A relative strength
Turnovers forced
17.9% · rank 110 of 366 · 33 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Bucknell
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.310
-11.3 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
10–232025–26 recorded finals
99.2Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
110.5Adjusted defense · lower is better
67.6Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Bucknell.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
10–2333 recorded games · 33 paired efficiency samples · pace 66.9Mean opponent adj. net -4.8 · 33 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
48.5%33 games · higher is betterRank 323 / 366 · 12th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
54.7%33 games · lower is betterRank 336 / 366 · 8th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
19.0%33 games · lower is betterRank 327 / 366 · 11th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
17.9%33 games · higher is betterRank 110 / 366 · 70th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
27.0%33 games · higher is betterRank 312 / 366 · 15th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
31.3%33 games · lower is betterRank 252 / 366 · 31th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
29.8%33 games · higher is betterRank 311 / 366 · 15th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
35.3%33 games · lower is betterRank 208 / 366 · 43th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 99.5 | 33 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 112.8 | 33 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 50.4% | 33 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 54.1% | 33 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 30.6% | 33 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 37.0% | 33 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 42.7% | 33 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 45.7% | 33 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 76.8% | 33 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 75.2% | 33 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 54.0% | 33 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 61.8% | 33 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,243 source possession rows across 33 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
35.3% · rank 208 of 366 · 33 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
A closer look
Turnover rate
19.0% · rank 327 of 366 · 33 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
A closer look
Opponent effective FG%
54.7% · rank 336 of 366 · 33 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 9 times in the selected window; Bucknell won 3. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 6, 2026 · road vs Navy · L 69–74 · offense 110.1 / defense 118.1
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 33 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NavyMar 6, 2026 · road | L 69–74 | 182 | 110.1 | 118.1 | 62.7 | 51.6 | 20.7 | 40.0 |
| ArmyMar 4, 2026 · home | W 65–55 | 340 | 97.2 | 82.2 | 66.9 | 50.9 | 17.9 | 28.6 |
| LehighFeb 28, 2026 · road | L 79–89 | 291 | 116.3 | 131.1 | 67.9 | 57.9 | 16.2 | 29.0 |
| ArmyFeb 25, 2026 · road | W 75–73 | 340 | 103.6 | 100.8 | 72.4 | 56.5 | 22.1 | 22.6 |
| Holy CrossFeb 22, 2026 · home | L 63–72 | 334 | 95.7 | 109.4 | 65.8 | 40.3 | 15.2 | 35.1 |
| AmericanFeb 19, 2026 · home | L 57–75 | 247 | 88.1 | 115.9 | 64.7 | 47.0 | 23.2 | 29.6 |
| Boston UFeb 14, 2026 · road | L 69–82 | 270 | 105.6 | 125.5 | 65.3 | 53.4 | 12.2 | 17.6 |
| NavyFeb 9, 2026 · home | L 60–76 | 182 | 86.7 | 109.9 | 69.2 | 41.3 | 15.9 | 20.0 |
| ColgateFeb 7, 2026 · home | L 59–78 | 209 | 80.4 | 106.3 | 73.4 | 35.5 | 17.7 | 18.9 |
| AmericanFeb 5, 2026 · road | W 60–59 | 247 | 101.4 | 99.7 | 59.2 | 51.1 | 23.7 | 22.2 |
| Boston UJan 31, 2026 · home | W 103–97 | 270 | 134.2 | 126.4 | 61.4 | 60.5 | 10.4 | 28.1 |
| LafayetteJan 29, 2026 · road | L 79–81 | 319 | 120.7 | 123.7 | 65.5 | 52.9 | 15.3 | 32.3 |
| Loyola MDJan 24, 2026 · road | L 62–67 | 330 | 97.9 | 105.8 | 63.3 | 45.8 | 14.2 | 27.0 |
| ArmyJan 22, 2026 · home | L 84–87 | 340 | 120.1 | 124.4 | 62.2 | 55.0 | 12.9 | 30.0 |
| ColgateJan 17, 2026 · road | L 76–95 | 209 | 106.4 | 133.0 | 71.4 | 49.1 | 15.4 | 16.1 |
| LafayetteJan 15, 2026 · home | W 76–69 | 319 | 115.3 | 104.7 | 65.9 | 62.7 | 22.8 | 26.9 |
| Loyola MDJan 10, 2026 · home | W 70–67 | 330 | 102.3 | 97.9 | 68.4 | 49.2 | 20.5 | 33.3 |
| NavyJan 8, 2026 · road | L 55–76 | 182 | 83.8 | 115.9 | 65.6 | 41.5 | 19.8 | 18.9 |
| LehighJan 3, 2026 · home | W 72–65 | 291 | 98.3 | 88.7 | 73.3 | 42.3 | 16.4 | 31.0 |
| Holy CrossDec 31, 2025 · road | L 58–65 | 334 | 93.0 | 104.2 | 62.4 | 47.5 | 20.8 | 29.7 |
| IowaDec 20, 2025 · road | L 39–94 | 28 | 59.7 | 144.0 | 65.3 | 42.7 | 38.3 | 11.5 |
| RiderDec 10, 2025 · road | W 51–38 | 342 | 83.6 | 62.3 | 61.0 | 42.5 | 18.0 | 18.8 |
| UMBCDec 6, 2025 · home | L 66–73 | 225 | 102.2 | 113.0 | 64.6 | 44.3 | 13.9 | 35.0 |
| AkronDec 4, 2025 · road | L 77–97 | 75 | 112.2 | 141.3 | 68.6 | 50.7 | 13.1 | 34.1 |
| CornellNov 30, 2025 · home | L 72–101 | 122 | 97.5 | 136.8 | 73.8 | 44.2 | 23.0 | 31.7 |
| BuffaloNov 26, 2025 · neutral | L 71–73 | 277 | 116.7 | 119.9 | 60.9 | 56.1 | 18.1 | 40.6 |
| Bowling GreenNov 24, 2025 · neutral | L 66–71 | 190 | 95.8 | 103.0 | 68.9 | 56.7 | 26.1 | 15.4 |
| St John'sNov 21, 2025 · road | L 49–97 | 14 | 64.6 | 127.8 | 75.9 | 33.3 | 31.6 | 20.5 |
| PittNov 18, 2025 · road | L 50–84 | 71 | 77.2 | 129.7 | 64.8 | 34.0 | 24.7 | 27.0 |
| HofstraNov 15, 2025 · home | L 77–83 | 115 | 103.2 | 111.3 | 74.6 | 50.0 | 22.8 | 32.4 |
| PrincetonNov 12, 2025 · road | L 63–73 | 184 | 92.1 | 106.8 | 68.4 | 47.1 | 19.0 | 17.6 |
| Mount St MarysNov 8, 2025 · road | W 73–62 | 264 | 111.6 | 94.8 | 65.4 | 50.0 | 6.1 | 23.1 |
| DelawareNov 4, 2025 · home | W 78–70 | 251 | 109.7 | 98.5 | 71.1 | 53.2 | 18.3 | 35.3 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achile SpadoneG | 33 | 34.8 | 12.4 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 51.4 | 21.1% | 33 | 1.0233 games | 14533 games |
| Jayden WilliamsG | 33 | 32.6 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 44.6 | 16.5% | 33 | 2.2833 games | 11633 games |
| Amon DörriesC | 33 | 32.5 | 16.2 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 61.4 | 25.7% | 33 | 0.5233 games | 8433 games |
| Aleksander PachuckiG | 33 | 20.7 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 55.1 | 15.4% | 33 | 1.0833 games | 11733 games |
| Pat CurtinG | 27 | 25.1 | 12.8 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 52.3 | 29.5% | 27 | 0.8427 games | 11927 games |
| Quin BergerG | 30 | 16.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 46.2 | 13.5% | 30 | 0.8530 games | 7230 games |
| Ruot BijiekF | 12 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 50.5 | 25.7% | 12 | 0.2912 games | 7412 games |
| Jacob MeachemG | 30 | 10.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 36.2 | 15.5% | 30 | 1.6230 games | 1230 games |
| Grgur BrcicC | 18 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 55.4 | 14.1% | 18 | 0.5418 games | 018 games |
| Brandon McCreeshG | 8 | 27.6 | 7.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 53.8 | 14.3% | 8 | 2.178 games | 328 games |
| Patrick O'BrienF | 21 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 49.1 | 13.3% | 21 | 0.6021 games | 1821 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Bucknell?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →