A relative strength
Free-throw attempt rate
39.4% · rank 68 of 366 · 35 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
Oklahoma St
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.88
+8.1 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
20–152025–26 recorded finals
111.9Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
103.8Adjusted defense · lower is better
71.7Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on Oklahoma St.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
20–1535 recorded games · 35 paired efficiency samples · pace 74.0Mean opponent adj. net 10.4 · 35 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
52.0%35 games · higher is betterRank 173 / 366 · 53th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
53.1%35 games · lower is betterRank 295 / 366 · 19th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
15.8%35 games · lower is betterRank 127 / 366 · 65th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
15.6%35 games · higher is betterRank 263 / 366 · 28th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
30.8%35 games · higher is betterRank 195 / 366 · 47th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
30.4%35 games · lower is betterRank 202 / 366 · 45th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
39.4%35 games · higher is betterRank 68 / 366 · 82th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
31.5%35 games · lower is betterRank 104 / 366 · 72th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 112.1 | 35 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 111.2 | 35 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 52.6% | 35 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 52.4% | 35 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 33.9% | 35 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 36.0% | 35 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 35.5% | 35 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 43.0% | 35 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 74.5% | 35 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 70.8% | 35 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 50.4% | 35 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 56.4% | 35 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,614 source possession rows across 35 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
31.5% · rank 104 of 366 · 35 games
Which defenders can protect the paint without surrendering free throws?
A closer look
Turnovers forced
15.6% · rank 263 of 366 · 35 games
Which defensive actions produce takeaways, and what shots do they concede?
A closer look
Opponent effective FG%
53.1% · rank 295 of 366 · 35 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 6 times in the selected window; Oklahoma St won 4. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 23, 2026 · home vs Wichita St · L 70–96 · offense 95.1 / defense 130.5
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 35 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wichita StMar 23, 2026 · home | L 70–96 | 92 | 95.1 | 130.5 | 73.6 | 46.2 | 15.0 | 25.6 |
| DavidsonMar 18, 2026 · home | W 84–80 | 121 | 114.6 | 109.2 | 73.3 | 56.3 | 10.9 | 16.1 |
| TCUMar 12, 2026 · neutral | L 88–95 | 48 | 127.6 | 137.8 | 69.0 | 52.2 | 11.6 | 42.9 |
| ColoradoMar 11, 2026 · neutral | W 92–83 | 69 | 125.8 | 113.5 | 73.1 | 49.2 | 9.6 | 38.5 |
| HoustonMar 7, 2026 · home | L 75–82 | 2 | 112.1 | 122.6 | 66.9 | 49.2 | 16.4 | 35.1 |
| UCFMar 4, 2026 · road | W 111–104 | 56 | 127.3 | 119.3 | 77.5 | 54.9 | 11.5 | 35.0 |
| CincinnatiFeb 28, 2026 · road | L 68–91 | 41 | 94.7 | 126.7 | 71.8 | 47.2 | 19.5 | 14.7 |
| West VirginiaFeb 25, 2026 · home | W 91–84 | 52 | 125.1 | 115.4 | 64.7 | 57.1 | 13.7 | 38.2 |
| ColoradoFeb 21, 2026 · road | L 69–83 | 69 | 95.6 | 114.9 | 72.2 | 41.8 | 20.8 | 36.6 |
| KansasFeb 19, 2026 · home | L 69–81 | 17 | 98.2 | 115.2 | 70.3 | 40.2 | 12.8 | 32.6 |
| TCUFeb 14, 2026 · home | L 92–95 | 48 | 121.3 | 125.2 | 67.4 | 58.5 | 11.9 | 26.5 |
| Arizona StFeb 11, 2026 · road | L 76–85 | 84 | 101.7 | 113.8 | 74.7 | 50.0 | 22.8 | 27.8 |
| ArizonaFeb 7, 2026 · road | L 47–84 | 3 | 62.8 | 112.1 | 74.9 | 29.5 | 16.0 | 18.5 |
| BYUFeb 5, 2026 · home | W 99–92 | 19 | 126.7 | 117.8 | 78.1 | 60.2 | 10.2 | 31.3 |
| UtahJan 31, 2026 · road | W 81–69 | 93 | 119.5 | 101.8 | 67.8 | 54.5 | 11.8 | 35.1 |
| Iowa StateJan 24, 2026 · home | L 71–84 | 5 | 100.9 | 119.4 | 70.4 | 47.3 | 19.9 | 30.6 |
| TCUJan 21, 2026 · road | L 65–68 | 48 | 95.3 | 99.7 | 68.2 | 48.4 | 20.5 | 31.6 |
| Kansas StJan 18, 2026 · home | W 84–83 | 83 | 118.5 | 117.1 | 70.9 | 47.1 | 9.9 | 38.1 |
| BaylorJan 14, 2026 · home | L 79–94 | 33 | 115.9 | 137.9 | 68.2 | 53.7 | 14.7 | 37.5 |
| Iowa StateJan 10, 2026 · road | L 71–83 | 5 | 97.5 | 114.0 | 72.8 | 52.1 | 20.6 | 10.0 |
| UCFJan 7, 2026 · home | W 87–76 | 56 | 107.7 | 94.1 | 80.8 | 56.6 | 19.8 | 17.9 |
| Texas TechJan 3, 2026 · road | L 80–102 | 16 | 104.8 | 133.6 | 76.3 | 49.3 | 10.5 | 19.0 |
| BethuneDec 30, 2025 · home | W 103–77 | 301 | 129.2 | 96.6 | 79.7 | 50.7 | 10.0 | 36.6 |
| FullertonDec 21, 2025 · home | W 94–89 | 255 | 118.1 | 111.9 | 79.6 | 61.5 | 21.4 | 31.4 |
| Kansas CityDec 19, 2025 · home | W 91–79 | 337 | 117.8 | 102.3 | 77.2 | 62.1 | 20.7 | 37.9 |
| OklahomaDec 13, 2025 · neutral | L 76–85 | 38 | 105.5 | 118.0 | 72.1 | 44.4 | 6.9 | 22.2 |
| Grand CanyonDec 7, 2025 · neutral | W 84–78 | 65 | 119.6 | 111.1 | 70.2 | 61.5 | 17.1 | 23.1 |
| Sam HoustonDec 3, 2025 · home | W 93–83 | 127 | 118.1 | 105.4 | 78.8 | 56.1 | 19.0 | 40.0 |
| NorthwesternNov 28, 2025 · road | W 86–81 | 53 | 118.7 | 111.8 | 72.5 | 47.6 | 13.8 | 40.5 |
| NichollsNov 22, 2025 · home | W 95–81 | 235 | 116.6 | 99.4 | 81.5 | 59.3 | 18.4 | 18.5 |
| South FloridaNov 20, 2025 · home | W 103–95 | 76 | 125.9 | 116.1 | 81.8 | 68.0 | 23.2 | 34.4 |
| Texas A&M-CCNov 16, 2025 · home | W 85–69 | 174 | 108.9 | 88.4 | 78.1 | 54.3 | 21.8 | 32.3 |
| Prairie ViewNov 13, 2025 · home | W 94–67 | 336 | 118.6 | 84.6 | 79.2 | 51.4 | 17.7 | 42.2 |
| Texas A&MNov 9, 2025 · home | W 87–63 | 31 | 119.6 | 86.6 | 72.8 | 53.8 | 12.4 | 32.4 |
| Oral RobertsNov 5, 2025 · home | W 95–71 | 300 | 111.3 | 83.2 | 85.4 | 50.0 | 17.6 | 36.6 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye ClaryG | 34 | 28.2 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 52.5 | 20.3% | 34 | 2.3134 games | 12434 games |
| Anthony RoyG | 31 | 28.7 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 60.9 | 25.5% | 31 | 0.8431 games | 23131 games |
| Christian ColemanG | 34 | 25.3 | 10.3 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 55.9 | 19.3% | 34 | 0.8334 games | 5934 games |
| Vyctorius MillerG | 32 | 25.5 | 10.8 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 57.3 | 19.9% | 32 | 1.1232 games | 12032 games |
| Jaylen CurryG | 33 | 23.8 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 51.9 | 21.9% | 33 | 2.5233 games | 7933 games |
| Parsa FallahF | 26 | 26.4 | 14.7 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 64.2 | 22.7% | 26 | 0.6326 games | 3026 games |
| Isaiah ColemanG | 33 | 19.2 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 51.5 | 18.0% | 33 | 0.7033 games | 2533 games |
| Andrija VukovicF | 27 | 15.2 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 64.6 | 14.5% | 27 | 0.8927 games | 327 games |
| Ryan CrottyG | 28 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 47.6 | 13.0% | 28 | 2.3328 games | 5428 games |
| Benjamin AhmedC | 21 | 12.6 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 56.6 | 19.5% | 21 | 0.2821 games | 021 games |
| Lefteris MantzoukasF | 12 | 17.8 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 45.4 | 14.8% | 12 | 0.5012 games | 3312 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around Oklahoma St?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
15Source-listed players
15Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
100%Prior minutes represented
Role workload watch
Which source-listed role is represented?
Prior minutes are grouped by the source-reported position on the current listing. “Unrepresented” means prior minutes not attached to a same-program listing in this release; it does not establish a departure, transfer, eligibility or expected role.
| Role | Listed | Prior minutes | Returning minutes | Incoming prior minutes | Returning share | Unrepresented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | 9 | 5,382 | 5,382 | — | 100% | — |
| Forward | 5 | 1,428 | 1,428 | — | 100% | — |
| Center | 1 | 265 | 265 | — | 100% | — |
0 listed players have no recognized source position. The workload denominator is the matched prior-production sample (7,075 minutes).
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
15 source-listed players. Prior rates below are attached by exact source ID where available; missing values remain missing.
| Player | Observation | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Prior TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye Clary →G | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 28.2 | 10.6 | 52.5% |
| Anthony Roy →G | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 28.7 | 16.9 | 60.9% |
| Christian Coleman →G | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 25.3 | 10.3 | 55.9% |
| Vyctorius Miller →G | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 25.5 | 10.8 | 57.3% |
| Jaylen Curry →G | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 23.8 | 10.1 | 51.9% |
| Parsa Fallah →F | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 26.4 | 14.7 | 64.2% |
| Isaiah Coleman →G | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 19.2 | 6.4 | 51.5% |
| Andrija Vukovic →F | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 15.2 | 5.3 | 64.6% |
| Ryan Crotty →G | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 10.1 | 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Benjamin Ahmed →C | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 12.6 | 4.9 | 56.6% |
| Lefteris Mantzoukas →F | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 17.8 | 4.4 | 45.4% |
| Daniel Guetta →G | Same programOklahoma State Cowboys | 9.5 | 2.0 | 54.0% |
Showing the 12 highest prior-minute records. Open the full roster board for every source-listed player.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
Grand Canyon vs Oklahoma St
75.9Grand Canyon
77.6Oklahoma St
Oklahoma St win estimate58.4%
Model signalToss-up
Projected home margin1.6
Projected total153.5
80% home-margin range-14.3 to 17.5
Estimated possessions73.0
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityHome 3.2 pts
Oklahoma St attack 51.9% · Grand Canyon defense 47.9%Grand Canyon attack 51.8% · Oklahoma St defense 51.0%
Ball securityHome 0.7 pts
Oklahoma St attack 16.9% · Grand Canyon defense 17.8%Grand Canyon attack 17.5% · Oklahoma St defense 17.7%
Second chancesAway 0.2 pts
Oklahoma St attack 31.1% · Grand Canyon defense 27.7%Grand Canyon attack 31.6% · Oklahoma St defense 27.9%
Free-throw pressureAway 4.7 pts
Oklahoma St attack 38.6% · Grand Canyon defense 35.7%Grand Canyon attack 40.6% · Oklahoma St defense 33.1%
Gallagher-Iba Arena
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Oklahoma St vs Oklahoma
77.0Oklahoma St
82.5Oklahoma
Oklahoma win estimate68.3%
Model signalLean
Projected home margin5.5
Projected total159.5
80% home-margin range-10.4 to 21.5
Estimated possessions71.5
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityHome 1.5 pts
Oklahoma attack 55.2% · Oklahoma St defense 51.0%Oklahoma St attack 51.9% · Oklahoma defense 49.3%
Ball securityHome 1.7 pts
Oklahoma attack 16.1% · Oklahoma St defense 17.7%Oklahoma St attack 16.9% · Oklahoma defense 16.9%
Second chancesHome 0.3 pts
Oklahoma attack 30.2% · Oklahoma St defense 27.9%Oklahoma St attack 31.1% · Oklahoma defense 29.0%
Free-throw pressureAway 0.7 pts
Oklahoma attack 37.3% · Oklahoma St defense 33.1%Oklahoma St attack 38.6% · Oklahoma defense 33.6%
Paycom Center
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →