | 108 | 95.9 | 128.3 | 67.8 | 47.4 | 16.2 | 18.2 |
| LibertyDec 6, 2025 · road | L 50–92 | 96 | 73.6 | 135.4 | 67.9 | 33.9 | 22.1 | 27.5 |
| West VirginiaDec 4, 2025 · road | L 49–91 | 52 | 70.1 | 130.2 | 69.9 | 34.3 | 21.5 | 23.1 |
| Loyola MDNov 30, 2025 · road | L 84–95 | 330 | 119.0 | 134.6 | 70.6 | 61.0 | 18.4 | 28.0 |
| RiderNov 26, 2025 · road | W 68–65 | 342 | 95.9 | 91.7 | 70.9 | 46.1 | 22.6 | 42.9 |
| VCUNov 23, 2025 · road | L 58–101 | 39 | 77.9 | 135.6 | 74.5 | 41.9 | 22.8 | 25.0 |
| Central PennNov 18, 2025 · home | W 103–62 | Unrated | 127.4 | 76.7 | 80.9 | 54.3 | 16.1 | 54.8 |
| South AlabamaNov 15, 2025 · neutral | L 62–72 | 165 | 93.1 | 108.1 | 66.6 | 43.8 | 19.5 | 25.7 |
| C MichiganNov 14, 2025 · neutral | L 59–82 | 266 | 83.3 | 115.8 | 70.8 | 37.1 | 18.4 | 29.5 |
| South FloridaNov 13, 2025 · road | L 50–100 | 76 | 72.8 | 145.7 | 68.6 | 32.7 | 26.2 | 30.8 |
| James MadisonNov 9, 2025 · road | L 70–84 | 155 | 99.6 | 119.5 | 70.3 | 46.8 | 25.6 | 34.3 |
| La SalleNov 5, 2025 · road | L 59–87 | 242 | 80.2 | 118.2 | 73.6 | 38.6 | 21.7 | 17.5 |
| MarylandNov 3, 2025 · neutral | L 61–83 | 63 | 89.4 | 121.6 | 68.2 | 50.0 | 29.3 | 25.8 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hassan PerkinsG | 31 | 22.6 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 54.1 | 16.8% | 31 | 1.9631 games | 7831 games |
| Khali HortonF | 31 | 19.8 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 50.2 | 20.8% | 31 | 0.9331 games | 12731 games |
| Hussain WilliamsG | 31 | 19.8 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 46.6 | 22.2% | 31 | 0.7731 games | 13731 games |
| Torrin AndrewsG | 31 | 19.1 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 53.8 | 17.6% | 31 | 0.8631 games | 8231 games |
| Jamari PiercyG | 31 | 18.3 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 48.2 | 23.2% | 31 | 0.5431 games | 4631 games |
| Demariontay HallF | 22 | 22.0 | 10.6 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 53.8 | 26.9% | 22 | 0.2322 games | 322 games |
| Tyler KoenigF | 28 | 16.9 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 54.3 | 17.4% | 28 | 0.3628 games | 128 games |
| Taj ThweattF | 23 | 17.8 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 52.3 | 19.6% | 23 | 0.3423 games | 4723 games |
| Baasil SaundersG | 26 | 15.5 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 44.1 | 14.8% | 26 | 0.7626 games | 1626 games |
| Nelson LamizanaF | 17 | 19.2 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 54.3 | 20.7% | 17 | 0.4717 games | 2317 games |
| Camaren SparrowG | 16 | 19.2 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 47.7 | 19.9% | 16 | 0.8616 games | 1416 games |
| Daveyon LydnerG | 23 | 12.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 33.9 | 15.8% | 23 | 2.1823 games | 1723 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Coppin St?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
17Source-listed players
15Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
100%Prior minutes represented
Role workload watch
Which source-listed role is represented?
Prior minutes are grouped by the source-reported position on the current listing. “Unrepresented” means prior minutes not attached to a same-program listing in this release; it does not establish a departure, transfer, eligibility or expected role.
| Role | Listed | Prior minutes | Returning minutes | Incoming prior minutes | Returning share | Unrepresented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | 9 | 3,549 | 3,549 | — | 100% | — |
| Forward | 7 | 2,484 | 2,484 | — | 100% | — |
| Center | 1 | 192 | 192 | — | 100% | — |
0 listed players have no recognized source position. The workload denominator is the matched prior-production sample (6,225 minutes).
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
17 source-listed players. Prior rates below are attached by exact source ID where available; missing values remain missing.
| Player | Observation | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Prior TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hassan Perkins →G | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 22.6 | 6.6 | 54.1% |
| Khali Horton →F | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 19.8 | 7.4 | 50.2% |
| Hussain Williams →G | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 19.8 | 7.3 | 46.6% |
| Torrin Andrews →G | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 19.1 | 5.3 | 53.8% |
| Jamari Piercy →G | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 18.3 | 6.8 | 48.2% |
| Demariontay Hall →F | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 22.0 | 10.6 | 53.8% |
| Tyler Koenig →F | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 16.9 | 5.3 | 54.3% |
| Taj Thweatt →F | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 17.8 | 6.0 | 52.3% |
| Baasil Saunders →G | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 15.5 | 3.2 | 44.1% |
| Nelson Lamizana →F | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 19.2 | 6.6 | 54.3% |
| Camaren Sparrow →G | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 19.2 | 5.7 | 47.7% |
| Daveyon Lydner →G | Same programCoppin State Eagles | 12.7 | 2.3 | 33.9% |
Showing the 12 highest prior-minute records. Open the full roster board for every source-listed player.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
Coppin St vs Georgetown
58.5Coppin St
83.4Georgetown
Georgetown win estimate94.7%
Model signalStrong lean
Projected home margin24.9
Projected total141.9
80% home-margin range8.9 to 40.8
Estimated possessions68.8
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityHome 0.1 pts
Georgetown attack 50.7% · Coppin St defense 54.9%Coppin St attack 46.1% · Georgetown defense 50.3%
Ball securityHome 5.0 pts
Georgetown attack 16.6% · Coppin St defense 18.3%Coppin St attack 20.5% · Georgetown defense 17.3%
Second chancesHome 1.3 pts
Georgetown attack 32.2% · Coppin St defense 33.9%Coppin St attack 26.7% · Georgetown defense 29.7%
Free-throw pressureAway 7.1 pts
Georgetown attack 34.5% · Coppin St defense 38.8%Coppin St attack 36.0% · Georgetown defense 33.2%
Capital One Arena
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →