A relative strength
Offensive rebound rate
34.7% · rank 62 of 366 · 34 games
Who crashes the glass, and how does that affect transition defense?
← Program librarySource edition Sep 12, 2026
The program dossier / men’s basketball
St Bonaventure
2025–26 performance, personnel and game context.
A starting point for 2026–27 preparation.
Independent preseason modelNo.125
+3.6 adjusted net
per 100 estimated possessions
17–172025–26 recorded finals
109.8Adjusted offense · 2026–27 baseline
106.1Adjusted defense · lower is better
67.1Model tempo · possessions / 40 min
Publisher lens / exact source team ID
A second read on St Bonaventure.
Checking the attributed publisher rating…
01 / Both ends of the floor
The possession profile.
17–1734 recorded games · 34 paired efficiency samples · pace 67.4Mean opponent adj. net 2.1 · 33 rated opponents
Offense
Effective FG%
52.6%34 games · higher is betterRank 139 / 366 · 62th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent effective FG%
52.8%34 games · lower is betterRank 283 / 366 · 23th favorable percentileOffense
Turnover rate
16.8%34 games · lower is betterRank 194 / 366 · 47th favorable percentileDefense
Turnovers forced
17.4%34 games · higher is betterRank 140 / 366 · 62th favorable percentileOffense
Offensive rebound rate
34.7%34 games · higher is betterRank 62 / 366 · 83th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent offensive rebound rate
29.7%34 games · lower is betterRank 166 / 366 · 55th favorable percentileOffense
Free-throw attempt rate
29.7%34 games · higher is betterRank 314 / 366 · 14th favorable percentileDefense
Opponent free-throw attempt rate
33.6%34 games · lower is betterRank 158 / 366 · 57th favorable percentileShooting and ball-movement detail
| Metric | Observed rate | Games | Definition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offensive efficiency | 112.4 | 34 | Points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Defensive efficiency | 109.6 | 34 | Opponent points per 100 estimated possessions. |
| Two-point FG% | 51.1% | 34 | (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Opponent two-point FG% | 52.2% | 34 | Opponent (FGM − 3PM) / (FGA − 3PA). |
| Three-point FG% | 37.4% | 34 | 3PM / 3PA. |
| Opponent three-point FG% | 35.7% | 34 | Opponent 3PM / 3PA. |
| Three-point attempt share | 31.5% | 34 | 3PA / FGA; a style measure, not a quality grade. |
| Opponent three-point attempt share | 40.7% | 34 | Opponent 3PA / FGA; a style measure. |
| Free-throw accuracy | 74.4% | 34 | FTM / FTA. |
| Opponent free-throw accuracy | 75.5% | 34 | Opponent FTM / FTA; not attributed to defensive skill. |
| Assisted field-goal share | 55.9% | 34 | Assists / FGM; describes recorded ball movement. |
| Opponent assisted FG share | 56.0% | 34 | Opponent assists / FGM. |
Window changes describe the historical sample; they do not refit the preseason model. Full-season ranks require 10 games. Percentiles compare qualifying programs in the model’s rated field. Source coverage can differ by metric.
NCAA source context / 2025–26
What did the possessions look like?
2,325 source possession rows across 34 recorded team-games. These are descriptive NCAA source aggregates: they do not assign individual credit or enter the forecast.
02 / The film queue
Turn a number into a question.
A relative strength
Effective FG%
52.6% · rank 139 of 366 · 34 games
Which actions create the team's efficient looks, and which personnel can reproduce them?
A closer look
Opponent effective FG%
52.8% · rank 283 of 366 · 34 games
What coverages and lineups account for the shot quality opponents receive?
A closer look
Free-throw attempt rate
29.7% · rank 314 of 366 · 34 games
Who generates contact, and how do opponents keep them off the line?
These are stat-led film prompts, not verified explanations of a scheme. Lower-ranked factors can still be above average. A five-point-or-closer final occurred 13 times in the selected window; St Bonaventure won 3. That small-sample record is not a clutch-skill estimate.
03 / How the season moved
Read beyond the average.
● Offense● Opponent offenseRaw points / 100 possessions · game order
Mar 13, 2026 · neutral vs Dayton · L 63–68 · offense 95.7 / defense 103.3
Higher offense and lower opponent offense are better. Opponent strength and venue are not adjusted here. Missing paired boxes create gaps.
Open the game-by-game scouting log · 34 games
| Game / venue | Result | Current opponent rank | Off. eff. | Def. eff. | Pace | eFG% | TO% | ORB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DaytonMar 13, 2026 · neutral | L 63–68 | 58 | 95.7 | 103.3 | 65.8 | 48.9 | 18.2 | 19.4 |
| George MasonMar 12, 2026 · neutral | W 63–57 | 90 | 103.5 | 93.7 | 60.9 | 44.1 | 11.5 | 24.2 |
| La SalleMar 11, 2026 · neutral | W 99–80 | 242 | 138.9 | 112.3 | 71.3 | 66.4 | 19.6 | 54.8 |
| DavidsonMar 7, 2026 · home | L 63–68 | 121 | 98.2 | 106.0 | 64.2 | 41.7 | 17.1 | 32.4 |
| G WashingtonMar 5, 2026 · road | L 82–91 | 110 | 103.7 | 115.1 | 70.3 | 47.1 | 20.2 | 39.0 |
| George MasonFeb 28, 2026 · road | L 58–71 | 90 | 97.9 | 119.8 | 59.3 | 43.0 | 13.5 | 39.5 |
| Rhode IslandFeb 26, 2026 · home | W 94–76 | 158 | 134.7 | 108.9 | 69.8 | 64.4 | 14.3 | 35.7 |
| RichmondFeb 21, 2026 · road | L 94–99 | 162 | 128.0 | 134.8 | 73.4 | 62.1 | 13.6 | 30.3 |
| Saint Joseph'sFeb 19, 2026 · home | L 65–71 | 108 | 93.5 | 102.1 | 69.5 | 42.8 | 15.8 | 29.5 |
| DuquesneFeb 14, 2026 · home | L 73–78 | 129 | 105.8 | 113.0 | 69.0 | 51.8 | 20.3 | 31.3 |
| FordhamFeb 7, 2026 · road | W 70–67 | 187 | 112.9 | 108.1 | 62.0 | 65.0 | 27.4 | 39.1 |
| DaytonFeb 4, 2026 · road | L 70–72 | 58 | 109.6 | 112.7 | 63.9 | 51.9 | 20.4 | 36.7 |
| George MasonJan 31, 2026 · home | L 73–77 | 90 | 103.5 | 109.2 | 70.5 | 60.2 | 19.9 | 19.2 |
| DuquesneJan 29, 2026 · road | W 87–79 | 129 | 126.3 | 114.7 | 68.9 | 63.5 | 10.2 | 16.0 |
| Saint LouisJan 23, 2026 · home | L 62–97 | 55 | 88.1 | 137.9 | 70.3 | 37.7 | 15.6 | 27.9 |
| Loyola ChicagoJan 21, 2026 · home | W 84–70 | 202 | 122.1 | 101.7 | 68.8 | 51.6 | 5.8 | 21.6 |
| La SalleJan 17, 2026 · road | L 74–78 | 242 | 116.7 | 123.1 | 63.4 | 56.6 | 17.4 | 37.5 |
| Saint Joseph'sJan 15, 2026 · road | L 64–68 | 108 | 96.7 | 102.8 | 66.2 | 41.0 | 15.1 | 39.5 |
| FordhamJan 10, 2026 · home | L 77–81 | 187 | 115.5 | 121.5 | 66.7 | 57.6 | 16.5 | 31.0 |
| RichmondJan 8, 2026 · home | L 80–89 | 162 | 114.8 | 127.7 | 69.7 | 50.7 | 10.0 | 32.6 |
| VCUDec 31, 2025 · road | L 82–89 | 39 | 121.1 | 131.4 | 67.7 | 55.7 | 14.8 | 36.7 |
| Le MoyneDec 20, 2025 · home | W 92–81 | 316 | 135.3 | 119.1 | 68.0 | 60.2 | 11.8 | 37.5 |
| OhioDec 13, 2025 · neutral | L 83–88 | 189 | 103.0 | 109.2 | 71.6 | 47.1 | 19.9 | 38.9 |
| ColgateDec 11, 2025 · home | W 85–77 | 209 | 121.9 | 110.5 | 69.7 | 50.8 | 17.2 | 43.2 |
| BuffaloDec 6, 2025 · road | W 77–69 | 277 | 115.0 | 103.1 | 66.9 | 54.2 | 25.4 | 51.5 |
| BloomsburgDec 4, 2025 · home | W 83–43 | Unrated | 128.3 | 66.5 | 64.7 | 59.5 | 15.5 | 43.8 |
| FAUNov 30, 2025 · road | W 70–65 | 94 | 107.6 | 99.9 | 65.1 | 59.6 | 18.4 | 14.8 |
| East CarolinaNov 27, 2025 · neutral | W 67–58 | 222 | 94.7 | 82.0 | 70.8 | 46.6 | 19.8 | 25.0 |
| North CarolinaNov 25, 2025 · neutral | L 70–85 | 22 | 98.2 | 119.2 | 71.3 | 46.4 | 12.6 | 26.8 |
| Robert MorrisNov 20, 2025 · home | W 75–61 | 166 | 109.3 | 88.9 | 68.6 | 50.0 | 20.4 | 41.7 |
| Youngstown StNov 15, 2025 · home | W 84–80 | 176 | 120.0 | 114.2 | 70.0 | 63.6 | 21.4 | 38.5 |
| SienaNov 13, 2025 · home | W 75–66 | 221 | 116.7 | 102.7 | 64.3 | 55.1 | 18.7 | 43.3 |
| CanisiusNov 8, 2025 · home | W 89–70 | 354 | 139.5 | 109.7 | 63.8 | 55.1 | 12.5 | 57.1 |
| BradleyNov 3, 2025 · neutral | W 69–63 | 98 | 104.3 | 95.3 | 66.1 | 46.7 | 19.7 | 38.5 |
04 / The people behind the possessions
Personnel and workload.
2025–26 recorded affiliations, independent of the split selector. This is not a confirmed 2026–27 roster. Inspect roster observations →
| Player | GP | MIN/G | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | TS% | Est. usage | Usage games | AST/TO | 3PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darryl Simmons IIG | 34 | 35.5 | 16.4 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 57.2 | 22.3% | 34 | 1.9834 games | 22134 games |
| Frank MitchellF | 34 | 33.6 | 16.3 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 56.7 | 25.7% | 34 | 1.0334 games | 334 games |
| Dasonte BowenG | 33 | 34.3 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 50.8 | 18.9% | 33 | 2.2933 games | 5533 games |
| Cayden CharlesG | 34 | 33.3 | 12.9 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 55.8 | 19.9% | 34 | 1.3934 games | 8934 games |
| Daniel EgbuniweF | 31 | 23.1 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 56.8 | 18.3% | 31 | 0.9431 games | 12131 games |
| Joe GrahovacF | 34 | 18.3 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 59.0 | 12.5% | 34 | 1.1234 games | 6634 games |
| Andrew OsasuyiC | 33 | 11.9 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 62.6 | 15.3% | 33 | 0.3533 games | 033 games |
| Achille LonatiG | 29 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 47.9 | 18.5% | 29 | 1.9029 games | 5129 games |
Usage is a minutes-based estimate over the stated sample, not a direct measure of on-court possessions. Low-minute estimates are noisy. AST/TO is unavailable when recorded turnovers are zero; missing fields are never filled with zero.
05 / Recruiting evidence
What changed around St Bonaventure?
This panel keeps dated school publications, source-listed roster observations and prior college production in separate evidence lanes. A source record does not establish eligibility, availability or a future role.
15Source-listed players
13Same-program prior records
0Different-program records
100%Prior minutes represented
Role workload watch
Which source-listed role is represented?
Prior minutes are grouped by the source-reported position on the current listing. “Unrepresented” means prior minutes not attached to a same-program listing in this release; it does not establish a departure, transfer, eligibility or expected role.
| Role | Listed | Prior minutes | Returning minutes | Incoming prior minutes | Returning share | Unrepresented |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | 9 | 3,968 | 3,968 | — | 100% | — |
| Forward | 4 | 2,482 | 2,482 | — | 100% | — |
| Center | 2 | 400 | 400 | — | 100% | — |
0 listed players have no recognized source position. The workload denominator is the matched prior-production sample (6,850 minutes).
No dated school announcement is in the selected review file for this program. The roster row below is observation-only; absence of a reviewed announcement does not mean the program made no move.
No announced additions are in the reviewed file for this program.
Roster observation
Who is listed in the source release?
15 source-listed players. Prior rates below are attached by exact source ID where available; missing values remain missing.
| Player | Observation | Prior MPG | Prior PPG | Prior TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darryl Simmons II →G | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 35.5 | 16.4 | 57.2% |
| Frank Mitchell →F | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 33.6 | 16.3 | 56.7% |
| Dasonte Bowen →G | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 34.3 | 10.9 | 50.8% |
| Cayden Charles →G | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 33.3 | 12.9 | 55.8% |
| Daniel Egbuniwe →F | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 23.1 | 8.2 | 56.8% |
| Joe Grahovac →F | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 18.3 | 4.5 | 59.0% |
| Andrew Osasuyi →C | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 11.9 | 3.7 | 62.6% |
| Achille Lonati →G | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8.1 | 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Amar'e Marshall →G | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 13.2 | 4.7 | 56.8% |
| Ilia Ermakov →G | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 11.1 | 2.9 | 56.6% |
| Broek Ostrom →G | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 3.0 | 0.8 | 38.0% |
| Jack DeRose →G | Same programSt. Bonaventure Bonnies | 2.0 | 1.0 | 75.0% |
Showing the 12 highest prior-minute records. Open the full roster board for every source-listed player.
Recruiting review edition Sep 8, 2026 · coverage is partial (14 programs reviewed). See the full methodology and coverage map before drawing a roster conclusion.
Look ahead / 2026–27
The next assignments.
Checking the live schedule edition…
Youngstown St vs St Bonaventure
69.1Youngstown St
75.5St Bonaventure
St Bonaventure win estimate70.4%
Model signalLean
Projected home margin6.5
Projected total144.6
80% home-margin range-9.5 to 22.4
Estimated possessions67.7
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityHome 1.1 pts
St Bonaventure attack 51.9% · Youngstown St defense 51.2%Youngstown St attack 51.0% · St Bonaventure defense 51.4%
Ball securityHome 0.6 pts
St Bonaventure attack 16.7% · Youngstown St defense 17.8%Youngstown St attack 17.2% · St Bonaventure defense 17.7%
Second chancesHome 0.1 pts
St Bonaventure attack 31.0% · Youngstown St defense 30.0%Youngstown St attack 29.5% · St Bonaventure defense 28.5%
Free-throw pressureAway 4.1 pts
St Bonaventure attack 32.0% · Youngstown St defense 35.6%Youngstown St attack 32.8% · St Bonaventure defense 32.3%
Reilly Center
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
St Bonaventure vs Canisius
74.9St Bonaventure
64.2Canisius
Canisius win estimate26.7%
Model signalLean
Projected home margin-10.7
Projected total139.1
80% home-margin range-26.6 to 5.2
Estimated possessions65.2
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityAway 0.5 pts
Canisius attack 48.8% · St Bonaventure defense 51.4%St Bonaventure attack 51.9% · Canisius defense 54.0%
Ball securityAway 0.2 pts
Canisius attack 18.5% · St Bonaventure defense 17.7%St Bonaventure attack 16.7% · Canisius defense 16.2%
Second chancesAway 2.8 pts
Canisius attack 26.1% · St Bonaventure defense 28.5%St Bonaventure attack 31.0% · Canisius defense 30.7%
Free-throw pressureAway 0.4 pts
Canisius attack 29.7% · St Bonaventure defense 32.3%St Bonaventure attack 32.0% · Canisius defense 34.2%
Koessler Athletic Center
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Cornell vs St Bonaventure
79.6Cornell
83.0St Bonaventure
St Bonaventure win estimate63.1%
Model signalLean
Projected home margin3.4
Projected total162.6
80% home-margin range-12.5 to 19.3
Estimated possessions70.4
Why the model tiltsfour-factor edge
Shot qualityAway 6.9 pts
St Bonaventure attack 51.9% · Cornell defense 53.2%Cornell attack 57.1% · St Bonaventure defense 51.4%
Ball securityAway 1.1 pts
St Bonaventure attack 16.7% · Cornell defense 16.4%Cornell attack 17.0% · St Bonaventure defense 17.7%
Second chancesHome 0.3 pts
St Bonaventure attack 31.0% · Cornell defense 30.3%Cornell attack 29.0% · St Bonaventure defense 28.5%
Free-throw pressureAway 3.4 pts
St Bonaventure attack 32.0% · Cornell defense 35.1%Cornell attack 32.5% · St Bonaventure defense 32.3%
Reilly Center
Preseason baseline · roster changes are not model features.
No verified pregame market line imported. Check the forecast record →
Read the evidence correctly.
The top-line adjusted ratings use the full published preseason model. Split statistics below them are unadjusted observations from 2025–26. Opponent ranks are the current model’s ranks, not what was known before each historical game. The “top 50” split is descriptive and does not enter model evaluation.
Rates pool numerators and denominators from games with all fields required for that metric. Missing values remain unavailable; every metric shows its game count. Ranks require at least 10 games and compare programs in the model’s rated field. Ties share rank; percentiles use their average position. High percentiles mean favorable values only for metrics with a defined direction.
Player workloads refer to recorded 2025–26 appearances. Estimated usage divides FGA + 0.475 × FTA + turnovers by minutes-prorated team opportunities in those same games. It assumes team opportunity rates were constant while a player was on court; it is not a lineup or play-by-play measurement. Overtime is included in available minutes. Minutes and usage samples can differ.
Source statistics: SportsDataverse bulk releases, CC BY 4.0. Calculations and model: Silvermine. Definitions draw on publicly documented Four Factors and basketball rate statistics; these are not another publisher’s proprietary ratings. Model notebook →