A relative strength
Free-throw attempt rate
43.1% · rank 16 of 366 · 33 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Oregon St
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.139
+2.0 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
17–162025–26 recorded finals
109.0Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
107.0Adjusted defense · lower is better
65.9Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Oregon St.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
17–1633 recorded games · 33 paired efficiency samples · pace 66.2Mean opponent adj. net 3.9 · 33 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
50.5%33 games · higher is betterRank 249 / 366 · 32th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
50.3%33 games · lower is betterRank 150 / 366 · 59th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
17.7%33 games · lower is betterRank 266 / 366 · 27th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
15.3%33 games · higher is betterRank 287 / 366 · 22th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
26.8%33 games · higher is betterRank 321 / 366 · 12th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
32.1%33 games · lower is betterRank 284 / 366 · 22th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
43.1%33 games · higher is betterRank 16 / 366 · 96th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
35.1%33 games · lower is betterRank 201 / 366 · 45th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 105.8 | 33 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 110.3 | 33 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 48.8% | 33 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 51.0% | 33 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 35.0% | 33 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 32.9% | 33 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 44.3% | 33 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 41.5% | 33 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 77.2% | 33 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 74.2% | 33 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 61.2% | 33 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 55.7% | 33 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,210 source possession rows across 33 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent effective FG%
50.3% · rank 150 of 366 · 33 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
A closer look
Turnovers forced
15.3% · rank 287 of 366 · 33 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
A closer look
Offensive rebound rate
26.8% · rank 321 of 366 · 33 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 8 times in the selected window; Oregon St won 7. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 10, 2026 · neutral vs Gonzaga · L 56–65 · offense 88.7 / defense 102.9
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 33 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GonzagaMar 10, 2026 · neutral | L 56–65 | 8 | 88.7 | 102.9 | 63.2 | 39.3 | 19.0 | 28.2 |
| San FranciscoMar 9, 2026 · neutral | W 78–77 | 89 | 118.1 | 116.6 | 66.0 | 57.3 | 21.2 | 32.3 |
| Santa ClaraMar 1, 2026 · road | L 72–93 | 42 | 105.2 | 135.8 | 68.5 | 47.8 | 16.1 | 29.0 |
| San DiegoFeb 26, 2026 · home | W 92–82 | 263 | 123.8 | 110.3 | 66.1 | 59.3 | 16.1 | 26.7 |
| PepperdineFeb 22, 2026 · home | W 83–73 | 261 | 115.3 | 101.4 | 72.0 | 52.9 | 16.7 | 45.2 |
| Seattle UFeb 16, 2026 · road | L 50–60 | 120 | 78.0 | 93.6 | 64.1 | 43.1 | 20.3 | 18.2 |
| San FranciscoFeb 13, 2026 · road | W 90–63 | 89 | 148.3 | 103.8 | 60.7 | 68.8 | 14.8 | 41.7 |
| GonzagaFeb 7, 2026 · home | L 61–81 | 8 | 109.8 | 145.7 | 55.6 | 55.8 | 16.2 | 20.0 |
| Washington StFeb 5, 2026 · home | W 74–64 | 117 | 109.5 | 94.7 | 67.6 | 42.2 | 7.4 | 31.7 |
| San DiegoJan 31, 2026 · road | W 78–76 | 263 | 95.4 | 93.0 | 72.7 | 48.4 | 19.6 | 21.1 |
| LMUJan 29, 2026 · road | W 72–69 | 160 | 109.2 | 104.6 | 65.9 | 57.5 | 24.3 | 32.1 |
| Saint Mary'sJan 22, 2026 · road | L 51–81 | 18 | 81.1 | 128.8 | 62.9 | 30.6 | 14.3 | 20.5 |
| PacificJan 17, 2026 · home | L 64–81 | 207 | 103.3 | 130.7 | 62.0 | 46.7 | 14.5 | 18.5 |
| LMUJan 15, 2026 · home | W 76–70 | 160 | 108.1 | 99.6 | 70.3 | 41.2 | 12.8 | 31.4 |
| PortlandJan 11, 2026 · road | L 76–82 | 258 | 115.3 | 124.4 | 65.9 | 54.3 | 13.7 | 22.2 |
| Seattle UJan 9, 2026 · home | W 68–55 | 120 | 99.9 | 80.8 | 68.1 | 40.2 | 20.6 | 40.5 |
| Washington StJan 5, 2026 · road | L 67–81 | 117 | 102.7 | 124.2 | 65.2 | 53.0 | 15.3 | 20.0 |
| PacificJan 3, 2026 · road | L 53–84 | 207 | 85.1 | 134.8 | 62.3 | 43.4 | 19.3 | 20.0 |
| San FranciscoDec 31, 2025 · home | W 70–62 | 89 | 111.0 | 98.3 | 63.1 | 62.0 | 15.9 | 4.5 |
| Santa ClaraDec 28, 2025 · home | L 64–102 | 42 | 93.3 | 148.7 | 68.6 | 48.0 | 23.3 | 25.7 |
| Arizona StDec 21, 2025 · road | W 78–75 | 84 | 117.0 | 112.5 | 66.7 | 52.6 | 18.0 | 40.0 |
| Sam HoustonDec 18, 2025 · home | L 75–85 | 127 | 100.7 | 114.1 | 74.5 | 51.7 | 14.8 | 11.4 |
| Montana StDec 13, 2025 · home | W 67–57 | 163 | 104.3 | 88.8 | 64.2 | 48.9 | 17.1 | 17.9 |
| Southern UtahDec 6, 2025 · home | W 81–70 | 285 | 115.2 | 99.5 | 70.3 | 58.9 | 18.5 | 24.1 |
| VermontDec 4, 2025 · home | W 80–58 | 194 | 128.7 | 93.3 | 62.2 | 64.2 | 14.5 | 23.1 |
| CA BaptistNov 30, 2025 · home | L 69–75 | 131 | 102.5 | 111.5 | 67.3 | 51.9 | 17.8 | 14.3 |
| UMassNov 24, 2025 · neutral | L 65–73 | 177 | 97.6 | 109.7 | 66.6 | 54.1 | 24.0 | 24.1 |
| IonaNov 22, 2025 · neutral | L 84–91 | 215 | 98.5 | 106.7 | 68.2 | 48.5 | 17.6 | 26.7 |
| EvansvilleNov 22, 2025 · neutral | L 69–73 | 302 | 101.8 | 107.7 | 67.8 | 42.4 | 19.2 | 38.9 |
| OregonNov 18, 2025 · road | L 75–87 | 61 | 110.0 | 127.6 | 68.2 | 50.0 | 17.6 | 27.3 |
| North TexasNov 13, 2025 · home | W 66–64 | 101 | 104.8 | 101.7 | 63.0 | 46.7 | 14.3 | 20.0 |
| UICNov 8, 2025 · home | W 76–73 | 138 | 110.3 | 105.9 | 68.9 | 54.9 | 30.5 | 53.6 |
| N Dakota StNov 4, 2025 · home | W 67–65 | 128 | 101.8 | 98.8 | 65.8 | 53.3 | 18.2 | 16.7 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake IIG | 33 | 34.2 | 13.1 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 60.6 | 20.5% | 33 | 1.7933 games | 9733 games |
| Isaiah SyF | 33 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 52.2 | 20.9% | 33 | 1.2833 games | 18133 games |
| Dez WhiteG | 30 | 29.6 | 9.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 53.0 | 19.1% | 30 | 1.6630 games | 17430 games |
| Johan MunchF | 31 | 21.1 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 56.1 | 21.6% | 31 | 0.6831 games | 831 games |
| Olavi SuutelaF | 33 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 63.7 | 16.1% | 33 | 0.8533 games | 3033 games |
| Jorge Diaz GrahamF | 32 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 61.0 | 17.0% | 32 | 1.1532 games | 6332 games |
| Keziah EkissiG | 27 | 17.4 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 46.8 | 18.6% | 27 | 1.6627 games | 4727 games |
| Matija SamarG | 28 | 16.4 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 46.7 | 19.3% | 28 | 1.6528 games | 9028 games |
| Yaak YaakC | 25 | 15.0 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 61.9 | 23.0% | 25 | 0.3825 games | 1125 games |
| Noah AmenhauserC | 29 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 60.9 | 21.9% | 29 | 0.5229 games | 129 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Oregon St?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
0Source-listed players
0Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
—Prior minutes represented
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
No source-listed roster rows were observed for this program in the current release.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
No upcoming games for this program in the partial schedule.
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →