SSILVERMINECollege basketball stats
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2026–27 SEASON
Basketball notebooks / Sep 12, 2026 edition

Prepare for the next game.

Forecast-backed notebooks turn the 2026–27 slate into a research queue: read the range, identify the Four Factors, then take the next question to the roster, film and source archives.

24Notebook previews in this edition
1,579Published 2026–27 forecasts
5,734Held-out games behind the test
Nov 2, 2026Next scheduled source date
Live notebook queue

Start with the highest-leverage questions.

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The queue refreshes from the latest retained D1 forecast edition when available. Each notebook keeps the model range and source caveats attached; a generated preview is a starting point for reporting, not a claim about availability or a betting edge.

Checking the live forecast edition…

Nov 2, 2026 · Model brief

Lafayette vs Butler

Projected 63.581.3 · 89% home win · 144.8 total.

1.9 to 33.8 home-margin range · 68.0 possessions per 40 minutes.

Variance belongs in the story. The nominal home-margin range covers 31.8 points, so the forecast is a starting point for preparation rather than a script. Identify which lineup and shot-quality questions could move this game toward either edge.

Reporting question: Which lineup combination gives the underdog its clearest path toward the top of the range?

Read the notebook →Open the evidence brief →
Nov 2, 2026 · Model brief

Miami vs Florida

Projected 73.185.1 · 81% home win · 158.3 total.

-3.9 to 27.9 home-margin range · 71.2 possessions per 40 minutes.

Variance belongs in the story. The nominal home-margin range covers 31.9 points, so the forecast is a starting point for preparation rather than a script. Identify which lineup and shot-quality questions could move this game toward either edge.

Reporting question: Which lineup combination gives the underdog its clearest path toward the top of the range?

Read the notebook →Open the evidence brief →
Nov 2, 2026 · Model brief

NC Central vs Georgia

Projected 64.489.2 · 95% home win · 153.6 total.

8.9 to 40.7 home-margin range · 69.8 possessions per 40 minutes.

Variance belongs in the story. The nominal home-margin range covers 31.9 points, so the forecast is a starting point for preparation rather than a script. Identify which lineup and shot-quality questions could move this game toward either edge.

Reporting question: Which lineup combination gives the underdog its clearest path toward the top of the range?

Read the notebook →Open the evidence brief →
Nov 2, 2026 · Model brief

Tennessee Tech vs Mississippi St

Projected 64.283.4 · 91% home win · 147.6 total.

3.3 to 35.1 home-margin range · 69.1 possessions per 40 minutes.

Variance belongs in the story. The nominal home-margin range covers 31.8 points, so the forecast is a starting point for preparation rather than a script. Identify which lineup and shot-quality questions could move this game toward either edge.

Reporting question: Which lineup combination gives the underdog its clearest path toward the top of the range?

Read the notebook →Open the evidence brief →
Nov 2, 2026 · Model brief

East Texas A&M vs Oklahoma

Projected 62.085.4 · 94% home win · 147.4 total.

7.5 to 39.3 home-margin range · 68.3 possessions per 40 minutes.

Variance belongs in the story. The nominal home-margin range covers 31.9 points, so the forecast is a starting point for preparation rather than a script. Identify which lineup and shot-quality questions could move this game toward either edge.

Reporting question: Which lineup combination gives the underdog its clearest path toward the top of the range?

Read the notebook →Open the evidence brief →
Nov 2, 2026 · Model brief

Chicago St vs Texas

Projected 59.387.2 · 96% home win · 146.5 total.

11.9 to 43.7 home-margin range · 67.2 possessions per 40 minutes.

Variance belongs in the story. The nominal home-margin range covers 31.9 points, so the forecast is a starting point for preparation rather than a script. Identify which lineup and shot-quality questions could move this game toward either edge.

Reporting question: Which lineup combination gives the underdog its clearest path toward the top of the range?

Read the notebook →Open the evidence brief →
Read the baseline

What does the model actually know?

Inspect training seasons, calibration, interval coverage and the exact schedule row before carrying a forecast into a staff conversation.

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Keep the evidence open

Who could change the matchup?

Pair the matchup with NCAA player logs, roster observations, recruiting records and publisher news. Missing evidence stays visible instead of becoming an assumption.