A relative strength
Effective FG%
60.7% · rank 1 of 366 · 32 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Belmont
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.86
+8.7 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
26–62025–26 recorded finals
115.1Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
106.4Adjusted defense · lower is better
70.3Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Belmont.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
26–632 recorded games · 32 paired efficiency samples · pace 70.2Mean opponent adj. net 0.7 · 31 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
60.7%32 games · higher is betterRank 1 / 366 · 100th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
49.3%32 games · lower is betterRank 88 / 366 · 76th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
17.8%32 games · lower is betterRank 270 / 366 · 26th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
17.5%32 games · higher is betterRank 137 / 366 · 63th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
29.2%32 games · higher is betterRank 252 / 366 · 31th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
28.8%32 games · lower is betterRank 122 / 366 · 67th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
31.8%32 games · higher is betterRank 261 / 366 · 29th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
30.3%32 games · lower is betterRank 78 / 366 · 79th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 118.6 | 32 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 103.7 | 32 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 60.8% | 32 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 48.2% | 32 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 40.3% | 32 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 33.6% | 32 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 46.1% | 32 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 49.1% | 32 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 68.5% | 32 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 75.4% | 32 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 61.8% | 32 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 54.0% | 32 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,272 source possession rows across 32 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
30.3% · rank 78 of 366 · 32 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
A closer look
Free-throw attempt rate
31.8% · rank 261 of 366 · 32 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
A closer look
Turnover rate
17.8% · rank 270 of 366 · 32 games
Where do turnovers occur under pressure, and who can relieve that pressure?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 9 times in the selected window; Belmont won 7. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 6, 2026 · neutral vs Drake · L 79–100 · offense 109.5 / defense 138.6
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 32 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DrakeMar 6, 2026 · neutral | L 79–100 | 109 | 109.5 | 138.6 | 72.2 | 52.3 | 15.2 | 25.6 |
| Illinois StMar 1, 2026 · road | L 74–81 | 112 | 119.8 | 131.1 | 61.8 | 60.2 | 14.6 | 32.3 |
| EvansvilleFeb 26, 2026 · home | W 98–64 | 302 | 145.2 | 94.8 | 67.5 | 74.6 | 13.3 | 28.0 |
| Indiana StFeb 22, 2026 · home | W 87–70 | 140 | 119.2 | 95.9 | 73.0 | 56.9 | 12.3 | 21.2 |
| Murray StFeb 15, 2026 · road | W 87–70 | 130 | 118.8 | 95.6 | 73.2 | 60.3 | 17.8 | 21.4 |
| Northern IowaFeb 13, 2026 · home | W 91–86 | 87 | 128.2 | 121.2 | 71.0 | 70.4 | 15.5 | 12.5 |
| BradleyFeb 10, 2026 · road | L 84–95 | 98 | 108.6 | 122.8 | 68.8 | 52.4 | 22.0 | 36.8 |
| UICFeb 7, 2026 · road | W 68–62 | 138 | 107.4 | 97.9 | 63.3 | 61.5 | 26.9 | 30.8 |
| DrakeFeb 4, 2026 · home | W 103–90 | 109 | 147.4 | 128.8 | 69.9 | 72.0 | 7.2 | 24.2 |
| Murray StFeb 1, 2026 · home | W 103–86 | 130 | 145.9 | 121.8 | 70.6 | 65.2 | 11.3 | 46.9 |
| ValparaisoJan 29, 2026 · road | W 78–77 | 191 | 114.3 | 112.8 | 68.2 | 65.0 | 22.0 | 26.9 |
| Illinois StJan 24, 2026 · home | W 80–69 | 112 | 114.7 | 98.9 | 69.7 | 67.0 | 20.1 | 11.5 |
| S IllinoisJan 18, 2026 · road | W 73–68 | 124 | 105.5 | 98.2 | 69.2 | 46.0 | 13.0 | 32.5 |
| ValparaisoJan 14, 2026 · home | W 78–74 | 191 | 120.0 | 113.9 | 65.0 | 63.2 | 13.8 | 20.0 |
| DrakeJan 10, 2026 · road | W 78–76 | 109 | 107.2 | 104.4 | 72.8 | 46.8 | 19.2 | 39.0 |
| Northern IowaJan 8, 2026 · road | W 78–65 | 87 | 133.5 | 111.2 | 58.4 | 70.0 | 10.3 | 21.7 |
| S IllinoisJan 4, 2026 · home | L 67–68 | 124 | 96.6 | 98.1 | 69.3 | 57.0 | 23.1 | 25.9 |
| BradleyJan 2, 2026 · home | W 88–78 | 98 | 126.3 | 112.0 | 69.7 | 64.7 | 23.0 | 42.9 |
| Indiana StDec 30, 2025 · road | L 80–81 | 140 | 105.0 | 106.3 | 67.7 | 52.4 | 21.0 | 29.4 |
| UC IrvineDec 20, 2025 · road | W 84–58 | 95 | 120.7 | 83.4 | 69.6 | 63.4 | 21.6 | 30.0 |
| EvansvilleDec 17, 2025 · road | W 83–78 | 302 | 109.0 | 102.4 | 76.1 | 56.0 | 18.4 | 20.6 |
| UICDec 13, 2025 · home | W 87–84 | 138 | 136.3 | 131.6 | 63.8 | 71.0 | 21.9 | 44.0 |
| MTSUDec 7, 2025 · road | W 83–62 | 164 | 117.9 | 88.1 | 70.4 | 60.0 | 11.4 | 24.3 |
| RichmondDec 4, 2025 · home | L 76–84 | 162 | 103.0 | 113.8 | 73.8 | 55.6 | 20.3 | 25.6 |
| CharlestonNov 30, 2025 · road | W 96–73 | 135 | 135.9 | 103.3 | 70.6 | 67.5 | 8.5 | 27.6 |
| ToledoNov 26, 2025 · neutral | W 87–72 | 148 | 122.0 | 101.0 | 71.3 | 70.8 | 28.1 | 40.0 |
| Saint FrancisNov 24, 2025 · neutral | W 94–57 | 356 | 130.8 | 79.3 | 71.9 | 71.6 | 18.1 | 24.0 |
| FiskNov 22, 2025 · home | W 96–49 | Unrated | 124.8 | 63.7 | 76.9 | 53.0 | 9.1 | 38.3 |
| LipscombNov 20, 2025 · home | W 75–68 | 144 | 96.4 | 87.4 | 77.8 | 50.9 | 28.3 | 31.4 |
| Oral RobertsNov 16, 2025 · road | W 83–60 | 300 | 110.4 | 79.8 | 75.2 | 62.5 | 25.3 | 35.5 |
| Tennessee StNov 9, 2025 · home | W 87–79 | 204 | 107.3 | 97.4 | 81.1 | 57.0 | 21.0 | 24.2 |
| Air ForceNov 4, 2025 · home | W 79–63 | 347 | 118.7 | 94.6 | 66.6 | 52.7 | 12.0 | 25.8 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler LundbladeG | 32 | 34.3 | 15.6 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 63.7 | 19.4% | 32 | 2.0032 games | 28332 games |
| Jabez JenkinsG | 32 | 24.2 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 57.1 | 20.4% | 32 | 0.6932 games | 5732 games |
| Sam OrmeF | 29 | 25.6 | 12.7 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 65.3 | 21.3% | 29 | 1.6329 games | 12129 games |
| Drew ScharnowskiF | 30 | 21.7 | 10.7 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 62.5 | 24.2% | 30 | 1.4730 games | 530 games |
| Brigham RogersF | 32 | 18.2 | 7.1 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 70.2 | 16.6% | 32 | 1.7732 games | 032 games |
| Isaiah WestG | 32 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 49.8 | 12.5% | 32 | 1.3732 games | 2932 games |
| Jack SmileyG | 31 | 17.3 | 8.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 61.2 | 24.2% | 31 | 2.1931 games | 10131 games |
| Eoin DillonF | 32 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 66.3 | 20.3% | 32 | 1.6632 games | 11232 games |
| Nic McClainG | 15 | 25.3 | 10.4 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 57.5 | 23.7% | 15 | 1.9215 games | 3815 games |
| Win MillerG | 27 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 56.8 | 19.0% | 27 | 0.8027 games | 3727 games |
| Aidan NoyesF | 14 | 14.8 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 73.7 | 15.0% | 14 | 0.8014 games | 4614 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Belmont?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →